{"id":71183,"date":"2026-04-14T08:51:18","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T01:51:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/usd-jpy-fades-from-near-160-00-as-improving-sentiment-softens-the-us-dollar\/"},"modified":"2026-04-14T09:11:38","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T02:11:38","slug":"usd-jpy-suy-yeu-tu-vung-gan-160-00-khi-tam-ly-thi-truong-cai-thien-lam-giam-suc-manh-cua-dong-usd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/usd-jpy-suy-yeu-tu-vung-gan-160-00-khi-tam-ly-thi-truong-cai-thien-lam-giam-suc-manh-cua-dong-usd\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY suy y\u1ebfu t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng g\u1ea7n 160.00 khi t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

USD\/JPY giao d\u1ecbch trong bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ed9ng trong ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Hai, c\u00f3 l\u00fac t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao trong phi\u00ean g\u1ea7n 159,86 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n v\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh quanh 159,35, g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 \u0111i ngang trong ng\u00e0y. C\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n m\u1edf \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n \u1edf v\u00f9ng cao nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1nh m\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng khi l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ed1c 160,00. T\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 4 \u0111\u1ebfn nay, c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n dao \u0111\u1ed9ng trong bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 kho\u1ea3ng 200 pip gi\u1eefa v\u00f9ng 158,00 v\u00e0 160,00, v\u1edbi m\u1ed1c t\u00e2m l\u00fd 160,00 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng c\u1ea3n cho c\u00e1c nh\u1ecbp t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n

K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n (BoJ) t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong th\u00e1ng 4 \u0111ang gia t\u0103ng, khi m\u1ed9t c\u1ef1u gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh BoJ cho r\u1eb1ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 t\u1ee5t l\u1ea1i ph\u00eda sau trong vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ng\u00e0y 27\u201328\/4. Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m v\u1edbi xung \u0111\u1ed9t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng do ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n v\u00e0o nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u D\u1ea7u th\u00f4, v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz b\u1ecb phong t\u1ecfa t\u1eeb cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 2 \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn chi ph\u00ed n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh, l\u00e0m ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p th\u00eam b\u00e0i to\u00e1n c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng gi\u1eefa l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a BoJ. B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Kinh t\u1ebf Ryosei Akazawa c\u0169ng g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n v\u00e0o cu\u1ed9c tranh lu\u1eadn ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch khi cho r\u1eb1ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng USD suy y\u1ebfu tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Hai khi t\u00e2m l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n, v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng r\u1eb1ng xung \u0111\u1ed9t Iran c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1edbm \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p, d\u00f9 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n cho m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh li\u00ean t\u1ee5c thay \u0111\u1ed5i. Th\u1ee9 Ba s\u1ebd c\u00f3 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u2013 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t (PPI) th\u00e1ng 3 \u2013 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn t\u0103ng 1,2% theo th\u00e1ng (so v\u1edbi 0,7% th\u00e1ng 2), trong khi m\u1ee9c theo n\u0103m d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng l\u00ean 4,6% t\u1eeb 3,4%. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c chi ph\u00ed n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng do xung \u0111\u1ed9t Iran, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi lo\u1ea1t b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c Fed g\u1ed3m Goolsbee, Barr, Barkin, Collins v\u00e0 Paulson tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ec1m cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp FOMC ng\u00e0y 28\u201329\/4.<\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 USD\/JPY khung 5 ph\u00fat<\/h3>\n
\n

\"Chart<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Trong bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 5 ph\u00fat, USD\/JPY giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ea1i 159,35. C\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n duy tr\u00ec d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c m\u1edf c\u1eeda ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i 159,73, gi\u1eef xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 gi\u1ea3m khi gi\u00e1 \u0111ang \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh nh\u1eb9 t\u1eeb c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c cao tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o Stochastic RSI \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 mua g\u1ea7n 90 xu\u1ed1ng v\u00f9ng cao c\u1ee7a m\u1ee9c 30, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng \u0111\u00e3 suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 phe mua \u0111ang m\u1ea5t d\u1ea7n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t trong r\u1ea5t ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n

\u1ede ph\u00eda tr\u00ean, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ban \u0111\u1ea7u n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c m\u1edf c\u1eeda ng\u00e0y quanh 159,73, v\u00e0 c\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t c\u00fa h\u1ed3i v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 m\u1edf ra kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i trong ng\u00e0y. Do kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00f3 t\u1eeb c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh hay c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac gi\u00e1, n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i m\u1ed1c 159,73, USD\/JPY c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c suy y\u1ebfu trong khung 5 ph\u00fat, v\u1edbi nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch theo d\u00f5i c\u00e1c \u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh khi gi\u00e1 gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

Trong bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 4 gi\u1edd, USD\/JPY giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ea1i 159,36, v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng khi gi\u00e1 n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u00e0m m\u0169 (EMA) 200 k\u1ef3 t\u1ea1i 158,51. C\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n \u0111ang t\u00edch l\u0169y g\u1ea7n c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh thay v\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh s\u00e2u v\u1ec1 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng EMA, trong khi Stochastic RSI \u1edf m\u1ee9c 74,46 cho th\u1ea5y tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i qu\u00e1 mua, h\u00e0m \u00fd \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng v\u1eabn m\u1ea1nh nh\u01b0ng r\u1ee7i ro xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng \u0111ang t\u0103ng l\u00ean.<\/p>\n

\u1ede ph\u00eda d\u01b0\u1edbi, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng 159,36 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00e1y ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n t\u1ea1i EMA 200 quanh 158,51 \u2013 n\u01a1i l\u1ef1c mua c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i n\u1ebfu xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh s\u00e2u h\u01a1n. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0m tham chi\u1ebfu, trong khi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec mi\u1ec5n l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 gi\u1eef tr\u00ean EMA 200.<\/p>\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt (JPY)<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt (JPY) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u1edfi hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1eeb ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n (BoJ), ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu gi\u1eefa Nh\u1eadt v\u00e0 M\u1ef9, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 t\u00e2m l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a BoJ l\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, do \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 vai tr\u00f2 r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean. BoJ \u0111\u00f4i khi can thi\u1ec7p tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, th\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eb1m l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean, d\u00f9 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean do c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i. Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 si\u00eau n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng c\u1ee7a BoJ trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2013\u20132024 \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean suy y\u1ebfu so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c do s\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn. G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, vi\u1ec7c d\u1ea7n r\u00fat l\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o cho \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean.<\/p>\n

Trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua, vi\u1ec7c BoJ duy tr\u00ec ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng kh\u00e1c, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed), qua \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean so v\u1edbi JPY. Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a BoJ trong n\u0103m 2024 nh\u1eb1m d\u1ea7n ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u00e0y, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng kh\u00e1c b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, \u0111ang thu h\u1eb9p kho\u1ea3ng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 trong th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ec1n v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean nh\u1edd t\u00ednh \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao. Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh, \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY giao d\u1ecbch trong bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ed9ng trong ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Hai, c\u00f3 l\u00fac t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao trong phi\u00ean g\u1ea7n […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":71184,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-71183","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71183","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=71183"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71183\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":71343,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71183\/revisions\/71343"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/71184"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=71183"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=71183"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=71183"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}