{"id":65850,"date":"2026-03-27T09:04:50","date_gmt":"2026-03-27T02:04:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/australian-dollar-falls-to-two-month-lows-on-us-iran-peace-uncertainty\/"},"modified":"2026-03-27T10:39:35","modified_gmt":"2026-03-27T03:39:35","slug":"australian-dollar-falls-to-two-month-lows-on-us-iran-peace-uncertainty","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/australian-dollar-falls-to-two-month-lows-on-us-iran-peace-uncertainty\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac r\u01a1i xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong hai th\u00e1ng do b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh xung quanh tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh M\u1ef9\u2013Iran."},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

AUD\/USD<\/strong> n\u1ed1i d\u00e0i chu\u1ed7i gi\u1ea3m sang ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, giao d\u1ecbch quanh 0,6880<\/strong> trong phi\u00ean ch\u00e2u \u00c1 ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u. C\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ea1m m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong hai th\u00e1ng t\u1ea1i 0,6877<\/strong>, ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 suy y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD)<\/strong> khi gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u \u0111i l\u00ean l\u00e0m x\u1ea5u \u0111i t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh xoay quanh c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9<\/strong> v\u00e0 Iran<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump<\/strong> cho bi\u1ebft Washington s\u1ebd t\u1ea1m ho\u00e3n c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a Iran trong 10 ng\u00e0y<\/strong>, k\u00e9o d\u00e0i th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 ng\u00e0y 6\/4<\/strong> \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba cho \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n. \u00d4ng Trump cho r\u1eb1ng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra sau \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb t\u1eeb ph\u00eda Iran. Tuy nhi\u00ean, Wall Street Journal<\/strong> d\u1eabn l\u1eddi c\u00e1c b\u00ean trung gian cho bi\u1ebft Iran ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eadn vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, qua \u0111\u00f3 cho th\u1ea5y ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh ngo\u1ea1i giao v\u1eabn r\u1ea5t mong manh v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn<\/strong> trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n l\u00e0 kh\u00e1 th\u1ea5p.<\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, L\u1ea7u N\u0103m G\u00f3c<\/strong> \u0111ang xem x\u00e9t k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch tri\u1ec3n khai th\u00eam t\u1ed1i \u0111a 10.000 binh s\u0129 b\u1ed9 binh<\/strong> t\u1edbi Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. C\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng cho bi\u1ebft ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u00e1n n\u00e0y nh\u1eb1m t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00ednh linh ho\u1ea1t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/strong>, cho ph\u00e9p leo thang nhanh n\u1ebfu \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n \u0111\u1ed5 v\u1ee1, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi duy tr\u00ec m\u1ed9t n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c r\u0103n \u0111e \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady<\/strong> trong khu v\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n

\u1ede g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7<\/strong>, Ph\u00f3 Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c RBA Christopher Kent<\/strong> h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 N\u0103m c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t<\/strong> khi gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng. \u00d4ng Kent n\u00f3i th\u00eam r\u1eb1ng h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh v\u1eabn t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u0111\u01b0a l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o to\u00e0n d\u1ee5ng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/strong>, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trung t\u00ednh ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n<\/strong> l\u00ean cao h\u01a1n v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda Fed<\/strong>, Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c Stephen Miran<\/strong> h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 N\u0103m cho bi\u1ebft vi\u1ec7c thu h\u1eb9p quy m\u00f4 b\u1ea3ng c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i k\u1ebf to\u00e1n<\/strong> c\u1ee7a Fed s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t<\/strong> hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n. \u00d4ng Miran ph\u00e1c th\u1ea3o kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m quy m\u00f4 n\u1eafm gi\u1eef t\u1eeb 1.000 t\u1ef7 USD \u0111\u1ebfn 2.000 t\u1ef7 USD<\/strong>, nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t b\u1ea3ng c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i nh\u1ecf h\u01a1n s\u1ebd gi\u00fap Fed linh ho\u1ea1t h\u01a1n trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, trong khi b\u1ea3ng c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i qu\u00e1 l\u1edbn c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 g\u00e2y m\u00e9o m\u00f3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

