{"id":77522,"date":"2026-05-05T10:10:13","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T03:10:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/indonesia-stable-inflation-outlook-with-oil-risks-uob\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T10:45:20","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T03:45:20","slug":"indonesia-trien-vong-lam-phat-on-dinh-nhung-van-tiem-an-rui-ro-tu-gia-dau-uob","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/indonesia-trien-vong-lam-phat-on-dinh-nhung-van-tiem-an-rui-ro-tu-gia-dau-uob\/","title":{"rendered":"Indonesia: Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n r\u1ee7i ro t\u1eeb gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u \u2013 UOB"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Enrico Tanuwidjaja v\u00e0 Vincentius Ming Shen c\u1ee7a UOB cho bi\u1ebft l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t th\u00e1ng 4 c\u1ee7a Indonesia gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng 2,42% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m trong m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a Bank Indonesia. H\u1ecd nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh s\u1ef1 b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00f3a sau k\u1ef3 ngh\u1ec9 l\u1ec5, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t nh\u1edd tr\u1ee3 gi\u00e1 nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u00f5i \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. Tuy nhi\u00ean, r\u1ee7i ro t\u0103ng v\u1eabn t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i t\u1eeb gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u cao h\u01a1n, d\u00f9 h\u1ecd k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Indonesia s\u1ebd gi\u1eef l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4,75% v\u00e0 ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t gi\u00e1 th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m.<\/p>\n

L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t nh\u01b0ng r\u1ee7i ro n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1eabn c\u00f2n<\/strong><\/h3>\n

\u201cL\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t Indonesia ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m trong th\u00e1ng 4 xu\u1ed1ng 2,42% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3, t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 3,48% c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng 3, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng (2,70%) nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m trong bi\u00ean m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 2,5% \u00b11,0% c\u1ee7a Bank Indonesia.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cNh\u00ecn chung, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t th\u00e1ng 4 h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t sau y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 m\u00f9a v\u1ee5 k\u1ef3 ngh\u1ec9 l\u1ec5, v\u1edbi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t d\u00f9 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u t\u1eeb xung \u0111\u1ed9t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cR\u1ee7i ro v\u1eabn nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda t\u0103ng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t t\u1eeb gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao h\u01a1n, khi gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u Brent t\u0103ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m chi ph\u00ed logistics v\u00e0 v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i t\u0103ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ea9y c\u1ea3 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u00f5i v\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cCh\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd t\u1eadp trung ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t chi ph\u00ed logistics v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m, ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi Bank Indonesia th\u00f4ng qua ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh Phong tr\u00e0o Ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 Th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m (GPIPS).\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cTrong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00fap Bank Indonesia c\u00f3 d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4,75%, ngay c\u1ea3 khi Rupiah y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n (xem th\u00eam: Indonesia \u2013 D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef gi\u1ea3m do can thi\u1ec7p ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i k\u00e9o d\u00e0i), nh\u1eb1m h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7.\u201d<\/p>\n

(B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 AI v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u00ean t\u1eadp vi\u00ean ki\u1ec3m duy\u1ec7t.)<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Enrico Tanuwidjaja v\u00e0 Vincentius Ming Shen c\u1ee7a UOB cho bi\u1ebft l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t th\u00e1ng 4 c\u1ee7a Indonesia gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng 2,42% so […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":77523,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-77522","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77522","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77522"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77522\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":77563,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77522\/revisions\/77563"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/77523"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77522"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77522"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77522"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}