{"id":83700,"date":"2026-06-01T08:39:43","date_gmt":"2026-06-01T01:39:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/dow-jones-industrial-average-buys-the-iran-deal-trump-described-not-the-one-being-negotiated\/"},"modified":"2026-06-01T09:20:39","modified_gmt":"2026-06-01T02:20:39","slug":"chi-so-dow-jones-dang-mua-theo-cau-chuyen-ve-thoa-thuan-iran-ma-trump-mo-ta-chu-khong-phai-thoa-thuan-thuc-te-dang-duoc-dam-phan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/chi-so-dow-jones-dang-mua-theo-cau-chuyen-ve-thoa-thuan-iran-ma-trump-mo-ta-chu-khong-phai-thoa-thuan-thuc-te-dang-duoc-dam-phan\/","title":{"rendered":"Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Dow Jones \u0111ang mua theo c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n v\u1ec1 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn Iran m\u00e0 Trump m\u00f4 t\u1ea3, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n."},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"post-content-section\">\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) \u0111\u00e3 l\u1eadp m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh trong ng\u00e0y m\u1edbi g\u1ea7n 51.050 \u0111i\u1ec3m. \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i \u0111\u0103ng tr\u00ean Truth Social, trong \u0111\u00f3 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Donald Trump tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u00f4ng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 m\u1eb7t t\u1ea1i Ph\u00f2ng T\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra <strong>&#8220;quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng&#8221;<\/strong> v\u1ec1 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn M\u1ef9 &#8211; Iran v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n nghe gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n<p>V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u00e0, v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111ang l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y, nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n m\u00e0 Trump m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n m\u00e0 Iran \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd.<\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ecdn tin v\u00e0o ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n h\u00e0ng h\u01a1n l\u00e0 b\u1ea3n h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng.<\/p>\n<h3>Hai th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn, m\u1ed9t ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ec1<\/h3>\n<p>N\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ecdc b\u00e0i \u0111\u0103ng c\u1ee7a Trump, b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t b\u1ee9c tranh r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 mang t\u00ednh chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Iran ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd s\u1edf h\u1eefu v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n.<\/li>\n<li>Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edf ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c, kh\u00f4ng thu ph\u00ed v\u00e0 cho ph\u00e9p l\u01b0u th\u00f4ng t\u1ef1 do theo c\u1ea3 hai chi\u1ec1u.<\/li>\n<li>M\u1ecdi th\u1ee7y l\u00f4i c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i s\u1ebd b\u1ecb lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf.<\/li>\n<li>L\u1ec7nh phong t\u1ecfa h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ee1 b\u1ecf ngay.<\/li>\n<li>Kho\u1ea3ng 900 pound uranium l\u00e0m gi\u00e0u c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ed9 cao s\u1ebd b\u1ecb ti\u00eau h\u1ee7y.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ecdc d\u1ef1 th\u1ea3o Bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n Ghi nh\u1edb (MOU) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c M\u1ef9 ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9, n\u1ed9i dung l\u1ea1i m\u1ec1m m\u1ecfng h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Gia h\u1ea1n l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn th\u00eam 60 ng\u00e0y.<\/li>\n<li>M\u1edf l\u1ea1i Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ed9 v\u00e0 t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc trong kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u00f3.<\/li>\n<li>L\u1ec7nh phong t\u1ecfa \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ee1 b\u1ecf theo t\u1eebng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n thay v\u00ec h\u1ee7y b\u1ecf ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c.<\/li>\n<li>Hai b\u00ean c\u00f3 60 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1ec1 c\u00e1ch x\u1eed l\u00fd kho uranium, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i ti\u00eau h\u1ee7y ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>M\u1ed9t c\u1ef1u \u0110\u1ea1i s\u1ee9 M\u1ef9 t\u1ea1i Israel th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f2n c\u00f4ng khai ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn m\u00e0 Trump m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 tr\u00ean m\u1ea1ng x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<p>Theo \u00f4ng, MOU ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n l\u00e0 m\u1edf ra m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u01b0\u01a1ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng.<\/p>\n<h3>Iran c\u0169ng \u0111ang n\u00f3i \u0111i\u1ec1u t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1<\/h3>\n<p>Truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Iran c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0a ra quan \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0ng v\u1edbi gi\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec7u c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c c\u01a1 quan truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng th\u00e2n v\u1edbi L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng V\u1ec7 binh C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o Iran (IRGC) cho r\u1eb1ng m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a Trump v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Hormuz \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c <strong>&#8220;m\u1edf ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n&#8221;<\/strong> l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi n\u1ed9i dung m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a v\u0103n b\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1ed9t h\u00e3ng tin c\u1ee7a Iran cho bi\u1ebft Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i tr\u01b0\u1edbc chi\u1ebfn tranh theo c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n<p>S\u00e1ng nay, \u0111\u00e0i truy\u1ec1n h\u00ecnh nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Iran ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh:<\/p>\n<p>Trong 24 gi\u1edd qua \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 24 t\u00e0u \u0111i qua Hormuz, nh\u01b0ng:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e9p v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 ch\u1ea5p thu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Iran.