{"id":62165,"date":"2026-03-01T22:12:38","date_gmt":"2026-03-01T15:12:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/xung-dot-o-iran-co-the-day-gia-dau-vang-usd-cung-tang\/"},"modified":"2026-03-01T22:12:38","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T15:12:38","slug":"xung-dot-o-iran-co-the-day-gia-dau-vang-usd-cung-tang","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/xung-dot-o-iran-co-the-day-gia-dau-vang-usd-cung-tang\/","title":{"rendered":"Xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u1edf Iran c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u, v\u00e0ng, USD c\u00f9ng t\u0103ng"},"content":{"rendered":"

Chuy\u00ean gia d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o xung \u0111\u1ed9t t\u1ea1i Iran khi\u1ebfn d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 v\u00e0ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1, c\u00f2n USD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp k\u00edch ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c k\u00e9o d\u00e0i.<\/p>\n

S\u00e1ng 28\/2, Qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Ph\u00f2ng v\u1ec7 Israel (IDF) ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch t\u1eadp k\u00edch Iran, nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o c\u00e1c c\u01a1 s\u1edf qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng v\u00e0 t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o, nh\u00e0 ri\u00eang c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c c\u1ea5p cao v\u00e0 t\u01b0\u1edbng l\u0129nh. Tehran ph\u00f3ng t\u00ean l\u1eeda \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda Israel.<\/p>\n

Iran l\u00e0 nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t d\u1ea7u l\u1edbn v\u00e0 t\u1ecda l\u1ea1c \u0111\u1ed1i di\u1ec7n v\u1edbi b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea3o Arab qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz – n\u01a1i kho\u1ea3ng 20% ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111i qua. Do \u0111\u00f3, xung \u0111\u1ed9t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0a ra to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 l\u00ean cao, theo chuy\u00ean gia.<\/p>\n

Ngu\u1ed3n tin c\u1ee7a Reuters<\/em> cho hay m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed l\u1edbn v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1m ng\u1eebng v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 v\u00e0 nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz.<\/p>\n

K\u1ebft th\u00fac phi\u00ean giao th\u1ee9 s\u00e1u (27\/2), d\u1ea7u Brent \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 73 USD m\u1ed9t th\u00f9ng, t\u0103ng 20% t\u00ednh t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m. Trong khi d\u1ea7u WTI giao d\u1ecbch quanh 67 USD m\u1ed7i th\u00f9ng. Theo William Jackson, chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i t\u1ea1i Capital Economics, k\u1ec3 c\u1ea3 xung \u0111\u1ed9t s\u1edbm ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u Brent v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00ean kho\u1ea3ng 80 USD m\u1ed7i th\u00f9ng, m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh trong cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed9 12 ng\u00e0y \u1edf Iran h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 6\/2025.<\/p>\n

N\u1ebfu t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i h\u01a1n g\u00e2y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 v\u1ecdt l\u00ean kho\u1ea3ng 100 USD. Khi \u1ea5y, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng th\u00eam 0,6-0,7 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n
\"Illustration <\/picture><\/div>
\n

\u1ea2nh \u0111\u1ed3 h\u1ecda van d\u1ea7u tr\u00ean n\u1ec1n b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed3 eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz. Ngu\u1ed3n: Reuters<\/em><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u00d4ng Warren Patterson, Tr\u01b0\u1edfng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1ea1i ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ING (H\u00e0 Lan) c\u0169ng cho r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ng\u1eafn v\u00e0 c\u00f3 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 gi\u1eefa n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng l\u00ean kho\u1ea3ng 80 USD m\u1ed7i th\u00f9ng. N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ea7u, \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 ch\u1ec9 di\u1ec5n ra ng\u1eafn.<\/p>\n

