{"id":71134,"date":"2026-04-14T08:51:20","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T01:51:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/usd-sgd-mas-tightening-and-key-levels-ocbc\/"},"modified":"2026-04-14T09:15:07","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T02:15:07","slug":"usd-sgd-mas-that-chat-va-cac-muc-quan-trong-ocbc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/usd-sgd-mas-that-chat-va-cac-muc-quan-trong-ocbc\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/SGD: MAS th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t v\u00e0 c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c quan tr\u1ecdng \u2013 OCBC"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"post-content-section\">\n<p>C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c gia c\u1ee7a OCBC, Sim Moh Siong v\u00e0 Christopher Wong, k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng C\u01a1 quan Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Singapore (MAS) s\u1ebd th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 14\/04\/2026 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 d\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c danh ngh\u0129a c\u1ee7a \u0110\u00f4 la Singapore (S$NEER) nh\u1eb1m \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u. V\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t, h\u1ecd cho r\u1eb1ng USD\/SGD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 n\u1ebfu gi\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec7u mang t\u00ednh \u201chawkish\u201d, nh\u01b0ng ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng s\u1ebd h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf h\u01a1n n\u1ebfu th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng. V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, h\u1ecd x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 t\u1ea1i 1,2780\u20131,2850 v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng t\u1ea1i 1,2710 v\u00e0 1,2620.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a MAS v\u00e0 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u201cK\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n c\u01a1 s\u1edf c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang t\u00f4i l\u00e0 MAS s\u1ebd th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 d\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch S$NEER (t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng SGD) \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDo k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t, tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m s\u1ebd l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn v\u00e0 gi\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cM\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch nh\u1eb9 sang gi\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec7u hawkish c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn S$NEER dao \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n tr\u00ean c\u1ee7a bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9, trong khi USD\/SGD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 ngay sau quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh, gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng chung c\u1ee7a USD t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu gi\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec7u c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng h\u01a1n, ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a USD\/SGD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cKh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c 1,2780 (m\u1ee9c tho\u00e1i lui Fibonacci 38,2% t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ec9nh th\u00e1ng 11 \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e1y n\u0103m 2026), 1,2810 (\u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 21 v\u00e0 100 ng\u00e0y) v\u00e0 1,2840\/50 (m\u1ee9c Fibonacci 50%, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 200 ng\u00e0y). H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ch\u00ednh t\u1ea1i 1,2710 (Fibonacci 23,6%). N\u1ebfu ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 1,2620.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>(B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 AI v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u00ean t\u1eadp vi\u00ean ki\u1ec3m duy\u1ec7t.)<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c gia c\u1ee7a OCBC, Sim Moh Siong v\u00e0 Christopher Wong, k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng C\u01a1 quan Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Singapore (MAS) [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":71136,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-71134","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71134","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=71134"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71134\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":71356,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71134\/revisions\/71356"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/71136"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=71134"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=71134"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=71134"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}