{"id":69792,"date":"2026-04-09T09:05:45","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T02:05:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/usd-jpy-tests-158-00-as-ceasefire-saps-safe-haven-demand\/"},"modified":"2026-04-09T09:29:43","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T02:29:43","slug":"usd-jpy-kiem-tra-moc-15800-khi-lenh-ngung-ban-lam-suy-giam-nhu-cau-tru-an-an-toan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/usd-jpy-kiem-tra-moc-15800-khi-lenh-ngung-ban-lam-suy-giam-nhu-cau-tru-an-an-toan\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY ki\u1ec3m tra m\u1ed1c 158,00 khi l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn l\u00e0m suy gi\u1ea3m nhu c\u1ea7u tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n."},"content":{"rendered":"
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USD\/JPY gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 0,66% v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, r\u00fat lui t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh trong phi\u00ean g\u1ea7n 160,00 v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda quanh 158,50. \u0110\u1ee3t \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u m\u1ea1nh t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng 160,00 \u2013 m\u1ee9c ch\u1ec9 m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m tra m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch can thi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a Tokyo v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7\/2024 \u2013 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra chu\u1ed7i \u0111\u1ec9nh th\u1ea5p d\u1ea7n tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 trong ng\u00e0y, v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 t\u00edch l\u0169y trong bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 h\u1eb9p ngay d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng EMA 200 k\u1ef3 tr\u00ean khung 15 ph\u00fat tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o phi\u00ean ch\u00e2u \u00c1.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ee3t b\u00e1n th\u00e1o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t b\u1edfi tin t\u1ee9c v\u1ec1 l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn hai tu\u1ea7n gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran, bao g\u1ed3m th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn Tehran s\u1ebd m\u1edf l\u1ea1i eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz. Th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn n\u00e0y ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu nhu c\u1ea7u tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n \u2013 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea9y USD v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh trong su\u1ed1t th\u00e1ng 3 \u2013 k\u00e9o USD\/JPY gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u khi \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn \u0111ang cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 mong manh; c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a cam k\u1ebft v\u1edbi khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 10 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n, v\u00e0 gi\u1edbi giao d\u1ecbch coi kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian hai tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t \u201c\u0111\u1ebfm ng\u01b0\u1ee3c\u201d h\u01a1n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p l\u00e2u d\u00e0i.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt, l\u1ecbch kinh t\u1ebf trong n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1 tr\u1ed1ng cho \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u. Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n (BoJ) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ng\u00e0y 28\/4, v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kho\u1ea3ng 70% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng, nh\u01b0ng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1eabn c\u00f2n c\u00e1ch v\u00e0i tu\u1ea7n. Do \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd chuy\u1ec3n ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n sang M\u1ef9: th\u1ee9 N\u0103m s\u1ebd c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 chi ti\u00eau ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n (PCE) l\u00f5i th\u00e1ng 2 c\u00f9ng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u GDP qu\u00fd 4, trong khi th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u s\u1ebd c\u00f3 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o CPI th\u00e1ng 3 v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t ni\u1ec1m tin ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Michigan (UoM).<\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 USD\/JPY khung 15 ph\u00fat<\/h3>\n
\n

\"Chart<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 15 ph\u00fat, USD\/JPY giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c 158,57, duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n khi n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u00e0m m\u0169 (EMA) 200 k\u1ef3 t\u1ea1i 158,92. \u0110\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 b\u1ecb ch\u1eb7n r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng b\u1edfi v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng trung h\u1ea1n n\u00e0y, trong khi ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o Stochastic RSI \u0111\u00e3 r\u01a1i v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n quanh m\u1ee9c 14, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u1ea3m \u0111ang b\u1ecb k\u00e9o gi\u00e3n nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i EMA 200 k\u1ef3 quanh 158,92. C\u1ea7n c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng l\u00ean tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 m\u1edf ra kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i l\u00ean c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c cao h\u01a1n trong ng\u00e0y. Do kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00f3, n\u1ebfu ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3i \u201ct\u00ecm \u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi\u201d. Tuy nhi\u00ean, vi\u1ec7c Stochastic RSI \u1edf v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n cho th\u1ea5y phe b\u00e1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n khi gi\u00e1 gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

(Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt trong b\u00e0i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 AI.)<\/p>\n

Japanese Yen FAQs<\/strong><\/h3>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt (JPY) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, nh\u01b0ng c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 h\u01a1n l\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n (BoJ), ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu gi\u1eefa Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 M\u1ef9, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 t\u00e2m l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a BoJ l\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, do \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng n\u00e0y r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean. BoJ \u0111\u00f4i khi can thi\u1ec7p tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, th\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eb1m l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean, d\u00f9 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean do lo ng\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb t\u1eeb c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i. Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 si\u00eau n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng c\u1ee7a BoJ trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2013\u20132024 \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean suy y\u1ebfu so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh kh\u00e1c do s\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng l\u1edbn v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng kh\u00e1c. G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, vi\u1ec7c d\u1ea7n r\u00fat l\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o cho \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean.<\/p>\n

Trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua, vi\u1ec7c BoJ duy tr\u00ec ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch si\u00eau n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng s\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng kh\u00e1c, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed). \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 10 n\u0103m gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng, c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho USD so v\u1edbi JPY. Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a BoJ trong n\u0103m 2024 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c d\u1ea7n t\u1eeb b\u1ecf ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch si\u00eau n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, \u0111ang thu h\u1eb9p kho\u1ea3ng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 trong th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng chuy\u1ec3n v\u1ed1n v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean do t\u00ednh \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady. Nh\u1eefng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n th\u01b0\u1eddng khi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n r\u1ee7i ro h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 0,66% v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, r\u00fat lui t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh trong phi\u00ean g\u1ea7n 160,00 v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda quanh […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":69793,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69792","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69792","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69792"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69792\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":70057,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69792\/revisions\/70057"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/69793"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69792"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69792"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69792"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}