{"id":78171,"date":"2026-05-07T09:06:39","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T02:06:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/australian-dollar-edges-lower-ahead-of-trade-balance-data\/"},"modified":"2026-05-07T09:21:06","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T02:21:06","slug":"do-la-uc-suy-yeu-nhe-truoc-them-cong-bo-du-lieu-can-can-thuong-mai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/do-la-uc-suy-yeu-nhe-truoc-them-cong-bo-du-lieu-can-can-thuong-mai\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac suy y\u1ebfu nh\u1eb9 tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ec1m c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u C\u00e1n c\u00e2n Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>AUD\/USD t\u0103ng phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 ba li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, giao d\u1ecbch quanh m\u1ee9c 0.7240 trong phi\u00ean ch\u00e2u \u00c1 th\u1ee9 N\u0103m. \u0110\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD) ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u00e0y so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng USD sau khi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u C\u00e1n c\u00e2n Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a \u00dac \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1.<\/p>\n<p>C\u1ee5c Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea \u00dac cho bi\u1ebft n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y ghi nh\u1eadn th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i 1,841 t\u1ef7 AUD trong th\u00e1ng 3, so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh 5,026 t\u1ef7 AUD c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng 2 (tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 5,686 t\u1ef7 AUD). Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng m\u1ee9c th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 kho\u1ea3ng 4,250 t\u1ef7 AUD. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u gi\u1ea3m 2,7% theo th\u00e1ng sau khi t\u0103ng 4,2% tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, c\u00f2n nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt 14,1% sau khi gi\u1ea3m 2,7% \u1edf k\u1ef3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u1ed3ng AUD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c nh\u1eadn h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1eeb k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng r\u1eb1ng M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn nh\u1eb1m ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t chi\u1ebfn tranh. BBC \u0111\u01b0a tin h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 r\u1eb1ng Iran cho bi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 nh\u1eb1m k\u1ebft th\u00fac xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u201cv\u1eabn \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem x\u00e9t\u201d, sau khi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng tin cho th\u1ea5y hai n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eafp \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn. M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 g\u1eedi cho Iran m\u1ed9t b\u1ea3n ghi nh\u1edb d\u00e0i m\u1ed9t trang v\u1edbi n\u1ed9i dung t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1edf l\u1ea1i eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u00e0 d\u1ee1 b\u1ecf l\u1ec7nh phong t\u1ecfa c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a Iran. C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n chi ti\u1ebft li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Iran s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh sau \u0111\u00f3, v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c.<\/p>\n<p>CNBC c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0a tin h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 r\u1eb1ng T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o Iran s\u1ebd b\u1ecb n\u00e9m bom \u201c\u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u\u201d n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh. Trong b\u00e0i \u0111\u0103ng tr\u00ean Truth Social, Trump cho bi\u1ebft chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 mang t\u00ean Operation Epic Fury \u201cs\u1ebd k\u1ebft th\u00fac\u201d n\u1ebfu Iran \u201c\u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng g\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t, d\u00f9 \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u1edbn.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u1ed3ng USD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c khi lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t d\u1ecbu b\u1edbt c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t thay v\u00ec duy tr\u00ec ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t trong th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD) l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t do Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u00dac (RBA) thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp. Do \u00dac l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia gi\u00e0u t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean, m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft \u2014 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y. S\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, c\u0169ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ebfn AUD, b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a \u00dac. T\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u2014 t\u1ee9c vi\u1ec7c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro (risk-on) hay tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n (risk-off) \u2014 c\u0169ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn AUD, v\u1edbi risk-on th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c cho \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u00dac (RBA) t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn AUD th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cho vay gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u00dac. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a RBA l\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong kho\u1ea3ng 2\u20133% b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng ho\u1eb7c gi\u1ea3m. M\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i cao so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD, trong khi m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n s\u1ebd g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i. RBA c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ho\u1eb7c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng.<\/p>\n<p>Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, v\u00ec v\u1eady s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a AUD. Khi kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed1t, n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y s\u1ebd nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u nhi\u1ec1u nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u th\u00f4, h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 t\u1eeb \u00dac h\u01a1n, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi AUD v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra khi kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng. V\u00ec v\u1eady, c\u00e1c b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd t\u00edch c\u1ef1c ho\u1eb7c ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c trong d\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn AUD v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n li\u00ean quan.<\/p>\n<p>Qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, mang l\u1ea1i kho\u1ea3ng 118 t\u1ef7 USD m\u1ed7i n\u0103m theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u0103m 2021, v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 ch\u00ednh. Do \u0111\u00f3, gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a AUD. Th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, khi gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft t\u0103ng, AUD c\u0169ng t\u0103ng do nhu c\u1ea7u t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y gia t\u0103ng. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m, AUD th\u01b0\u1eddng suy y\u1ebfu. Gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft cao c\u0169ng l\u00e0m t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u00dac \u0111\u1ea1t th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u0169ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c cho AUD.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u2014 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia \u2014 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac. N\u1ebfu \u00dac xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u m\u1ea1nh c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf s\u0103n \u0111\u00f3n, \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y s\u1ebd t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 nh\u1edd nhu c\u1ea7u mua AUD t\u1eeb n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u1ec3 thanh to\u00e1n h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u. V\u00ec v\u1eady, c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean, trong khi c\u00e1n c\u00e2n \u00e2m s\u1ebd g\u00e2y t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0 AUD\/USD t\u0103ng phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 ba li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, giao d\u1ecbch quanh m\u1ee9c 0.7240 trong phi\u00ean ch\u00e2u \u00c1 th\u1ee9 N\u0103m. \u0110\u1ed3ng [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":78175,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-78171","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78171","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=78171"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78171\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":78429,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78171\/revisions\/78429"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/78175"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=78171"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=78171"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=78171"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}