K\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n x\u1ea5u h\u01a1n l\u00e0 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp k\u00edch c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Israel c\u00f3 quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, khi\u1ebfn Tehran tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y g\u00e2y nguy hi\u1ec3m cho ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ea7u t\u1eeb Iran, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf t\u1eeb V\u1ecbnh Ba T\u01b0, \u0111i qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz. K\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n \u0111\u00f3 khi\u1ebfn 9 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 v\u00e0 6 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m t\u1eeb d\u1ea7u v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y n\u01a1i \u0111\u00e2y g\u1eb7p r\u1ee7i ro.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng Warren Patterson c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u hi\u1ec7n kh\u00f4ng d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o nh\u01b0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng. Gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n ngu\u1ed3n cung t\u1eeb Kazakhstan v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m khi\u1ebfn s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t h\u01a1n. C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 b\u00ean ng\u1ea1i nh\u1eadp d\u1ea7u Nga c\u0169ng t\u1ea1o th\u00eam \u00e1p l\u1ef1c tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t.<\/p>\n

Tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y, \u00f4ng cho r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz b\u1ecb gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n, g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 vi\u1ec7c t\u00e0u ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u b\u1ecb t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ho\u1eb7c b\u1eaft gi\u1eef, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u Brent c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u1ecdt l\u00ean 100 USD ban \u0111\u1ea7u, r\u1ed3i \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh \u1edf m\u1ee9c 80-90 USD m\u1ed7i th\u00f9ng. Ch\u1ec9 khi eo bi\u1ec3n n\u00e0y ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n b\u1ecb phong t\u1ecfa, gi\u00e1 m\u1edbi l\u00ean t\u1edbi 140 USD m\u1ed7i th\u00f9ng nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra.<\/p>\n

Kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 d\u1ea7u, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i l\u00ean, khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u1ed5 x\u00f4 mua v\u00e0o. T\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u0111\u1ebfn nay, kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd n\u00e0y t\u0103ng 22%. Kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t c\u1ee7a Kitco cho th\u1ea5y Ph\u1ed1 Wall v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed3ng thu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng v\u00e0ng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 tu\u1ea7n sau.<\/p>\n

Xung \u0111\u1ed9t c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng nhu c\u1ea7u v\u1edbi tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9. Tuy nhi\u00ean, Bitcoin kh\u00f4ng h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i. Ti\u1ec1n s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 n\u01a1i tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n, gi\u1ea3m 2% h\u00f4m 28\/2 v\u00e0 m\u1ea5t h\u01a1n 25% gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb hai th\u00e1ng qua.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u0169ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng. Theo chuy\u00ean gia, di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a USD ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t. Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 USD gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 1% trong \u0111\u1ee3t t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 6\/2025. Nh\u01b0ng m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m ch\u1ec9 di\u1ec5n ra ng\u1eafn v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u sau 3-4 ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

CBA cho r\u1eb1ng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o quy m\u00f4 v\u00e0 th\u1eddi gian k\u00e9o d\u00e0i c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t. “N\u1ebfu n\u00f3 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ea7u, USD s\u1ebd t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 so v\u1edbi h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n kh\u00e1c, tr\u1eeb yen Nh\u1eadt v\u00e0 franc Th\u1ee5y S\u0129. M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng r\u00f2ng, n\u00ean h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t t\u0103ng cao do ngu\u1ed3n cung b\u1ecb gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n”, nh\u00f3m chuy\u00ean gia CBA, nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 n\u01a1i tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 h\u1ed7n lo\u1ea1n, franc Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng gi\u00e1. \u0110\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 3% so v\u1edbi USD t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u0111\u1ebfn nay.<\/p>\n

Trong khi, \u0111\u1ed3ng shekel c\u1ee7a Israel c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i. \u0110\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y t\u1eebng gi\u1ea3m 5% v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 6\/2025 v\u00e0 c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng sau khi Israel t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng l\u00e3nh s\u1ef1 qu\u00e1n Iran \u1edf Damascus v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4\/2024 v\u00e0 khi Iran ph\u00f3ng t\u00ean l\u1eeda v\u00e0o Israel v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10 c\u00f9ng n\u0103m. T\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u di\u1ec5n ra trong th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn n\u00ean shekel c\u0169ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nhanh.<\/p>\n

Phi\u00ean An <\/strong>(theo Reuters, ING<\/em>)<\/p>\n

<\/span> <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Chuy\u00ean gia d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o xung \u0111\u1ed9t t\u1ea1i Iran khi\u1ebfn d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 v\u00e0ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1, c\u00f2n USD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":62166,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[219],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-62165","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vang"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62165","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=62165"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62165\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62166"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=62165"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=62165"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=62165"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}