{"id":68746,"date":"2026-04-07T08:57:12","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T01:57:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/gbp-usd-steady-above-1-32-after-ism-miss-weighs-on-the-us-dollar\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T09:01:53","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T02:01:53","slug":"gbp-usd-giu-on-dinh-tren-muc-1-32-sau-khi-du-lieu-ism-kem-gay-ap-luc-len-dong-do-la-my","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/gbp-usd-giu-on-dinh-tren-muc-1-32-sau-khi-du-lieu-ism-kem-gay-ap-luc-len-dong-do-la-my\/","title":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD gi\u1eef \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c 1.32 sau khi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u ISM k\u00e9m g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9"},"content":{"rendered":"
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GBP\/USD \u0111i ngang trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 Hai, \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda quanh m\u1ee9c 1.3240 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh thanh kho\u1ea3n th\u1ea5p do Anh ngh\u1ec9 l\u1ec5 Easter Monday. C\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u1eb9 t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1y tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc g\u1ea7n 1.3180, m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 3, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e0 h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c v\u1eabn c\u00f2n y\u1ebfu. Gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ec9nh cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 1 quanh 1.3870, v\u1edbi phe b\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c k\u00ecm h\u00e3m c\u00e1c nh\u1ecbp t\u0103ng l\u00ean khu v\u1ef1c 1.3300 trong c\u00e1c phi\u00ean g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3ng Anh, Bank of England (BoE) \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ed gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u1edf m\u1ee9c 3.75% trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u00e1ng 3, \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd so v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 s\u00edt sao 5\u20134 \u1edf th\u00e1ng 2. C\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m, bao g\u1ed3m Sarah Breeden v\u00e0 Swati Dhingra, \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n sang gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t do chi ph\u00ed n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gia t\u0103ng li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn xung \u0111\u1ed9t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. BoE c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng (CPI) c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean kho\u1ea3ng 3%\u20133.5% trong c\u00e1c qu\u00fd t\u1edbi, trong khi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP v\u1eabn \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong 10 n\u0103m l\u00e0 5.2%. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u PMI D\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 th\u00e1ng 3 c\u1ee7a S&P Global, v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o 51.2, s\u1ebd l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng ti\u1ebfp theo \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3ng.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 PMI D\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 ISM gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng 54 trong th\u00e1ng 3 t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 56.1 c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng 2, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o 55. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ph\u1ee5 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng 45.2, m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 12\/2023, trong khi chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean 70.7, m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 10\/2022. S\u1ef1 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p gi\u1eefa th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 chi ph\u00ed t\u0103ng cao \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng \u0111\u00ecnh l\u1ea1m li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn xung \u0111\u1ed9t Iran v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng leo thang. Federal Reserve (Fed) hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang gi\u1eef l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t qu\u1ef9 li\u00ean bang trong kho\u1ea3ng 3.50%\u20133.75%, v\u1edbi bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp c\u1ee7a Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 PCE l\u00f5i c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m s\u1ebd l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh ti\u1ebfp theo t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng USD.<\/p>\n

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Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 GBP\/USD khung th\u1eddi gian 5 ph\u00fat<\/h2>\n
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\"Chart<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/h2>\n

Trong bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 5 ph\u00fat, GBP\/USD giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c 1.3236. Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n nghi\u00eang nh\u1eb9 v\u1ec1 t\u0103ng khi gi\u00e1 duy tr\u00ec \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng EMA 200 k\u1ef3 quanh m\u1ee9c 1.3233, gi\u00fap xu h\u01b0\u1edbng trong ng\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e2ng \u0111\u1ee1 d\u00f9 bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00f2n h\u1eb9p. Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o Stochastic RSI g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 xu\u1ed1ng v\u00f9ng th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n sau khi kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec tr\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 70 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng khi gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n trong ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i 1.3233, n\u01a1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng EMA 200 k\u1ef3 tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh nh\u1eb9 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 1.3230 n\u1ebfu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gia t\u0103ng trong ng\u00e0y khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh n\u00e0y b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1. N\u1ebfu th\u1ee7ng 1.3230, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1ec1 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ti\u1ebfp theo t\u1ea1i 1.3220. \u1ede chi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i 1.3240, m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh trong ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, v\u00e0 n\u1ebfu v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng l\u00ean 1.3250 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec.<\/p>\n

(Ph\u1ea7n ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt trong b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 AI.)<\/p>\n

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C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3ng Anh<\/h2>\n
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\u0110\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3ng Anh (GBP) l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n l\u00e2u \u0111\u1eddi nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (t\u1eeb n\u0103m 886) v\u00e0 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a V\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c Anh. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch nhi\u1ec1u th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i (FX), chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 12% t\u1ed5ng kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng trung b\u00ecnh 630 t\u1ef7 USD m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u0103m 2022. C\u00e1c c\u1eb7p giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00ednh bao g\u1ed3m GBP\/USD (c\u00f2n g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201cCable\u201d) chi\u1ebfm 11% th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n FX, GBP\/JPY (\u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trader g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201cDragon\u201d) chi\u1ebfm 3%, v\u00e0 EUR\/GBP chi\u1ebfm 2%. \u0110\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh b\u1edfi Bank of England (BoE).<\/p>\n

Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3ng Anh l\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 do Bank of England quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh. BoE \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u201c\u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3\u201d \u2013 t\u1ee9c duy tr\u00ec l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh kho\u1ea3ng 2%. C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. Khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t qu\u00e1 cao, BoE s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf, khi\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c vay v\u1ed1n tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u1eaft \u0111\u1ecf h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 doanh nghi\u1ec7p. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho GBP v\u00ec l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao khi\u1ebfn Anh tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t qu\u00e1 th\u1ea5p, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i. Trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p n\u00e0y, BoE c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch vay v\u1ed1n v\u00e0 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3ng. C\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 nh\u01b0 GDP, PMI s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u1ee7a GBP. M\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3ng, kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 v\u00ec thu h\u00fat \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn BoE t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, qua \u0111\u00f3 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb GBP. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf y\u1ebfu, \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3ng c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng suy gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia trong m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh. N\u1ebfu m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u01b0a chu\u1ed9ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i nh\u1edd nhu c\u1ea7u mua t\u1eeb n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i t\u0103ng l\u00ean. Do \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1, v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i n\u1ebfu c\u00e1n c\u00e2n \u00e2m.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

GBP\/USD \u0111i ngang trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 Hai, \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda quanh m\u1ee9c 1.3240 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh thanh kho\u1ea3n th\u1ea5p do Anh […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":68748,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68746","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68746","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=68746"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68746\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":68823,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68746\/revisions\/68823"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/68748"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=68746"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=68746"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=68746"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}