D\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng mang l\u1ea1i nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi, khi s\u1ed1 \u0110\u01a1n xin tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u<\/strong> \u0111\u00fang nh\u01b0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng \u1edf m\u1ee9c 210 ngh\u00ecn<\/strong>. S\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd hi\u1ec7n chuy\u1ec3n sang d\u1eef li\u1ec7u ni\u1ec1m tin ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Michigan (UoM)<\/strong> v\u00e0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t m\u1ed9t n\u0103m<\/strong> s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 trong ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u.<\/p>\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 t\u00e2m l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Trong thu\u1eadt ng\u1eef t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, hai kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i l\u00e0 \u201crisk-on\u201d<\/strong> v\u00e0 \u201crisk-off\u201d<\/strong>, d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ee7i ro m\u00e0 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn trong m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh. Trong tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i \u201crisk-on\u201d<\/strong>, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai v\u00e0 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng mua c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro h\u01a1n. Trong tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i \u201crisk-off\u201d<\/strong>, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 v\u00ec lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, do \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m n\u1eafm gi\u1eef t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n sang c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n an to\u00e0n h\u01a1n, c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c sinh l\u1eddi ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn h\u01a1n d\u00f9 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i khi\u00eam t\u1ed1n.<\/p>\n

Th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u201crisk-on\u201d<\/strong>, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu s\u1ebd \u0111i l\u00ean, ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a \u2013 ngo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb V\u00e0ng<\/strong> \u2013 c\u0169ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 nh\u1edd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c. \u0110\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a l\u1edbn th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean nh\u1edd nhu c\u1ea7u gia t\u0103ng, v\u00e0 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed<\/strong> c\u0169ng \u0111i l\u00ean. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, trong m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u201crisk-off\u201d<\/strong>, tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu<\/strong> t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 \u2013 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7<\/strong> c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn \u2013 V\u00e0ng<\/strong> th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ecfa s\u00e1ng, c\u00f2n c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n tr\u00fa \u1ea9n nh\u01b0 Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt<\/strong>, Franc Th\u1ee5y S\u0129<\/strong> v\u00e0 \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9<\/strong> \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD)<\/strong>, \u0110\u00f4 la Canada (CAD)<\/strong>, \u0110\u00f4 la New Zealand (NZD)<\/strong> v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ph\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 R\u00fap Nga (RUB)<\/strong> hay Rand Nam Phi (ZAR)<\/strong> th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng trong m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u201crisk-on\u201d<\/strong>. Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n l\u00e0 v\u00ec n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0o xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a<\/strong> \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng, trong khi gi\u00e1 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n risk-on<\/strong>. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 r\u1eb1ng nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u th\u00f4 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai nh\u1edd ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf s\u00f4i \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u201crisk-off\u201d<\/strong> l\u00e0 \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD)<\/strong>, Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt (JPY)<\/strong> v\u00e0 Franc Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 (CHF)<\/strong>. USD<\/strong> \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 v\u00ec \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u<\/strong>, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng mua n\u1ee3 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 M\u1ef9<\/strong>, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 an to\u00e0n do n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng v\u1ee1 n\u1ee3. JPY<\/strong> h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i nh\u1edd nhu c\u1ea7u gia t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n<\/strong>, b\u1edfi ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn l\u01b0\u1ee3ng tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu n\u00e0y do nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u1eafm gi\u1eef v\u00e0 h\u1ecd \u00edt c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u00e1n th\u00e1o ngay c\u1ea3 trong kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng. CHF<\/strong> \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 nh\u1edd h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng lu\u1eadt ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t c\u1ee7a Th\u1ee5y S\u0129, qua \u0111\u00f3 mang l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 b\u1ea3o to\u00e0n v\u1ed1n cao h\u01a1n cho nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD n\u1ed1i d\u00e0i chu\u1ed7i gi\u1ea3m sang ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, giao d\u1ecbch quanh 0,6880 trong phi\u00ean ch\u00e2u \u00c1 ng\u00e0y […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":65853,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-65850","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65850","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65850"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65850\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":66164,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65850\/revisions\/66164"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/65853"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65850"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65850"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65850"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}