{"id":69163,"date":"2026-04-08T09:08:33","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T02:08:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/wti-price-forecast-seems-vulnerable-near-90-50-as-technical-breakdown-comes-into-play\/"},"modified":"2026-04-08T09:15:53","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T02:15:53","slug":"du-bao-gia-wti-co-dau-hieu-suy-yeu-quanh-muc-90-50-khi-xuat-hien-tin-hieu-pha-vo-ky-thuat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/du-bao-gia-wti-co-dau-hieu-suy-yeu-quanh-muc-90-50-khi-xuat-hien-tin-hieu-pha-vo-ky-thuat\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 WTI: C\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u suy y\u1ebfu quanh m\u1ee9c $90.50 khi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

D\u1ea7u th\u00f4 West Texas Intermediate (WTI) \u2013 chu\u1ea9n gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u2013 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t g\u1ea7n hai tu\u1ea7n trong phi\u00ean ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00f4ng tin M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn trong hai tu\u1ea7n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 thu h\u1eb9p m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh trong ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch quanh v\u00f9ng gi\u1eefa $90, v\u1eabn gi\u1ea3m h\u01a1n 10% trong ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

X\u00e9t v\u1ec1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 trong ng\u00e0y xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n 200 gi\u1edd (SMA) v\u00e0 c\u1ea1nh d\u01b0\u1edbi c\u1ee7a k\u00eanh t\u0103ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i hai tu\u1ea7n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t quan tr\u1ecdng cho phe b\u00e1n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o RSI quanh m\u1ee9c 18 cho th\u1ea5y t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n, gi\u00fap gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u00ecm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quanh m\u1ed1c $86.00 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u1eb9.<\/p>\n

D\u00f9 v\u1eady, c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt n\u00eau tr\u00ean cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u1ec5 \u0111i nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o MACD v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng 0, v\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng MACD n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u00e0 histogram \u00e2m, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u1ea3m v\u1eabn \u0111ang chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf. V\u00ec v\u1eady, b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 nh\u1ecbp ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 n\u00e0o c\u0169ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u1ecb b\u00e1n xu\u1ed1ng.<\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ban \u0111\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n quanh v\u00f9ng $91.50\u2013$92.00, n\u01a1i ngu\u1ed3n cung trong ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh, tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi g\u1eb7p kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 k\u1ef3 quanh $98, tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u00e1y k\u00eanh \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1, khi\u1ebfn khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n quan tr\u1ecdng khi gi\u00e1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i. C\u1ea7n c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 tr\u00ean $98 \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng k\u00eanh c\u0169 quanh $96\u2013$100 v\u00e0 l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i m\u1ed1c t\u00e2m l\u00fd $90.00; n\u1ebfu ph\u00e1 xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi s\u1ebd m\u1edf ra kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 $88.50 v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 $86.00 n\u1ebfu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n. Vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 gi\u1eef \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u00ean $90.00 ch\u1ec9 mang t\u00ednh t\u00edch l\u0169y trong khi v\u1eabn b\u1ecb gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 k\u1ef3.<\/p>\n

(Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt trong b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 AI.)<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/h2>\n
\n

\"Chart<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 d\u1ea7u WTI<\/strong><\/h3>\n

WTI l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1i d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. WTI l\u00e0 vi\u1ebft t\u1eaft c\u1ee7a West Texas Intermediate, m\u1ed9t trong ba lo\u1ea1i d\u1ea7u ch\u00ednh c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi Brent v\u00e0 Dubai Crude. WTI c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 d\u1ea7u \u201cnh\u1eb9\u201d v\u00e0 \u201cng\u1ecdt\u201d do c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 h\u00e0m l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u01b0u hu\u1ef3nh th\u1ea5p. \u0110\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 lo\u1ea1i d\u1ea7u ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao, d\u1ec5 tinh ch\u1ebf. WTI \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c khai th\u00e1c t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i th\u00f4ng qua trung t\u00e2m Cushing \u2013 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 \u201cng\u00e3 ba \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi\u201d. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 chu\u1ea9n tham chi\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 WTI th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng tr\u00edch d\u1eabn.<\/p>\n

Gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n kh\u00e1c, cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh chi ph\u1ed1i gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u WTI. Do \u0111\u00f3, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y nhu c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i khi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng y\u1ebfu. B\u1ea5t \u1ed5n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u00e0 c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n ngu\u1ed3n cung v\u00e0 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1. C\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a OPEC \u2013 nh\u00f3m c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t d\u1ea7u l\u1edbn \u2013 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1. Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD c\u0169ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u WTI, v\u00ec d\u1ea7u ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch b\u1eb1ng USD; do \u0111\u00f3 USD y\u1ebfu khi\u1ebfn d\u1ea7u r\u1ebb h\u01a1n v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o t\u1ed3n kho d\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n do Vi\u1ec7n D\u1ea7u m\u1ecf M\u1ef9 (API) v\u00e0 C\u01a1 quan Th\u00f4ng tin N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng M\u1ef9 (EIA) c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 c\u0169ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 WTI. Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ed3n kho ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i cung \u2013 c\u1ea7u. N\u1ebfu d\u1eef li\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y t\u1ed3n kho gi\u1ea3m, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cho th\u1ea5y nhu c\u1ea7u t\u0103ng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u l\u00ean. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, t\u1ed3n kho t\u0103ng cho th\u1ea5y ngu\u1ed3n cung t\u0103ng, g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1. B\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a API \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n v\u00e0 EIA v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m sau. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a hai b\u00e1o c\u00e1o th\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng, tr\u00f9ng kh\u1edbp trong kho\u1ea3ng 75% tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi sai l\u1ec7ch trong v\u00f2ng 1%. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a EIA \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n v\u00ec \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 c\u01a1 quan ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7.<\/p>\n

OPEC (T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u D\u1ea7u m\u1ecf) l\u00e0 nh\u00f3m g\u1ed3m 12 qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t d\u1ea7u, c\u00f9ng nhau quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u1ea1n ng\u1ea1ch s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cho c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp di\u1ec5n ra hai l\u1ea7n m\u1ed7i n\u0103m. C\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u WTI. Khi OPEC gi\u1ea3m h\u1ea1n ng\u1ea1ch, ngu\u1ed3n cung b\u1ecb th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t, \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng. Khi OPEC t\u0103ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ebd ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i. OPEC+ l\u00e0 nh\u00f3m m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng bao g\u1ed3m th\u00eam 10 qu\u1ed1c gia ngo\u00e0i OPEC, trong \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 Nga.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

D\u1ea7u th\u00f4 West Texas Intermediate (WTI) \u2013 chu\u1ea9n gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u2013 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":69165,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69163","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69163","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69163"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69163\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":69388,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69163\/revisions\/69388"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/69165"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69163"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69163"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69163"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}