{"id":80412,"date":"2026-05-18T08:57:17","date_gmt":"2026-05-18T01:57:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/malaysia-growth-risks-and-steady-rates-uob\/"},"modified":"2026-05-18T09:09:41","modified_gmt":"2026-05-18T02:09:41","slug":"malaysia-rui-ro-tang-truong-va-lai-suat-on-dinh-uob","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/malaysia-rui-ro-tang-truong-va-lai-suat-on-dinh-uob\/","title":{"rendered":"Malaysia: R\u1ee7i ro t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh \u2013 UOB"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"post-content-section\">\n<p>B\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Kinh t\u1ebf &amp; Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng To\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a UOB, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1edfi Julia Goh v\u00e0 Loke Siew Ting, cho bi\u1ebft T\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i (GDP) qu\u00fd 1\/2026 c\u1ee7a Malaysia t\u0103ng 5,4% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, nh\u1ec9nh h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o nh\u01b0ng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i so v\u1edbi qu\u00fd 4\/2025. Nhu c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba v\u00e0 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u00ednh, trong khi c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i v\u00e0 xung \u0111\u1ed9t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111ang l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng r\u1ee7i ro suy gi\u1ea3m. UOB gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP n\u0103m 2026 \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4,5% v\u00e0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Negara Malaysia (BNM) s\u1ebd gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch qua \u0111\u00eam \u1edf m\u1ee9c 2,75%.<\/p>\n<h3>T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i khi r\u1ee7i ro gia t\u0103ng<\/h3>\n<p>\u201cM\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 trong qu\u00fd 1\/2026 v\u1eabn m\u1ea1nh, c\u00e1c r\u1ee7i ro suy gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e3 gia t\u0103ng khi xung \u0111\u1ed9t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng b\u01b0\u1edbc sang tu\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 11 v\u00e0 eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u1eabn g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 b\u1ecb \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTrong l\u00fac ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i s\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP n\u0103m 2026 \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4,5% (\u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh c\u1ee7a BNM: 4,0%\u20135,0%; n\u0103m 2025: 5,2%), \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch Qua \u0111\u00eam (OPR) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 2,75% cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDo \u0111\u00f3, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng BNM s\u1ebd ch\u1edd th\u00eam s\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng trong v\u00f2ng hai \u0111\u1ebfn ba th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u00e0o.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTrong l\u00fac ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i s\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i duy tr\u00ec d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP n\u0103m 2026 \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4,5% (\u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh c\u1ee7a BNM: 4,0%\u20135,0%; n\u0103m 2025: 5,2%). Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 bao g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00f3 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau v\u00e0 mang t\u00ednh chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eb1m h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh v\u00e0 doanh nghi\u1ec7p b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 th\u00eam c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 kh\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 khi t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh thay \u0111\u1ed5i.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>(B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o ra v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 Tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u00ean t\u1eadp vi\u00ean r\u00e0 so\u00e1t.)<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>B\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Kinh t\u1ebf &amp; Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng To\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a UOB, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1edfi Julia Goh v\u00e0 Loke [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":80413,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-80412","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80412","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=80412"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80412\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":80459,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80412\/revisions\/80459"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/80413"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=80412"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=80412"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=80412"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}