{"id":71799,"date":"2026-04-15T09:13:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-15T02:13:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/aud-usd-price-forecast-bulls-eye-break-above-0-7150-0-7170-resistance\/"},"modified":"2026-04-15T10:36:07","modified_gmt":"2026-04-15T03:36:07","slug":"du-bao-gia-aud-usd-phe-mua-huong-toi-pha-vo-vung-khang-cu-07150-07170","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/du-bao-gia-aud-usd-phe-mua-huong-toi-pha-vo-vung-khang-cu-07150-07170\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 AUD\/USD: Phe mua h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 0,7150\u20130,7170"},"content":{"rendered":"
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AUD\/USD giao d\u1ecbch v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 trong ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Ba, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed3ng USD suy y\u1ebfu khi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng n\u1ed1i l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n M\u1ef9 – Iran g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh v\u00e0 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro nh\u01b0 \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD). T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m vi\u1ebft, c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n giao d\u1ecbch quanh 0,7132, m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 12\/3.<\/p>\n

Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u1eabn l\u1ea1c quan r\u1eb1ng M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y k\u00e9o gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m, qua \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0m d\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed), trong vi\u1ec7c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u PPI c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u0169ng g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m l\u00ean USD. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 US Dollar Index (DXY), \u0111o s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a USD so v\u1edbi r\u1ed5 s\u00e1u \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh, \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch quanh m\u1ee9c 98,00 \u2013 m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 2\/3.<\/p>\n

Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng mang t\u00ednh \u201cdi\u1ec1u h\u00e2u\u201d h\u01a1n t\u1eeb Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u00dac (RBA), trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1eabn c\u00f2n dai d\u1eb3ng, ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng cho \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac.<\/p>\n

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T\u1eeb g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac t\u0103ng r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n c\u1ee7a AUD\/USD, khi gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 50 ng\u00e0y sau khi b\u1eadt l\u00ean t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1y th\u00e1ng 3 g\u1ea7n 0,6833, tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi SMA 100 ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

SMA 50 ng\u00e0y quanh 0,7033 \u0111ang h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u00ean v\u00e0 n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean SMA 100 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n 0,6874, c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng trung h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 gi\u1eef v\u1eefng c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac t\u0103ng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3.<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o RSI 14 ng\u00e0y quanh m\u1ee9c 63 n\u1eb1m trong v\u00f9ng t\u0103ng nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a v\u00e0o tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i qu\u00e1 mua, trong khi ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o MACD \u0111\u00e3 quay \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111i l\u00ean v\u00e0 c\u1eaft l\u00ean tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng 0, v\u1edbi histogram chuy\u1ec3n sang d\u01b0\u01a1ng, cho th\u1ea5y phe mua v\u1eabn \u0111ang ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t.<\/p>\n

\u1ede ph\u00eda d\u01b0\u1edbi, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ban \u0111\u1ea7u n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i SMA 50 ng\u00e0y quanh 0,7033. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c quan tr\u1ecdng v\u00ec n\u1eb1m ngay tr\u00ean m\u1ed1c t\u00e2m l\u00fd 0,7000, t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n. N\u1ebfu ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 v\u00f9ng n\u00e0y, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 quay v\u1ec1 khu v\u1ef1c breakout g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t quanh 0,6920, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 SMA 100 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n 0,6874.<\/p>\n

\u1ede ph\u00eda tr\u00ean, phe mua \u0111ang nh\u1eafm \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 v\u00f9ng 0,7150\u20130,7170, khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e3 k\u00ecm h\u00e3m \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 2. N\u1ebfu v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00f9ng n\u00e0y, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ed1c t\u00e2m l\u00fd 0,7200 v\u00e0 cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac<\/h4>\n

M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi AUD l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t do Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u00dac (RBA) thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp. V\u00ec \u00dac l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia gi\u00e0u t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean, gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t \u2013 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft \u2013 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t. S\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a \u00dac \u0111\u1ec1u \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn AUD. T\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng (risk-on\/risk-off) c\u0169ng \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng, v\u1edbi risk-on th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho AUD.<\/p>\n

RBA \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn AUD th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a RBA l\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong kho\u1ea3ng 2\u20133% b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD, v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i. RBA c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ho\u1eb7c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng.<\/p>\n

Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, n\u00ean s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb AUD. Khi kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed1t, nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1eeb \u00dac t\u0103ng, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y. C\u00e1c b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd trong d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn AUD.<\/p>\n

Qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb kho\u1ea3ng 118 t\u1ef7 USD m\u1ed7i n\u0103m (theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u 2021), ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu xu\u1ea5t sang Trung Qu\u1ed1c. V\u00ec v\u1eady, gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn AUD. Khi gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng, AUD th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng theo do nhu c\u1ea7u t\u0103ng. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi gi\u00e1 gi\u1ea3m, AUD suy y\u1ebfu. Gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft cao c\u0169ng th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, qua \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u2013 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u \u2013 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn AUD. Th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean do nhu c\u1ea7u t\u1eeb n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i t\u0103ng, trong khi th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t s\u1ebd g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD giao d\u1ecbch v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 trong ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Ba, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed3ng USD suy y\u1ebfu […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":71801,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-71799","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71799","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=71799"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71799\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":72053,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71799\/revisions\/72053"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/71801"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=71799"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=71799"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=71799"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}