{"id":78711,"date":"2026-05-08T09:07:27","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T02:07:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/gbp-usd-slips-as-iran-hope-fades-and-dollar-firms\/"},"modified":"2026-05-08T09:27:30","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T02:27:30","slug":"gbp-usd-slips-as-iran-hope-fades-and-dollar-firms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/gbp-usd-slips-as-iran-hope-fades-and-dollar-firms\/","title":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD suy y\u1ebfu khi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 Iran h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ea1nh."},"content":{"rendered":"
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GBP\/USD gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 xu\u1ed1ng quanh v\u00f9ng 1.3550 trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 0,3% sau khi c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n ch\u1ea1m m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh trong phi\u00ean g\u1ea7n 1.3645 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi quay \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng. Gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n duy tr\u00ec trong bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 kho\u1ea3ng 100 pip b\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ng ngay d\u01b0\u1edbi 1.3660, v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t n\u1ebfn ch\u1ed3ng l\u1ea5n xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n sau \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng swing low ng\u00e0y 1\/5 quanh 1.3450.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng USD, catalyst ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea1o v\u1eabn l\u00e0 c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n xoay quanh l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn M\u1ef9\u2013Iran c\u00f9ng t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh t\u1ea1i eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz. \u0110\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n sau khi Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng ph\u00e1t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n t\u1edbi m\u1ed9t bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n ghi nh\u1edb v\u1edbi Tehran, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng c\u00e1c n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c do M\u1ef9 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u1eb1m h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00e1c t\u00e0u m\u1eafc k\u1eb9t r\u1eddi kh\u1ecfi eo bi\u1ec3n trong khi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n m\u1edbi ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c di\u1ec5n ra.<\/p>\n

B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh n\u00e0y k\u00e9o Dollar Index gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng g\u1ea7n 97.60 \u2014 m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong ba th\u00e1ng \u2014 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u1eb9 trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 N\u0103m khi m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1c quan b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u unwind.<\/p>\n

Lo\u1ea1t ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u d\u00e0y \u0111\u1eb7c t\u1eeb c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c Fed bao g\u1ed3m Collins, Hammack, Daly v\u00e0 Williams ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c khi\u1ebfn k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ec1m d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng quanh m\u1ee9c 62K so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 178K.<\/p>\n

\u1ede ph\u00eda \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3ng Anh (GBP), l\u1ecbch kinh t\u1ebf tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y kh\u00e1 tr\u1ed1ng khi kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t n\u00e0o t\u1eeb Anh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn GBP g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n v\u00e0o h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i chung c\u1ee7a USD, trong khi c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n Iran c\u00f9ng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u NFP v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n.<\/p>\n

L\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu Anh ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1eabn neo cao, tuy nhi\u00ean vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebfu v\u1eafng catalyst n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a GBP\/USD nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c b\u1ecb d\u1eabn d\u1eaft b\u1edfi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh cho t\u1edbi cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n.<\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 H4 GBP\/USD<\/h4>\n
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\"Chart<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/h4>\n

Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 H4, GBP\/USD hi\u1ec7n giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ea1i 1.3550. C\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac t\u00edch c\u1ef1c trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n khi gi\u00e1 n\u1eb1m v\u1eefng ph\u00eda tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng EMA 200 k\u1ef3 t\u1ea1i 1.3488, cho th\u1ea5y bias t\u0103ng v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

Vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 duy tr\u00ec tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng EMA d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c c\u1ea7u n\u1ec1n v\u1eabn c\u00f2n hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n, trong khi ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o Stochastic RSI quanh v\u00f9ng gi\u1eefa 50 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng bullish \u1edf m\u1ee9c trung t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn v\u1eeba ph\u1ea3i thay v\u00ec tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i qu\u00e1 mua.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh trong v\u00f9ng 1.3500\u20131.3488, n\u01a1i m\u1ed1c t\u00e2m l\u00fd 1.3500 h\u1ed9i t\u1ee5 c\u00f9ng EMA 200 k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng floor quan tr\u1ecdng n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c suy y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n

Mi\u1ec5n l\u00e0 GBP\/USD v\u1eabn gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00f9ng n\u00e0y tr\u00ean basis \u0111\u00f3ng n\u1ebfn, c\u00e1c nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd v\u1eabn t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i n\u00f4ng v\u00e0 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec, v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng phe mua s\u1ebd quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i khi gi\u00e1 retest \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng MA n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

(Ph\u1ea7n ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 AI.)<\/p>\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3ng Anh<\/h3>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3ng Anh (GBP) l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n l\u00e2u \u0111\u1eddi nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (t\u1eeb n\u0103m 886 SCN) v\u00e0 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a V\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c Anh. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch nhi\u1ec1u th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i (FX), chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 12% t\u1ed5ng kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng trung b\u00ecnh 630 t\u1ef7 USD m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u0103m 2022.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c c\u1eb7p giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a GBP bao g\u1ed3m GBP\/USD \u2014 c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201cCable\u201d \u2014 chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 11% th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng FX, GBP\/JPY \u2014 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trader g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201cDragon\u201d \u2014 chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 3%, v\u00e0 EUR\/GBP chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 2%. \u0110\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3ng Anh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh b\u1edfi Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Anh (BoE).<\/p>\n

Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a GBP l\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 do BoE quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh. BoE \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean vi\u1ec7c li\u1ec7u ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i l\u00e0 \u201c\u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3\u201d \u2014 t\u1ee9c duy tr\u00ec l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t quanh m\u1ee9c 2% \u2014 hay ch\u01b0a. C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n

Khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t qu\u00e1 cao, BoE s\u1ebd c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch n\u00e2ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, khi\u1ebfn chi ph\u00ed ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n v\u00e0 doanh nghi\u1ec7p tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u1eaft \u0111\u1ecf h\u01a1n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi GBP v\u00ec l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao khi\u1ebfn Anh tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn h\u01a1n cho d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t xu\u1ed1ng qu\u00e1 th\u1ea5p, \u0111\u00f3 th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i. Trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p n\u00e0y, BoE c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xem x\u00e9t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t nh\u1eb1m l\u00e0m r\u1ebb chi ph\u00ed t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 doanh nghi\u1ec7p vay v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1edbi GBP. C\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 nh\u01b0 GDP, PMI s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5, hay d\u1eef li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3ng Anh. M\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 GBP v\u00ec kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 thu h\u00fat th\u00eam v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y BoE n\u00e2ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf suy y\u1ebfu, GBP nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t d\u1eef li\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi GBP l\u00e0 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia trong m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh. N\u1ebfu m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1edf h\u1eefu c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u0103n \u0111\u00f3n m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i nh\u1edd nhu c\u1ea7u b\u1ed5 sung t\u1eeb ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i mu\u1ed1n s\u1edf h\u1eefu c\u00e1c h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a n\u00e0y. V\u00ec v\u1eady, c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i n\u1ebfu c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u00e2m.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

GBP\/USD gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 xu\u1ed1ng quanh v\u00f9ng 1.3550 trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 0,3% sau khi c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n ch\u1ea1m m\u1ee9c […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":78712,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-78711","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78711","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=78711"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78711\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":78789,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78711\/revisions\/78789"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/78712"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=78711"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=78711"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=78711"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}