{"id":65931,"date":"2026-03-27T09:04:46","date_gmt":"2026-03-27T02:04:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/gbp-usd-drifts-lower-as-iran-oil-shock-clouds-the-boe-rate-outlook\/"},"modified":"2026-03-27T10:38:58","modified_gmt":"2026-03-27T03:38:58","slug":"gbp-usd-drifts-lower-as-iran-oil-shock-clouds-the-boe-rate-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/gbp-usd-drifts-lower-as-iran-oil-shock-clouds-the-boe-rate-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 khi c\u00fa s\u1ed1c gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u do xung \u0111\u1ed9t Iran l\u00e0m lu m\u1edd tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a BoE."},"content":{"rendered":"
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GBP\/USD<\/strong> gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 0,1% v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, ch\u1ed1t quanh m\u1ee9c 1,3340 trong m\u1ed9t phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng. C\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng trong bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 kho\u1ea3ng 200 pip, t\u1eeb 1,3230 \u0111\u1ebfn 1,3430 trong ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn th\u00e1ng 3, v\u1edbi chu\u1ed7i c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh th\u1ea5p d\u1ea7n k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 1 g\u1ea7n 1,3820, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu d\u1ea7n. C\u00e2y n\u1ebfn th\u1ee9 N\u0103m ghi nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t nh\u1ecbp gi\u1ea3m nhanh xu\u1ed1ng g\u1ea7n 1,3310 trong phi\u00ean M\u1ef9 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi l\u1ef1c mua quay l\u1ea1i gi\u00fap gi\u00e1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o.<\/p>\n

Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Anh (BoE<\/strong>) gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u1edf m\u1ee9c 3,75% trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ng\u00e0y 19\/3 v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed3ng thu\u1eadn tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i, m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c chia r\u1ebd 5-4 h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 2 khi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc. Chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz b\u1ecb \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i Anh; th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u00f3 hai l\u1ea7n c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m nay chuy\u1ec3n sang k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2026, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng. BoE c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t theo ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng (CPI), hi\u1ec7n \u1edf m\u1ee9c 3% trong th\u00e1ng 2, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 3,5% trong c\u00e1c qu\u00fd t\u1edbi do chi ph\u00ed n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gia t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u s\u1ebd c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb th\u00e1ng 2 c\u1ee7a Anh (d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o -0,8% theo th\u00e1ng) v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ni\u1ec1m tin ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng GfK th\u00e1ng 3, \u0111\u1ea1t -21, c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n nh\u1eb9 so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o -24 nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn \u1edf v\u00f9ng r\u1ea5t ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c. N\u1ebfu s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u b\u00e1n l\u1ebb y\u1ebfu, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd l\u00e0m n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt s\u1ef1 gi\u1eb1ng co gi\u1eefa l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng v\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u suy y\u1ebfu m\u00e0 \u1ee6y ban Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 (MPC) \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp trong bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n th\u00e1ng 3.<\/p>\n

\u1ede ph\u00eda \u0111\u1ed3ng USD, C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed<\/strong>) gi\u1eef l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong kho\u1ea3ng 3,50%\u20133,75% t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u00e1ng 3, v\u1edbi bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o (dot plot) cho th\u1ea5y ch\u1ec9 m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m trong n\u0103m nay. S\u1ed1 \u0111\u01a1n xin tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 N\u0103m \u0111\u1ea1t 210 ngh\u00ecn, \u0111\u00fang nh\u01b0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng t\u1ea1o nhi\u1ec1u t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u g\u1ed3m ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ni\u1ec1m tin ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Michigan (d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o 54, tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 55,5) v\u00e0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t m\u1ed9t n\u0103m (d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o 3,4%); b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd t\u0103ng n\u00e0o v\u1ec1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t s\u1ebd c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Fed v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD tr\u01b0\u1edbc cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp FOMC v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4.<\/p>\n

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GBP\/USD five-minute chart<\/h2>\n
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\"Chart<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 5 ph\u00fat<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 5 ph\u00fat, GBP\/USD<\/strong> \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c 1,3340. Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n nghi\u00eang nh\u1eb9 v\u1ec1 t\u0103ng khi gi\u00e1 \u0111ang d\u1ea7n v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y quanh 1,3336\u20131,3338, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m ngay d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng EMA 200 k\u1ef3 \u0111ang d\u1ed1c xu\u1ed1ng nh\u1eb9 t\u1ea1i kho\u1ea3ng 1,3342.<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o Stochastic RSI \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng trung t\u00ednh v\u00e0 \u0111ang h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u00ean, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng \u0111ang c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n thay v\u00ec r\u01a1i v\u00e0o tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i qu\u00e1 mua ho\u1eb7c qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng t\u1eeb t\u1eeb v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00f3, thay v\u00ec \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m ngay.<\/p>\n

