{"id":70762,"date":"2026-04-13T09:02:13","date_gmt":"2026-04-13T02:02:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/gold-price-forecast-xau-usd-downside-is-back-in-play-amid-risks-to-us-iran-ceasefire\/"},"modified":"2026-04-13T09:18:40","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T02:18:40","slug":"du-bao-gia-vang-xau-usd-quay-lai-xu-huong-giam-trong-boi-canh-rui-ro-doi-voi-lenh-ngung-ban-my-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/du-bao-gia-vang-xau-usd-quay-lai-xu-huong-giam-trong-boi-canh-rui-ro-doi-voi-lenh-ngung-ban-my-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng: XAU\/USD quay l\u1ea1i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn M\u1ef9\u2013Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang th\u1eed l\u1ea1i m\u1ed1c 4,700 USD v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 Hai, khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch l\u1ea5p kho\u1ea3ng gap gi\u1ea3m 60 USD m\u1edf c\u1eeda, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh lo ng\u1ea1i xung \u0111\u1ed9t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng leo thang tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

V\u00e0ng b\u1eadt t\u0103ng nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi r\u1ee7i ro<\/strong><\/p>\n

B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1ecbp t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m khi \u0111\u1ed3ng USD t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh trong phi\u00ean ch\u00e2u \u00c1 \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n. Nhu c\u1ea7u tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c l\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh, gi\u00fap USD c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n an to\u00e0n v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed9 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 mong manh gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran sau khi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n t\u1ea1i Pakistan th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed5 v\u1ee1 n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump \u0111e d\u1ecda phong t\u1ecfa eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi nh\u1eafc l\u1ea1i kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Iran.<\/p>\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra, theo Wall Street Journal (WSJ), Trump v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n \u0111ang c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf v\u00e0o Iran tr\u01b0\u1edbc di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng leo thang.<\/p>\n

B\u1ed9 T\u01b0 l\u1ec7nh Trung t\u00e2m M\u1ef9 (CENTCOM) th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng \u201cc\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1ebd b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u phong t\u1ecfa to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 l\u01b0u l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i ra v\u00e0o c\u00e1c c\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a Iran v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Hai, l\u00fac 10 gi\u1edd s\u00e1ng theo gi\u1edd ET\u201d (14:00 GMT).<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1p l\u1ea1i, L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng V\u1ec7 binh C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o Iran (IRGC) c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng sai l\u1ea7m n\u00e0o c\u0169ng s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng r\u01a1i v\u00e0o \u201cv\u00f2ng xo\u00e1y ch\u1ebft ch\u00f3c\u201d t\u1ea1i tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ee7y chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

IRGC nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh th\u00eam: \u201cVi\u1ec7c c\u00e1c t\u00e0u qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz s\u1ebd b\u1ecb coi l\u00e0 vi ph\u1ea1m th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn v\u00e0 s\u1ebd b\u1ecb x\u1eed l\u00fd nghi\u00eam kh\u1eafc, d\u1ee9t kho\u00e1t.\u201d<\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, USD c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng \u201cdi\u1ec1u h\u00e2u\u201d li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed).<\/p>\n

Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng M\u1ef9 tri\u1ec3n khai h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n quanh eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng r\u1ee7i ro gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng l\u00ean v\u00e0 l\u00e0m s\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong n\u0103m nay.<\/p>\n

Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 USD, trong khi c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n kh\u00f4ng sinh l\u00e3i nh\u01b0 v\u00e0ng th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c trong m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao.<\/p>\n

Trong ng\u00e0y t\u1edbi, c\u00e1c ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ec1 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn Trung \u0110\u00f4ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c chi ph\u1ed1i t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng chung, qua \u0111\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn USD v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n

Vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebfu v\u1eafng c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng khi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn M\u1ef9\u2013Iran v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u1ed1i l\u1ea1i h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 t\u1ea1i Iran.<\/p>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng: Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\"Chart<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

