{"id":79890,"date":"2026-05-15T09:05:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T02:05:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/australian-dollar-softens-to-near-0-7200-as-trump-and-xi-set-for-second-day-of-talks\/"},"modified":"2026-05-15T09:12:43","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T02:12:43","slug":"dong-do-la-uc-suy-yeu-ve-gan-muc-0-7200-khi-ong-trump-va-ong-tap-buoc-sang-ngay-dam-phan-thu-hai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/dong-do-la-uc-suy-yeu-ve-gan-muc-0-7200-khi-ong-trump-va-ong-tap-buoc-sang-ngay-dam-phan-thu-hai\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac suy y\u1ebfu v\u1ec1 g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 0.7200 khi \u00f4ng Trump v\u00e0 \u00f4ng T\u1eadp b\u01b0\u1edbc sang ng\u00e0y \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n th\u1ee9 hai."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>C\u1eb7p AUD\/USD ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 0.7205 trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00e2u \u00c1 s\u00e1ng th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn gi\u1eef t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng tr\u01b0\u1edbc ng\u00e0y \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n th\u1ee9 hai gi\u1eefa T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump v\u00e0 Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Trung Qu\u1ed1c T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh t\u1ea1i B\u1eafc Kinh.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d4ng Trump cho bi\u1ebft h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u r\u1eb1ng Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch T\u1eadp c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn Iran, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh \u00f4ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng ki\u00ean nh\u1eabn th\u00eam nhi\u1ec1u v\u1edbi Tehran, theo Reuters.<\/p>\n<p>Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, \u00f4ng Trump cho bi\u1ebft Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n nh\u1eb1m ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 v\u1edbi Iran v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz m\u1edf c\u1eeda cho ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Tuy nhi\u00ean, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng \u00f4ng hy v\u1ecdng m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd \u201cm\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u00e0 t\u1ed1t \u0111\u1eb9p h\u01a1n bao gi\u1edd h\u1ebft.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>T\u00e2m \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1ec1 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u0110\u00e0i Loan, khi \u00f4ng T\u1eadp c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c x\u1eed l\u00fd sai c\u00e1c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0110\u00e0i Loan c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn \u201c\u0111\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed9 v\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed xung \u0111\u1ed9t\u201d, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh h\u00f2n \u0111\u1ea3o tranh ch\u1ea5p n\u00e0y l\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 quan tr\u1ecdng trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n. B\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng n\u00e0o gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD \u2014 v\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m v\u1edbi kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c, do Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a \u00dac.<\/p>\n<p>D\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t M\u1ef9 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng r\u1eb1ng C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) s\u1ebd duy tr\u00ec l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao trong th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i h\u01a1n, qua \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD. Theo c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 CME FedWatch, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kho\u1ea3ng 32.9% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u00eam \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u00e1ng 12, t\u0103ng t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 22.5% c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD) l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t do Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u00dac (RBA) thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp. V\u00ec \u00dac l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia gi\u00e0u t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean, gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft \u2014 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u2014 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng. S\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, c\u0169ng c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn, b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a \u00dac. T\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u2014 li\u1ec7u nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1ee7i ro nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n (risk-on) hay t\u00ecm \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n an to\u00e0n (risk-off) \u2014 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng, v\u1edbi tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i risk-on th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c cho AUD.<\/p>\n<p>Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u00dac (RBA) \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t m\u00e0 c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u00dac cho vay l\u1eabn nhau. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t chung c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a RBA l\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong kho\u1ea3ng 2\u20133% b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t l\u00ean ho\u1eb7c xu\u1ed1ng. M\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i cao so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i. RBA c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ho\u1eb7c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng; n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c cho AUD, c\u00f2n th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n<p>Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac n\u00ean s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD. Khi kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed1t, n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y s\u1ebd mua nhi\u1ec1u nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u, h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 h\u01a1n t\u1eeb \u00dac, l\u00e0m t\u0103ng nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi AUD v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y l\u00ean. \u0110i\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra khi kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng. V\u00ec v\u1eady, c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf t\u00edch c\u1ef1c ho\u1eb7c ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn AUD v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n li\u00ean quan.<\/p>\n<p>Qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, mang v\u1ec1 118 t\u1ef7 USD m\u1ed7i n\u0103m theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u0103m 2021, v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 ch\u00ednh. Do \u0111\u00f3, gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD. Th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, khi gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft t\u0103ng, AUD c\u0169ng t\u0103ng theo do nhu c\u1ea7u t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y gia t\u0103ng. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m, AUD th\u01b0\u1eddng suy y\u1ebfu. Gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft cao h\u01a1n c\u0169ng l\u00e0m t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u00dac c\u00f3 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i t\u00edch c\u1ef1c, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u0169ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u2014 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia \u2014 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD. N\u1ebfu \u00dac xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u0103n \u0111\u00f3n m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y s\u1ebd t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 nh\u1edd nhu c\u1ea7u t\u1eeb ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 chi ti\u00eau cho nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u. V\u00ec v\u1eady, c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD, trong khi c\u00e1n c\u00e2n \u00e2m s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>C\u1eb7p AUD\/USD ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 0.7205 trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00e2u \u00c1 s\u00e1ng th\u1ee9 [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":79891,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-79890","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79890","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=79890"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79890\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":80002,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79890\/revisions\/80002"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/79891"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=79890"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=79890"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=79890"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}