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  • Kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 g\u1ea7n:<\/strong> 1,3342 (EMA 200 k\u1ef3), n\u1ebfu v\u01b0\u1ee3t s\u1ebd h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi 1,3350<\/li>\n
  • H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 g\u1ea7n:<\/strong> 1,3335, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 1,3330<\/li>\n
  • N\u1ebfu gi\u1ea3m d\u01b0\u1edbi v\u00f9ng n\u00e0y, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 quay l\u1ea1i 1,3320<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Ch\u1eebng n\u00e0o GBP\/USD c\u00f2n gi\u1eef tr\u00ean 1,3335, c\u00e1c nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh trong ng\u00e0y c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c mua v\u00e0o, v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ki\u1ec3m tra v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 1,3342\u20131,3350.<\/p>\n

    Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y (Daily)<\/strong><\/h3>\n

    Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y, GBP\/USD v\u1eabn giao d\u1ecbch quanh 1,3340. Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n h\u01a1i nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 gi\u1ea3m khi gi\u00e1 n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng EMA 50 ng\u00e0y \u0111ang d\u1ed1c xu\u1ed1ng nh\u1eb9 (kho\u1ea3ng 1,3430), \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ch\u1ec9 nh\u1ec9nh h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat so v\u1edbi EMA 200 ng\u00e0y (kho\u1ea3ng 1,3370). \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y gi\u00e1 \u0111ang b\u1ecb \u201ck\u1eb9t\u201d gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u xu h\u01b0\u1edbng trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n

    C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac n\u00e0y ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu sau nh\u1ecbp h\u1ed3i tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. Stochastic RSI \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n l\u00ean g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 80 nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh, cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c nh\u1ecbp t\u0103ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u1eb7p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n thay v\u00ec l\u1ef1c mua b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5.<\/p>\n

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    • Kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1:<\/strong> 1,3430 (EMA 50 ng\u00e0y); n\u1ebfu \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 m\u1edf ra v\u00f9ng 1,3500<\/li>\n
    • H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3:<\/strong> 1,3370 (EMA 200 ng\u00e0y); n\u1ebfu ph\u00e1 xu\u1ed1ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 1,3250<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng 1,3430 trong khi c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao, r\u1ee7i ro v\u1eabn nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng quay l\u1ea1i ki\u1ec3m tra v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 1,3250 trong c\u00e1c phi\u00ean t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

      C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 B\u1ea3ng Anh (GBP)<\/strong><\/h2>\n

      B\u1ea3ng Anh (GBP) l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n l\u00e2u \u0111\u1eddi nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (t\u1eeb n\u0103m 886) v\u00e0 l\u00e0 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a V\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c Anh. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch nhi\u1ec1u th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 12% t\u1ed5ng giao d\u1ecbch to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u (theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u0103m 2022), v\u1edbi kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng trung b\u00ecnh kho\u1ea3ng 630 t\u1ef7 USD m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y. C\u00e1c c\u1eb7p giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00ednh g\u1ed3m:<\/p>\n

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      • GBP\/USD (Cable)<\/strong> \u2013 chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 11%<\/li>\n
      • GBP\/JPY (Dragon)<\/strong> \u2013 kho\u1ea3ng 3%<\/li>\n
      • EUR\/GBP<\/strong> \u2013 kho\u1ea3ng 2%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        B\u1ea3ng Anh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh b\u1edfi Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Anh (BoE).<\/p>\n

        Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a GBP l\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a BoE, v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 (l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t kho\u1ea3ng 2%). C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t:<\/p>\n

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        • Khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t cao \u2192 BoE t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u2192 GBP m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean<\/li>\n
        • Khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t th\u1ea5p, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng y\u1ebfu \u2192 BoE gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u2192 GBP y\u1ebfu \u0111i<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

          C\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf nh\u01b0 GDP, PMI s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5, hay vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m c\u0169ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ebfn GBP. N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh s\u1ebd thu h\u00fat \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea3ng.<\/p>\n

          Ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng. N\u1ebfu m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u m\u1ea1nh (th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i), \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 do nhu c\u1ea7u t\u1eeb n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

          GBP\/USD gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 0,1% v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, ch\u1ed1t quanh m\u1ee9c 1,3340 trong m\u1ed9t phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng. C\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":65932,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-65931","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65931","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65931"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65931\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":66162,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65931\/revisions\/66162"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/65932"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65931"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65931"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65931"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}