{"id":64349,"date":"2026-03-23T09:44:53","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T02:44:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/iea-chief-birol-situation-in-middle-east-is-severe\/"},"modified":"2026-03-23T11:28:05","modified_gmt":"2026-03-23T04:28:05","slug":"iea-chief-birol-situation-in-middle-east-is-severe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/iea-chief-birol-situation-in-middle-east-is-severe\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00d4ng Birol, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u IEA, nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111ang di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn h\u1ebft s\u1ee9c nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng."},"content":{"rendered":"

T\u1ed5ng gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c C\u01a1 quan N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IEA), \u00f4ng Fatih Birol, cho bi\u1ebft h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Hai r\u1eb1ng \u00f4ng \u0111ang tham v\u1ea5n v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u; n\u1ebfu c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft, s\u1ebd c\u00f3 th\u00eam c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t x\u1ea3 d\u1ea7u t\u1eeb kho d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef.<\/p>\n

T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n

Cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u00f2n t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 h\u01a1n t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng hai cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf trong th\u1eadp ni\u00ean 1970.<\/p>\n

Gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t, mang t\u00ednh then ch\u1ed1t cho c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 hi\u1ec7n nay, l\u00e0 m\u1edf l\u1ea1i Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz.<\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7n IEA \u0111ang l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi; n\u1ebfu c\u1ea7n, s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u00f3 th\u00eam c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3i ph\u00f3ng ngu\u1ed3n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef d\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 n\u00e0o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1eb7t ra \u0111\u1ec3 k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t th\u00eam c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t x\u1ea3 d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef.<\/p>\n

T\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u \u0111ang ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u1edbn t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c1.<\/p>\n

Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Australia \u0111ang n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c t\u1ed1i \u0111a \u0111\u1ec3 n\u00e2ng m\u1ee9c d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u.<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 nh\u00edch t\u0103ng sau ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u n\u00e0y. T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u01b0a tin, d\u1ea7u WTI t\u0103ng 0,66% trong ng\u00e0y, l\u00ean 97,85 USD\/th\u00f9ng.<\/p>\n

\n

\"\"<\/h2>\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 d\u1ea7u WTI<\/h2>\n

D\u1ea7u WTI l\u00e0 g\u00ec?
WTI l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1i d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. WTI l\u00e0 vi\u1ebft t\u1eaft c\u1ee7a West Texas Intermediate, m\u1ed9t trong ba chu\u1ea9n d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh Brent v\u00e0 Dubai Crude. WTI c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 d\u1ea7u nh\u1eb9 v\u00e0 ng\u1ecdt, do c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 h\u00e0m l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u01b0u hu\u1ef3nh th\u1ea5p. \u0110\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 lo\u1ea1i d\u1ea7u ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao, d\u1ec5 tinh ch\u1ebf. Ngu\u1ed3n cung WTI xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i th\u00f4ng qua trung t\u00e2m Cushing, n\u01a1i th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m giao c\u1eaft \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ed1ng d\u1eabn d\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. WTI l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chu\u1ea9n tham chi\u1ebfu quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 WTI th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng tr\u00edch d\u1eabn.<\/p>\n

Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0o chi ph\u1ed1i gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u WTI?
Gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ecdi lo\u1ea1i t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n kh\u00e1c, cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u WTI. Theo \u0111\u00f3, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 d\u1ea7u, trong khi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng suy y\u1ebfu s\u1ebd g\u00e2y t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i. B\u1ea5t \u1ed5n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u00e0 c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n ngu\u1ed3n cung v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1. C\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a OPEC, nh\u00f3m c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t d\u1ea7u l\u1edbn, c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 d\u1eabn d\u1eaft quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u. Ngo\u00e0i ra, di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD c\u0169ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u WTI, b\u1edfi d\u1ea7u ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 b\u1eb1ng USD; USD suy y\u1ebfu th\u01b0\u1eddng khi\u1ebfn d\u1ea7u tr\u1edf n\u00ean r\u1ebb h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n kh\u00e1c, v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

B\u00e1o c\u00e1o t\u1ed3n kho d\u1ea7u \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 WTI?
C\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o t\u1ed3n kho d\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n do Vi\u1ec7n D\u1ea7u kh\u00ed M\u1ef9 (API) v\u00e0 C\u01a1 quan Th\u00f4ng tin N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng M\u1ef9 (EIA) c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 WTI. Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ed3n kho ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ee7a cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u. N\u1ebfu s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y t\u1ed3n kho s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u00e0m \u00fd nhu c\u1ea7u t\u0103ng l\u00ean, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u \u0111i l\u00ean. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, t\u1ed3n kho t\u0103ng cao c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh ngu\u1ed3n cung gia t\u0103ng, g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1. B\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a API \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba h\u1eb1ng tu\u1ea7n, c\u00f2n b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a EIA \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m sau. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a hai b\u00e1o c\u00e1o n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng, v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch trong kho\u1ea3ng 1% t\u1edbi 75% s\u1ed1 l\u1ea7n c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1. Tuy nhi\u00ean, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a EIA th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n do \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 c\u01a1 quan thu\u1ed9c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

OPEC t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u WTI nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o?
OPEC (T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u D\u1ea7u m\u1ecf) l\u00e0 nh\u00f3m g\u1ed3m 12 qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t d\u1ea7u, c\u00f9ng ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u1ea1n ng\u1ea1ch s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cho c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u1ef3 hai l\u1ea7n m\u1ed7i n\u0103m. Nh\u1eefng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u WTI. Khi OPEC quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m h\u1ea1n ng\u1ea1ch, ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb si\u1ebft l\u1ea1i, qua \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng l\u00ean. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi OPEC n\u00e2ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1. OPEC+ l\u00e0 phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a OPEC, bao g\u1ed3m th\u00eam 10 qu\u1ed1c gia ngo\u00e0i OPEC, trong \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 Nga.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u1ed5ng gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c C\u01a1 quan N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IEA), \u00f4ng Fatih Birol, cho bi\u1ebft h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Hai r\u1eb1ng \u00f4ng […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":64351,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-64349","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64349","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64349"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64349\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64554,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64349\/revisions\/64554"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/64351"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64349"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64349"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64349"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}