XAU\/USD duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n 21 ng\u00e0y (SMA) quanh m\u1ee9c 4,674 USD \u0111\u00e3 c\u1eaft xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i kho\u1ea3ng 4,687 USD t\u1eeb ph\u00eda tr\u00ean, v\u1edbi t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u201cBear Cross\u201d \u0111ang ch\u1edd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn tr\u00ean c\u01a1 s\u1edf \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda ng\u00e0y. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI) 14 ng\u00e0y quanh m\u1ee9c 47 v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung t\u00ednh, cho th\u1ea5y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ban \u0111\u1ea7u n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y quanh m\u1ee9c 4,899 USD; n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda ng\u00e0y v\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00ean tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n. \u1ede chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i SMA 21 ng\u00e0y quanh 4,674 USD, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 SMA 100 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n 4,687 USD, c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng c\u1ea7u. N\u1ebfu \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh s\u00e2u h\u01a1n, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1ec1 SMA 200 ng\u00e0y quanh 4,186 USD, n\u01a1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd thu h\u00fat l\u1ef1c mua b\u1eaft \u0111\u00e1y mang t\u00ednh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

(Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt trong b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 AI.)<\/p>\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 v\u00e0ng<\/strong><\/p>\n

V\u00e0ng \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed lo\u00e0i ng\u01b0\u1eddi khi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n l\u01b0u tr\u1eef gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 trao \u0111\u1ed5i. Hi\u1ec7n nay, ngo\u00e0i gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1ea9m m\u1ef9 v\u00e0 \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng trong trang s\u1ee9c, kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd n\u00e0y c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n, t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t k\u00eanh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ed1t trong nh\u1eefng th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n. V\u00e0ng c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00f2ng ng\u1eeba l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 v\u00ec kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh hay ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 n\u00e0o.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c n\u1eafm gi\u1eef v\u00e0ng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t. Nh\u1eb1m h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed3ng n\u1ed9i t\u1ec7 trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, h\u1ecd th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u00f3a d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef v\u00e0 mua v\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7. L\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef cao c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ni\u1ec1m tin v\u00e0o kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng thanh to\u00e1n c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia. Theo H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng V\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ed5 sung 1.136 t\u1ea5n v\u00e0ng, tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 kho\u1ea3ng 70 t\u1ef7 USD v\u00e0o d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef trong n\u0103m 2022 \u2013 m\u1ee9c mua cao nh\u1ea5t t\u1eebng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn. C\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i nh\u01b0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 \u0111ang nhanh ch\u00f3ng gia t\u0103ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n

V\u00e0ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan ngh\u1ecbch v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng USD v\u00e0 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ec1u l\u00e0 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef v\u00e0 tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n l\u1edbn. Khi USD suy y\u1ebfu, v\u00e0ng th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1, gi\u00fap nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u00f3a t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n. V\u00e0ng c\u0169ng c\u00f3 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan ngh\u1ecbch v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro; th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh th\u01b0\u1eddng khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng suy y\u1ebfu, trong khi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00e1n th\u00e1o t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro l\u1ea1i h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng do nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1. B\u1ea5t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb ho\u1eb7c lo ng\u1ea1i suy tho\u00e1i s\u00e2u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng t\u0103ng nhanh nh\u1edd vai tr\u00f2 tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n. L\u00e0 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n kh\u00f4ng sinh l\u00e3i, v\u00e0ng th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng khi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p, trong khi chi ph\u00ed v\u1ed1n cao h\u01a1n th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean kim lo\u1ea1i n\u00e0y. Tuy v\u1eady, ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eabn ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD, do v\u00e0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 b\u1eb1ng USD (XAU\/USD). USD m\u1ea1nh th\u01b0\u1eddng k\u00ecm h\u00e3m gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng, trong khi USD y\u1ebfu c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111i l\u00ean.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang th\u1eed l\u1ea1i m\u1ed1c 4,700 USD v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 Hai, khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch l\u1ea5p kho\u1ea3ng […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":70764,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-70762","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70762","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70762"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70762\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":70892,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70762\/revisions\/70892"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/70764"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70762"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70762"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70762"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}