<\/li>\n<li>Ch\u1ec9 \u0111i theo c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/li>\n<li>Ch\u1ec9 trong c\u00e1c khung th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho ph\u00e9p.<\/li>\n<li>V\u00e0 ph\u1ea3i tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n do Iran \u0111\u1eb7t ra.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>B\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u00f2n c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 t\u00e0u n\u00e0o \u0111i qua m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea5p ph\u00e9p s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi <strong>&#8220;ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd.&#8221;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 <strong>&#8220;kh\u00f4ng thu ph\u00ed, kh\u00f4ng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf, l\u01b0u th\u00f4ng hai chi\u1ec1u&#8221;<\/strong> m\u00e0 Trump \u0111\u01b0a ra.<\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u00e0 Iran \u0111ang t\u00e1i kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh nguy\u00ean tr\u1ea1ng hi\u1ec7n nay, trong khi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 l\u1ea1i m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 m\u1ed9t tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i ch\u01b0a h\u1ec1 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n<p>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, L\u00e3nh t\u1ee5 T\u1ed1i cao Iran v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a ph\u00ea duy\u1ec7t cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng cho th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c Israel c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng tin r\u1eb1ng \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c th\u00f4ng qua MOU n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<h3>H\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng kh\u1edbp v\u1edbi l\u1eddi n\u00f3i<\/h3>\n<p>\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 s\u1eafp \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c h\u00f3a, c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u1eabn di\u1ec5n ra r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n<p>L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng V\u1ec7 binh C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng Iran \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00f3ng m\u1ed9t t\u00ean l\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea1o v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda Kuwait v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, d\u00f9 sau \u0111\u00f3 b\u1ecb h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1nh ch\u1eb7n.<\/p>\n<p>IRGC c\u0169ng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 N\u0103m r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u0103n c\u1ee9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 M\u1ef9 \u2013 n\u01a1i xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c kh\u00f4ng k\u00edch nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o Bandar Abbas.<\/p>\n<p>C\u0169ng trong ng\u00e0y m\u00e0 MOU \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 \u0111ang ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t, B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh M\u1ef9 l\u1ea1i \u0111e d\u1ecda \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t l\u00ean Oman n\u1ebfu n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y tham gia v\u00e0o b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf thu ph\u00ed n\u00e0o t\u1ea1i Hormuz.<\/p>\n<p>V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t ngo\u1ea1i giao, \u0111\u00e2y th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 giai \u0111o\u1ea1n m\u00e0 nh\u1eefng chi ti\u1ebft nh\u1ecf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n \u0111\u1ed5 v\u1ee1.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ea1i \u0111ang \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh nh\u01b0 th\u1ec3 hai b\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng k\u00fd k\u1ebft th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n ch\u1edd c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c.<\/p>\n<h3>Nh\u1eefng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u m\u00e0 phe mua v\u1eabn \u0111ang ph\u1edbt l\u1edd<\/h3>\n<p>B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 phe mua.<\/p>\n<p>Ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m qua, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t PCE l\u00f5i t\u0103ng l\u00ean 3,3% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, PCE t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t 3,8% YoY.<\/p>\n<p>S\u00e1ng nay, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 PMI Chicago b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt l\u00ean 62,7 \u0111i\u1ec3m, v\u01b0\u1ee3t xa d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o 50,6 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong v\u00f2ng 4 n\u0103m v\u00e0 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng theo th\u00e1ng m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2020.<\/p>\n<p>S\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u0103ng n\u00f3ng trong khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1eabn dai d\u1eb3ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p cho vi\u1ec7c Fed c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n<p>Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u1ed1ng v\u1edbi k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n Fed ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1eef l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao cho t\u1edbi cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2026 h\u01a1n, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean FOMC v\u1eabn \u0111ang nh\u1eafc \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n<p>Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n \u0111ang c\u00f9ng l\u00fac \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 hai k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>M\u1ed9t &#8220;ph\u1ea7n th\u01b0\u1edfng h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh&#8221; t\u1eeb th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn M\u1ef9 &#8211; Iran m\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n c\u00f2n ch\u01b0a k\u00fd k\u1ebft.