{"id":77052,"date":"2026-05-04T08:54:49","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T01:54:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/aud-usd-price-forecast-remains-bullish-despite-hovering-around-0-7200\/"},"modified":"2026-05-04T09:09:42","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T02:09:42","slug":"du-bao-gia-aud-usd-van-duy-tri-xu-huong-tang-du-dao-dong-quanh-moc-0-7200","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/du-bao-gia-aud-usd-van-duy-tri-xu-huong-tang-du-dao-dong-quanh-moc-0-7200\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 AUD\/USD: V\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng d\u00f9 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng quanh m\u1ed1c 0.7200."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD gi\u1eef m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 0.10% v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i phi\u00ean B\u1eafc M\u1ef9, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi \u0111ang h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng 0.84% trong c\u1ea3 tu\u1ea7n. T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m vi\u1ebft b\u00e0i, c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean m\u1ed1c 0.7200 khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u1ebfn \u201cbullish engulfing\u201d gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n<p>V\u1ec1 g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, AUD\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch g\u1ea7n ph\u00eda tr\u00ean c\u1ee7a v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y 100 pip trong kho\u1ea3ng 0.7100\u20130.7200, khi nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ch\u1edd th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1edbi. \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng hi\u1ec7n nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n qua ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o RSI \u0111ang n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng trung t\u00ednh.<\/p>\n<p>\u1ede chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng, v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a AUD\/USD l\u00e0 m\u1ed1c t\u00e2m l\u00fd 0.7250. N\u1ebfu v\u01b0\u1ee3t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00f9ng n\u00e0y, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ti\u1ebfp theo s\u1ebd l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec9nh ng\u00e0y 3\/6\/2022 t\u1ea1i 0.7282 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi khu v\u1ef1c 0.7300. Xa h\u01a1n, v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd ti\u1ebfp theo n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c 0.7661 c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0y 5\/4\/2022.<\/p>\n<p>Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu AUD\/USD \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda d\u01b0\u1edbi 0.7200, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1edf \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cho vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 20 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i 0.7121. D\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng 0.7100 \u2014 \u0111\u00e1y c\u1ee7a bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 t\u00edch l\u0169y 100 pip \u2014 ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 SMA 50 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i 0.7059.<\/p>\n<h3>C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD)<\/h3>\n<p>M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD) l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t do Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u00dac (RBA) thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp. V\u00ec \u00dac l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia gi\u00e0u t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean, m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u2014 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft. S\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng, b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a \u00dac. T\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u2014 li\u1ec7u nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1ee7i ro (risk-on) hay t\u00ecm n\u01a1i tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n (risk-off) \u2014 c\u0169ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn AUD, trong \u0111\u00f3 m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng risk-on th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c v\u1edbi AUD.<\/p>\n<p>Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u00dac (RBA) t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn AUD b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t m\u00e0 c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u00dac cho vay l\u1eabn nhau. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a RBA l\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong kho\u1ea3ng 2\u20133% b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng ho\u1eb7c gi\u1ea3m. L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i cao so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD, v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i. RBA c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ho\u1eb7c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng; trong \u0111\u00f3 QE th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i cho AUD c\u00f2n QT mang t\u00ednh h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3.<\/p>\n<p>Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac n\u00ean s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb AUD. Khi kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed1t, n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y s\u1ebd nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u nhi\u1ec1u nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u, h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 h\u01a1n t\u1eeb \u00dac, l\u00e0m t\u0103ng nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi AUD v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y \u0111i l\u00ean. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, AUD th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m. V\u00ec v\u1eady, c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn AUD v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n li\u00ean quan.<\/p>\n<p>Qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, mang v\u1ec1 kho\u1ea3ng 118 t\u1ef7 USD m\u1ed7i n\u0103m theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u0103m 2021, v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 ch\u00ednh. V\u00ec th\u1ebf, gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng d\u1eabn d\u1eaft AUD. Th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, khi gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft t\u0103ng, AUD c\u0169ng t\u0103ng do nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y cao h\u01a1n. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m, AUD th\u01b0\u1eddng suy y\u1ebfu. Gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft cao c\u0169ng l\u00e0m t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u00dac c\u00f3 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i t\u00edch c\u1ef1c, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u0169ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u2014 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia \u2014 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn AUD. N\u1ebfu \u00dac xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u0103n \u0111\u00f3n, \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD s\u1ebd t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 nh\u1edd nhu c\u1ea7u mua AUD \u0111\u1ec3 thanh to\u00e1n h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u. Do \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD, trong khi c\u00e1n c\u00e2n \u00e2m s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD gi\u1eef m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 0.10% v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i phi\u00ean B\u1eafc M\u1ef9, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi \u0111ang h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng 0.84% trong [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":77054,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-77052","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77052","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77052"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77052\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":77102,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77052\/revisions\/77102"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/77054"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77052"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77052"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77052"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}