{"id":77510,"date":"2026-05-05T10:10:19","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T03:10:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/gbp-usd-pulls-back-as-risk-off-mood-drives-monday-decline\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T10:22:53","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T03:22:53","slug":"gbp-usd-giam-tro-lai-khi-tam-ly-ne-tranh-rui-ro-thuc-day-da-giam-trong-phien-thu-hai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/gbp-usd-giam-tro-lai-khi-tam-ly-ne-tranh-rui-ro-thuc-day-da-giam-trong-phien-thu-hai\/","title":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD gi\u1ea3m tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i khi t\u00e2m l\u00fd n\u00e9 tr\u00e1nh r\u1ee7i ro th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 Hai"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

GBP\/USD gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 0,35% trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 Hai, ch\u1ed1t g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 1,3530 sau khi b\u1ecb t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i m\u1ea1nh t\u1ea1i m\u1ed1c 1,3600, k\u00e9o c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh giao d\u1ecbch bu\u1ed5i chi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh tr\u00ean 1,3650 trong phi\u00ean New York h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e0 suy y\u1ebfu di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Hai \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 xu\u1ed1ng g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p trong phi\u00ean quanh 1,3510 khi \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc d\u1ea7n m\u1ea5t \u0111i.<\/p>\n

\u1ede ph\u00eda \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3ng, quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ee7a Bank of England cho th\u1ea5y \u1ee6y ban Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 (MPC) b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu 8-1 \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u1edf m\u1ee9c 3,75%, v\u1edbi Kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng Huw Pill l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi duy nh\u1ea5t \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 t\u0103ng th\u00eam 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n. B\u1ed1n th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean kh\u00e1c c\u1ee7a MPC c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u1ecf kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp t\u1edbi n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gia t\u0103ng, khi\u1ebfn di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t trong tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch. L\u1ecbch kinh t\u1ebf Anh tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y kh\u00e1 tr\u1ed1ng v\u1eafng, khi\u1ebfn GBP\/USD d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb chi ph\u1ed1i b\u1edfi t\u00e2m l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a USD khi thi\u1ebfu c\u00e1c ch\u1ea5t x\u00fac t\u00e1c n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng USD, t\u00e2m \u0111i\u1ec3m tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y l\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Non-Farm Payrolls c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ch\u1ec9 kho\u1ea3ng 60 ngh\u00ecn vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m m\u1edbi so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 178 ngh\u00ecn tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, trong khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn gi\u1eef \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4,3%. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u nh\u01b0 ISM Services PMI, JOLTS Job Openings v\u00e0 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m ADP v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 s\u1ebd cung c\u1ea5p t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u s\u1edbm v\u1ec1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng. N\u1ebfu s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u NFP y\u1ebfu, USD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 GBP\/USD trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh thi\u1ebfu v\u1eafng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u1eeb ph\u00eda Anh.<\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 GBP\/USD khung 15 ph\u00fat.<\/h3>\n
\n

\"Chart<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 15 ph\u00fat, GBP\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch quanh m\u1ee9c 1,3532. C\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u00e0y khi n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c m\u1edf c\u1eeda t\u1ea1i 1,3582, cho th\u1ea5y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n v\u1eabn k\u00e9o d\u00e0i t\u1eeb phi\u00ean ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o Stochastic RSI \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 mua v\u1ec1 quanh m\u1ee9c trung t\u00ednh 47, h\u00e0m \u00fd \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m \u0111ang ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho m\u1ed9t c\u00fa \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng, m\u1ee9c m\u1edf c\u1eeda ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i 1,3582 \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t; c\u1ea7n v\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 m\u1edf ra kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c s\u00e2u h\u01a1n. Do ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng t\u1eeb \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh hay c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1c trong d\u1eef li\u1ec7u, n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1ea1o \u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f2n d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba gi\u1ea3m th\u00eam cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh v\u00f9ng c\u1ea7u m\u1edbi tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3.<\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y, GBP\/USD v\u1eabn giao d\u1ecbch quanh 1,3532 v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c khi gi\u00e1 n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean c\u1ea3 EMA 50 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i 1,3456 v\u00e0 EMA 200 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i 1,3367, qua \u0111\u00f3 gi\u1eef v\u1eefng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 d\u00f9 \u0111ang trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u00edch l\u0169y. Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o Stochastic RSI l\u00f9i v\u1ec1 quanh m\u1ee9c 49, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng \u0111ang h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u, m\u1edf ra kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c dao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y trong bi\u00ean khi gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh quan tr\u1ecdng n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i EMA 50 ng\u00e0y quanh 1,3456, trong khi EMA 200 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i 1,3367 \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 s\u00e2u h\u01a1n nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn mang t\u00ednh t\u00edch c\u1ef1c n\u1ebfu phe b\u00e1n gia t\u0103ng \u00e1p l\u1ef1c. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng ph\u00eda tr\u00ean theo h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, phe mua v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1eef l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n; tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u1ebfu ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 d\u1ee9t kho\u00e1t d\u01b0\u1edbi 1,3367, c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac t\u0103ng s\u1ebd b\u1ecb suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1edf ra m\u1ed9t nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh s\u00e2u h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

(Ph\u1ea7n ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt trong b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 AI.)<\/p>\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 B\u1ea3ng Anh<\/strong><\/h3>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3ng Anh (GBP) l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n l\u00e2u \u0111\u1eddi nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (t\u1eeb n\u0103m 886) v\u00e0 l\u00e0 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a V\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c Anh. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch nhi\u1ec1u th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 12% t\u1ed5ng kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng kho\u1ea3ng 630 t\u1ef7 USD m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y (theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u0103m 2022). C\u00e1c c\u1eb7p giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00ednh g\u1ed3m GBP\/USD (c\u00f2n g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201cCable\u201d), GBP\/JPY (\u201cDragon\u201d) v\u00e0 EUR\/GBP. \u0110\u1ed3ng b\u1ea3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh b\u1edfi Bank of England.<\/p>\n

Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb GBP l\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Bank of England. Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng n\u00e0y h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 v\u1edbi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t kho\u1ea3ng 2%, v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. Khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t cao, BoE th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho GBP. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, BoE c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 k\u00edch th\u00edch kinh t\u1ebf, g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea3ng.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf nh\u01b0 GDP, PMI s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5, hay s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m c\u0169ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn GBP. N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh s\u1ebd thu h\u00fat d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y BoE t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, qua \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea3ng. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u y\u1ebfu th\u01b0\u1eddng khi\u1ebfn GBP suy gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u. Th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i (xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn h\u01a1n nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u) th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n, trong khi th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t s\u1ebd g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

GBP\/USD gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 0,35% trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 Hai, ch\u1ed1t g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 1,3530 sau khi b\u1ecb t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i m\u1ea1nh t\u1ea1i m\u1ed1c […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":77511,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-77510","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77510","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77510"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77510\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":77546,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77510\/revisions\/77546"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/77511"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77510"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77510"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77510"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}