<\/li>\n<li>M\u1ed9t Fed \u00f4n h\u00f2a trong khi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>V\u00e0 c\u1ea3 hai k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng n\u00e0y ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 sai c\u00f9ng l\u00fac.<\/p>\n<h3>Giao d\u1ecbch theo c\u00fa breakout<\/h3>\n<p>Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh v\u1eabn \u0111ang l\u00e0 t\u0103ng v\u00e0 b\u1ee9c tranh k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt hi\u1ec7n kh\u00e1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u1ee3t t\u0103ng trong \u0111\u00eam \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh l\u1ecbch s\u1eed 51.000 \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 trong ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, sau \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ec9nh m\u1edbi g\u1ea7n 51.050 \u0111i\u1ec3m r\u1ed3i quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i ki\u1ec3m tra v\u00f9ng breakout t\u1eeb ph\u00eda tr\u00ean.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 \u0111i\u1ec3n h\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 mi\u1ec5n l\u00e0 m\u1ed1c 51.000 v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1eef v\u1eefng.<\/p>\n<p>N\u1ebfu m\u1ea5t m\u1ed1c n\u00e0y, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh breakout s\u1ebd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i (failed breakout).<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng EMA 50 ng\u00e0y hi\u1ec7n n\u1eb1m quanh 49.250 \u0111i\u1ec3m.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng EMA 200 ng\u00e0y n\u1eb1m quanh 47.550 \u0111i\u1ec3m.<\/p>\n<p>C\u1ea3 hai \u0111\u1ec1u th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n r\u1ea5t xa so v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n v\u1eabn ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n nguy\u00ean v\u1eb9n.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n \u0111ang c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u suy y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o Stochastic RSI tr\u00ean khung 5 ph\u00fat \u0111\u00e3 quay \u0111\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 mua tr\u00ean 80 xu\u1ed1ng g\u1ea7n 60, b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng v\u1eeba r\u1ed3i \u0111ang d\u1ea7n m\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c sau c\u00fa breakout.<\/p>\n<h3>C\u00e1c v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ea7n ch\u00fa \u00fd<\/h3>\n<p><strong>H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>51.000 \u0111i\u1ec3m (v\u00f9ng retest breakout)<\/li>\n<li>50.500 \u0111i\u1ec3m (v\u00f9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 trong phi\u00ean h\u00f4m qua)<\/li>\n<li>50.000 \u0111i\u1ec3m (m\u1ed1c t\u00e2m l\u00fd quan tr\u1ecdng)<\/li>\n<li>EMA 50 ng\u00e0y quanh 49.250 \u0111i\u1ec3m<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>51.500 \u0111i\u1ec3m (m\u1ed1c tr\u00f2n ti\u1ebfp theo)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>R\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t v\u1eabn l\u00e0 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb<\/h3>\n<p>Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n n\u1eb1m \u1edf di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn M\u1ef9 &#8211; Iran.<\/p>\n<p>N\u1ebfu Trump ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c k\u00fd k\u1ebft v\u00e0 Iran ph\u00ea chu\u1ea9n th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn, \u0111\u00e0 breakout hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n<p>Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Iran \u0111\u01b0a ra th\u00f4ng tin b\u00e1c b\u1ecf \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 ho\u1eb7c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n th\u00eam m\u1ed9t v\u1ee5 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng t\u00ean l\u1eeda m\u1edbi, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nhanh ch\u00f3ng quay l\u1ea1i tay phe b\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<p>L\u1ecbch kinh t\u1ebf trong ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu s\u1ebd theo d\u00f5i c\u00e1c b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c Fed g\u1ed3m:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Jeffrey Schmid<\/li>\n<li>Michelle Bowman<\/li>\n<li>Anna Paulson<\/li>\n<li>Mary Daly<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u n\u00e0o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n c\u1ea5p cao \u0111\u1ee7 s\u1ee9c t\u1ea1o bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n<p>Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng hi\u1ec7n v\u1eabn l\u00e0 t\u0103ng, nh\u01b0ng nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ea7n gi\u1eef m\u1ee9c d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd d\u01b0\u1edbi v\u00f9ng 51.000 \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0 xem m\u1ed7i th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o m\u1edbi tr\u00ean Truth Social nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m rung chuy\u1ec3n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n<p>B\u1edfi \u1edf th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u00fang l\u00e0 nh\u01b0 v\u1eady.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/editorial.fxsstatic.com\/miscelaneous\/image-1780071796269.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" \/><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"content-module-faq-Stocks-dow-jones-508\" data-type=\"faq\" data-module=\"faq\" data-config-topic=\"dow-jones\" data-config-category=\"Stocks\" data-version=\"v1\" data-content-module-translate=\"0\">\n<h3>C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Dow Jones<\/h3>\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p Dow Jones (DJIA) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n l\u00e2u \u0111\u1eddi nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, bao g\u1ed3m 30 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n<p>Kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c, DJIA \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh theo ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 (price-weighted) thay v\u00ec tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch c\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a 30 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n r\u1ed3i chia cho m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh, hi\u1ec7n kho\u1ea3ng 0,152.