{"id":71847,"date":"2026-04-15T09:12:58","date_gmt":"2026-04-15T02:12:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/silver-rally-gains-steam-heres-why-90-could-be-the-next-big-target\/"},"modified":"2026-04-15T10:32:42","modified_gmt":"2026-04-15T03:32:42","slug":"bac-tang-manh-duoi-day-la-ly-do-vi-sao-moc-90-usd-co-the-la-muc-tieu-tiep-theo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/bac-tang-manh-duoi-day-la-ly-do-vi-sao-moc-90-usd-co-the-la-muc-tieu-tiep-theo\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u1ea1c t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh: D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 l\u00fd do v\u00ec sao m\u1ed1c 90 USD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ti\u1ebfp theo"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Th\u00e1ng 3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u00e1ng t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd, v\u00e0 ch\u00fang c\u0169ng kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 4 kh\u00f4ng m\u1ea5y t\u00edch c\u1ef1c. B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p t\u00e2m l\u00fd n\u00e9 tr\u00e1nh r\u1ee7i ro, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u1eabn t\u00ecm \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng USD v\u00e0 lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf B\u1ea1c v\u00e0 V\u00e0ng kh\u1ecfi danh m\u1ee5c.<\/p>\n

C\u00f3 v\u1ebb nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00fac b\u00e1n USD.<\/p>\n

Chi\u1ebfn tranh Iran s\u1eafp k\u1ebft th\u00fac?<\/p>\n

Ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ec1 nghe c\u00f3 v\u1ebb l\u1ea1c quan, nh\u01b0ng \u00edt nh\u1ea5t ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. B\u1ea1c \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao g\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t th\u00e1ng quanh 80 USD trong phi\u00ean M\u1ef9 ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Ba, khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00f3n nh\u1eadn c\u00e1c tin t\u1ee9c m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn M\u1ef9 – Iran. Sau c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n khi\u1ebfn T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump tri\u1ec3n khai th\u00eam qu\u00e2n t\u1edbi Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00f3ng eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u00e0u ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u Iran, t\u1ea1o ra t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng phong t\u1ecfa k\u00e9p t\u1ea1i tuy\u1ebfn h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i quan tr\u1ecdng, hy v\u1ecdng \u0111\u00e3 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

Tr\u00e1i v\u1edbi lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t leo thang m\u1edbi, \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n hai b\u00ean th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh v\u00f2ng \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n th\u1ee9 hai trong nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y t\u1edbi. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, Pakistan \u0111ang t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c h\u00f2a gi\u1ea3i t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c trong khu v\u1ef1c k\u00eau g\u1ecdi k\u00e9o d\u00e0i l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn l\u00ean 45\u201360 ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

G\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 xoay quanh chi\u1ebfn tranh<\/h4>\n

Nh\u01b0ng li\u1ec7u t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 ch\u1ec9 xoay quanh chi\u1ebfn tranh? M\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn s\u1ef1 suy y\u1ebfu g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a USD th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c tin t\u1ee9c t\u00edch c\u1ef1c cho th\u1ea5y giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e3 qua. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 duy nh\u1ea5t g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng USD. Cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ea7y hai tu\u1ea7n, v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u ch\u00fa \u00fd \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m.<\/p>\n

Cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp s\u1eafp t\u1edbi c\u1ee7a \u1ee6y ban Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng M\u1edf Li\u00ean bang (FOMC) c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng d\u01b0\u1edbi th\u1eddi Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Jerome Powell, n\u1ebfu Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng vi\u1ec7n th\u00f4ng qua \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eed Kevin Warsh tr\u01b0\u1edbc cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ti\u1ebfp theo d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn v\u00e0o gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 6.<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Powell \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t theo y\u00eau c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump, v\u00e0 th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng minh \u00f4ng \u0111\u00fang, d\u00f9 v\u00ec nh\u1eefng l\u00fd do kh\u00e1c. Powell v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u1ed9ng s\u1ef1 lo ng\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf quan c\u1ee7a Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng s\u1ebd g\u00e2y t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ebfn ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra nh\u01b0ng \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn. Fed \u0111\u00e3 \u1edf trong tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng ngay c\u1ea3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u201ccu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf\u201d b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra th\u00eam \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t m\u1edbi t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

\u1ede th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, c\u1ea7n l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 2% c\u1ee7a Fed k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2021, v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong hai tu\u1ea7n v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 2.<\/p>\n

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Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics<\/em><\/small><\/p>\n

Bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp FOMC g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch: r\u1ee7i ro l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111\u00e3 gia t\u0103ng, v\u00e0 d\u00f9 vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn cho n\u0103m 2026, c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng ng\u1ea7n ng\u1ea1i \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i. Vi\u1ec7c h\u1ecd c\u00f3 t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t hay kh\u00f4ng s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trump, v\u1ed1n hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean gi\u00e1 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc, trong khi chi\u1ebfn tranh t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u1eef gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u1edf m\u1ee9c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i. Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ho\u1eb7c qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n k\u00e9o d\u00e0i c\u00e0ng l\u00e2u, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c c\u00e0ng l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a g\u00ec \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi b\u1ea1c?<\/h3>\n

N\u00f3i chung, vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng x\u1ea3y ra n\u1ebfu Fed h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t. Fed c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111ang l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u00f3. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kh\u00f4ng th\u00edch \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y, v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u0169ng v\u1eady.<\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n do chi\u1ebfn tranh, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd t\u1eeb ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf quan c\u1ee7a Trump kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi USD, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd.<\/p>\n

C\u1eb7p XAG\/USD d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 t\u00ecm th\u1ea5y \u0111\u00e1y t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c 61 USD, m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong th\u00e1ng 3. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, trong hai tu\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 4, gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng 3, v\u00e0 v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1.<\/p>\n

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Vi\u1ec7c b\u1ea1c ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i l\u00ean tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n 100 k\u1ef3 (SMA) theo xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng c\u00e0ng c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1. \u0110\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc h\u01a1n, phe mua c\u1ea7n v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng quan tr\u1ecdng t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng 81 USD, n\u01a1i tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c tho\u00e1i lui Fibonacci 61,8% c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m th\u00e1ng 3 v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ec9nh trong ng\u00e0y \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd. Khi v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y, g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ed1c 90 USD; v\u00e0 n\u1ebfu v\u01b0\u1ee3t ti\u1ebfp m\u1ed1c n\u00e0y, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec9nh th\u00e1ng 3 t\u1ea1i 96 USD.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m, n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 tr\u01b0\u1ee3t xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c Fibonacci 38,2% c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m quanh 74 USD, ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a phe mua s\u1ebd b\u1ecb suy y\u1ebfu. Tuy nhi\u00ean, ch\u1ec9 khi gi\u1ea3m d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Fibonacci ti\u1ebfp theo t\u1ea1i 69 USD th\u00ec phe mua m\u1edbi th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 m\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Th\u00e1ng 3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u00e1ng t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd, v\u00e0 ch\u00fang c\u0169ng kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 4 kh\u00f4ng […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":71848,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-71847","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71847","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=71847"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71847\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":72045,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71847\/revisions\/72045"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/71848"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=71847"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=71847"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=71847"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}