{"id":74700,"date":"2026-04-22T08:57:50","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T01:57:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/usd-jpy-climbs-as-yen-lags-risk-on-reaction-to-iran-deadline-blink\/"},"modified":"2026-04-22T09:26:26","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T02:26:26","slug":"usd-jpy-tang-khi-dong-yen-tut-lai-phia-sau-trong-phan-ung-risk-on-truoc-viec-my-noi-thoi-han-voi-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/usd-jpy-tang-khi-dong-yen-tut-lai-phia-sau-trong-phan-ung-risk-on-truoc-viec-my-noi-thoi-han-voi-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY t\u0103ng khi \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean t\u1ee5t l\u1ea1i ph\u00eda sau trong ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng \u201crisk-on\u201d tr\u01b0\u1edbc vi\u1ec7c M\u1ef9 n\u1edbi th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n v\u1edbi Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

USD\/JPY t\u0103ng 0,37% v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba, \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 159.40 sau khi ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u1ec9nh 159.65 trong phi\u00ean M\u1ef9. Gi\u00e1 duy tr\u00ec m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111i ngang trong v\u00f9ng kho\u1ea3ng 158.55\u2013159.65 trong v\u00e0i phi\u00ean g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u1ecbp bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng trong gi\u1edd giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00f9ng nhau, nh\u01b0ng thu h\u1eb9p l\u1ea1i th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c n\u1ebfn nh\u1ecf trong th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng y\u00ean \u1eafng.<\/p>\n

C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa Washington v\u00e0 Tehran c\u00f3 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn m\u1edbi khi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Donald Trump gia h\u1ea1n v\u00e0o ph\u00fat ch\u00f3t th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n do ch\u00ednh \u00f4ng \u0111\u1eb7t ra cho c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp, trong khi Iran t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i c\u1eed ph\u00e1i \u0111o\u00e0n \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ecba \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t. Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng xem \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 c\u1eed ch\u1ec9 thi\u1ec7n ch\u00ed cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi quay l\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1ed1i \u0111a, nh\u01b0ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ea1i coi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 tr\u00ec ho\u00e3n n\u1eefa trong chu\u1ed7i thay \u0111\u1ed5i l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch nh\u00ecn chung \u0111\u00f3n nh\u1eadn t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t, khi\u1ebfn t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 gi\u1ea3m, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb th\u00e1ng 3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng (+1,7% MoM so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o +1,4%) v\u00e0 l\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec1u tr\u1ea7n mang t\u00ednh \u201cdi\u1ec1u h\u00e2u\u201d r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t t\u1eeb Kevin Warsh \u2013 \u1ee9ng vi\u00ean Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Federal Reserve.<\/p>\n

\u1ede ph\u00eda \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean, vi\u1ec7c Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c l\u1edbn v\u00e0o nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 khi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m v\u1edbi b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 leo thang n\u00e0o quanh Strait of Hormuz, khi\u1ebfn JPY tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n y\u1ebfu mang t\u00ednh c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 t\u1ed1i th\u1ee9 Ba v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng qu\u1ed1c gia (CPI) c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m (d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o 1,8% YoY cho ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 l\u00f5i, so v\u1edbi 1,6% tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3) s\u1ebd l\u00e0 c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ea7n theo d\u00f5i.<\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 USD\/JPY khung 15 ph\u00fat<\/h4>\n
\n

\"Chart<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 15 ph\u00fat, USD\/JPY giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ea1i 159.41. C\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 trong ng\u00e0y khi n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c m\u1edf c\u1eeda t\u1ea1i 158.88, cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh v\u1eabn \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3. Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o Stochastic RSI \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 v\u1ec1 v\u00f9ng trung t\u00ednh quanh 36, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m sau tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i qu\u00e1 mua tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a chuy\u1ec3n sang xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng pivot trong ng\u00e0y quanh 159.41, v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 s\u00e2u h\u01a1n t\u1ea1i gi\u00e1 m\u1edf c\u1eeda ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n 158.88 n\u1ebfu phe b\u00e1n gia t\u0103ng \u00e1p l\u1ef1c. Do kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 quanh c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 n\u00e0y c\u00f9ng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh li\u1ec7u c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n c\u00f3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng hay b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o pha \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh.<\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y, USD\/JPY v\u1eabn giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ea1i 159.41 v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c khi n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean c\u1ea3 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng EMA 50 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i 158.20 v\u00e0 EMA 200 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i 154.64. Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1eef v\u1eefng khi gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh n\u00e0y, d\u00f9 Stochastic RSI quanh m\u1ee9c 27 cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu sau \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng 159.40 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t m\u1ee9c pivot ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 EMA 50 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i 158.20 v\u00e0 EMA 200 ng\u00e0y quanh 154.64 \u2013 n\u01a1i l\u1ef1c mua c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh s\u00e2u h\u01a1n. Do ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng t\u1eeb c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c phe mua c\u00f3 gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00f9ng 159 v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec gi\u00e1 tr\u00ean EMA 50 ng\u00e0y hay kh\u00f4ng, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111ang y\u1ebfu d\u1ea7n.<\/p>\n

(Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt trong b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 AI.)<\/p>\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt (JPY) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Bank of Japan, ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu gi\u1eefa Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 M\u1ef9, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 t\u00e2m l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a Bank of Japan l\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, v\u00ec v\u1eady c\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean. BoJ \u0111\u00f4i khi can thi\u1ec7p tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, th\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eb1m l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean, d\u00f9 kh\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean do c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb t\u1eeb c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i. Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 si\u00eau n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2013\u20132024 \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean suy y\u1ebfu so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n kh\u00e1c do s\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n

Trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua, vi\u1ec7c duy tr\u00ec ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch si\u00eau n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng c\u1ee7a BoJ \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 10 n\u0103m, qua \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 USD so v\u1edbi JPY. G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, vi\u1ec7c BoJ d\u1ea7n r\u00fat l\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u00e0y c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u1edf c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c \u0111ang thu h\u1eb9p ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n, ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng chuy\u1ec3n sang n\u1eafm gi\u1eef \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y nh\u1edd t\u00ednh \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, qua \u0111\u00f3 gi\u00fap t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY t\u0103ng 0,37% v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba, \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 159.40 sau khi ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u1ec9nh 159.65 trong phi\u00ean M\u1ef9. Gi\u00e1 […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":74701,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-74700","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74700","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74700"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74700\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":74804,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74700\/revisions\/74804"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/74701"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74700"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74700"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74700"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}