<\/p>\n<p>DJIA \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u00e1ng l\u1eadp b\u1edfi Charles Dow, ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u0169ng l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng s\u00e1ng l\u1eadp The Wall Street Journal.<\/p>\n<p>Trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, DJIA th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ecb ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch v\u00ec ch\u01b0a ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng do ch\u1ec9 theo d\u00f5i 30 t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n l\u1edbn, kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n nh\u01b0 S&amp;P 500.<\/p>\n<p>Nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn DJIA.<\/p>\n<p>Quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 kinh doanh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 qua c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn h\u00e0ng qu\u00fd.<\/p>\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u0169ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00e2m l\u00fd nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t do Federal Reserve thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp c\u0169ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ebfn DJIA v\u00ec n\u00f3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh chi ph\u00ed vay v\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a doanh nghi\u1ec7p.<\/p>\n<p>Do \u0111\u00f3, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a Fed th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 d\u1eabn d\u1eaft quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<h3>Thuy\u1ebft Dow (Dow Theory)<\/h3>\n<p>Thuy\u1ebft Dow l\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n do Charles Dow ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1ed9t nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc quan tr\u1ecdng l\u00e0 ph\u1ea3i so s\u00e1nh h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i c\u1ee7a DJIA v\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i Dow Jones (DJTA).<\/p>\n<p>Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn khi c\u1ea3 hai ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 c\u00f9ng di chuy\u1ec3n theo m\u1ed9t h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/p>\n<p>Kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch c\u0169ng \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/p>\n<p>L\u00fd thuy\u1ebft n\u00e0y s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ec9nh v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1y \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n<p>Theo Dow Theory, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1ea3i qua ba giai \u0111o\u1ea1n:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>T\u00edch l\u0169y (Accumulation):<\/strong> D\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng minh b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u mua ho\u1eb7c b\u00e1n.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tham gia c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang (Public Participation):<\/strong> Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u1ea1i ch\u00fang tham gia theo xu h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i (Distribution):<\/strong> D\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng minh b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>C\u00e1c c\u00e1ch giao d\u1ecbch Dow Jones<\/h3>\n<p>C\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch DJIA.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng c\u00e1ch ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn l\u00e0 th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 ETF, cho ph\u00e9p nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 giao d\u1ecbch to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 thay v\u00ec ph\u1ea3i mua ri\u00eang l\u1ebb c\u1ea3 30 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00ed d\u1ee5 n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt l\u00e0 SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA).<\/p>\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i ra, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f2n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>H\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai Dow Jones (DJIA Futures).<\/li>\n<li>Quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn (Options) tr\u00ean ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1.<\/li>\n<li>C\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 t\u01b0\u01a1ng h\u1ed7 (Mutual Funds) \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o danh m\u1ee5c c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu thu\u1ed9c DJIA.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 n\u00e0y gi\u00fap nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Dow Jones m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp s\u1edf h\u1eefu t\u1eebng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu ri\u00eang l\u1ebb.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) \u0111\u00e3 l\u1eadp m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh trong ng\u00e0y m\u1edbi g\u1ea7n 51.050 \u0111i\u1ec3m. \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":83702,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-83700","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83700","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=83700"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83700\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":83820,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83700\/revisions\/83820"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/83702"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=83700"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=83700"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=83700"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}