{"id":59364,"date":"2026-01-14T10:12:18","date_gmt":"2026-01-14T03:12:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/my-iran-thue-quan-vu-luc-hay-dam-phan\/"},"modified":"2026-01-14T10:12:18","modified_gmt":"2026-01-14T03:12:18","slug":"my-iran-thue-quan-vu-luc-hay-dam-phan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/my-iran-thue-quan-vu-luc-hay-dam-phan\/","title":{"rendered":"M\u1ef9 – Iran: Thu\u1ebf quan, v\u0169 l\u1ef1c hay \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\"m\u1ef9<\/p>

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Nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi tu\u1ea7n h\u00e0nh \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 t\u1ea1i th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 Tehran c\u1ee7a Iran v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 12-1 – \u1ea2nh: REUTERS<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111e d\u1ecda h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1<\/a>, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump ng\u00e0y 12-1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c si\u1ebft ch\u1eb7t s\u1ee9c \u00e9p l\u00ean Iran b\u1eb1ng thu\u1ebf quan. \u00d4ng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0o “l\u00e0m \u0103n” v\u1edbi Iran s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf 25% \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ecdi ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh doanh v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y “c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c”.<\/p>\n

Gi\u1eefa v\u0169 l\u1ef1c v\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao<\/h2>\n

V\u1edbi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh v\u00f2ng l\u1eb7p t\u1ea1i Iran v\u00e0 d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 l\u1ed1i tho\u00e1t khi n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c b\u1ecb c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn, l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y \u00f4ng Trump \u0111\u00e3 ki\u00ean quy\u1ebft tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 s\u1ebd “b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7” ng\u01b0\u1eddi bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh. <\/p>\n

Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ph\u00e1t ng\u00f4n Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng Karoline Leavitt kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng ng\u1ea7n ng\u1ea1i s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 l\u1ef1c v\u00e0 \u0111ang c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng kh\u00f4ng k\u00edch Iran.<\/p>\n

Chuy\u00ean gia Ray Takeyh thu\u1ed9c H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng Quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i cho r\u1eb1ng \u00f4ng Trump c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nh\u1eafm m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau v\u00e0o L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng V\u1ec7 binh c\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng tinh nhu\u1ec7 \u0111ang tham gia tr\u1ea5n \u00e1p bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh. <\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 lan ra 130 tr\u00ean 150 th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a Iran, v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch nhanh g\u1ecdn. <\/p>\n

Ch\u01b0a k\u1ec3, d\u00f9 \u0111\u00e3 suy y\u1ebfu b\u1edfi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Israel v\u00e0o gi\u1eefa n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u1ee7y nhi\u1ec7m Hamas v\u00e0 Hezbollah, b\u1ed9 m\u00e1y an ninh Iran h\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 v\u1eabn c\u00f2n r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n

Gi\u1edbi ch\u1ee9c Iran c\u0169ng th\u1ec1 r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu b\u1ecb t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng th\u00ec Israel v\u00e0 “t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u0103n c\u1ee9, t\u00e0u thuy\u1ec1n M\u1ef9” s\u1ebd l\u00e0 “m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p”. <\/p>\n

“N\u1ebfu Washington mu\u1ed1n th\u1eed ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u00e1n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 m\u00e0 h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eebng th\u1eed tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng”, Ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng Iran Abbas Araghchi n\u00f3i v\u1edbi \u0110\u00e0i Al Jazeera. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng khu\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng khu v\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng, h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 c\u0169ng r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn khi th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n r\u1eb1ng M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng d\u00e1m can thi\u1ec7p, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 sau nh\u1eefng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Trump, theo \u00f4ng Behnam Ben Taleblu – nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u t\u1ea1i T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c B\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7.<\/p>\n

T\u00ednh to\u00e1n \u0111\u1eb1ng sau \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n<\/h2>\n

Do \u0111\u00f3, trong khi c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, \u00f4ng Trump v\u1eeba tung ra \u0111\u00f2n thu\u1ebf 25%<\/a> \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia l\u00e0m \u0103n v\u1edbi Iran, v\u1eeba n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng lu\u00f4n “\u01b0u ti\u00ean ngo\u1ea1i giao”, sau khi Tehran \u0111\u00e1nh ti\u1ebfng s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i v\u1edbi Washington. <\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, sau l\u1eddi \u0111e d\u1ecda n\u00e0y, nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a k\u00fd s\u1eafc l\u1ec7nh h\u00e0nh ph\u00e1p n\u00e0o. M\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra c\u00fa s\u1ed1c cho kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 khi \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t qu\u1ed1c gia c\u0169ng c\u00f3 l\u00e0m \u0103n v\u1edbi Washington nh\u01b0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, C\u00e1c Ti\u1ec3u v\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c \u1ea2 R\u1eadp th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t, kh\u1ed1i EU.<\/p>\n

C\u1ea3 Iran v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec1u x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 li\u00ean l\u1ea1c \u0111\u1ec3 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n. \u00d4ng Trump “c\u00f3 l\u1ebd hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng Iran \u0111ang chao \u0111\u1ea3o trong n\u01b0\u1edbc… [v\u00e0] \u00f4ng \u1ea5y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9 t\u1ed1i \u0111a” – \u00f4ng Jamal Abdi, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng Ng\u01b0\u1eddi M\u1ef9 g\u1ed1c Iran, nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1edbi \u0110\u00e0i Al Jazeera. <\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, sau v\u00f2ng \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed5 v\u1ee1 v\u00ec cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Israel v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o Iran v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 6-2025, Iran d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00f2ng tin v\u00e0o kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y. Ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y d\u00f9 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 lu\u00f4n m\u1edf c\u1eeda \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng “chi\u1ebfn” v\u1edbi Washington.<\/p>\n

Gi\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch cho r\u1eb1ng Tehran s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9 Washington, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 sau khi tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ea1o lo\u1ea1n. Trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u00f3, \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ec3 Iran c\u00e2u gi\u1edd \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt s\u1ee9c \u00e9p, theo b\u00e1o Wall Street Journal.<\/i><\/p>\n

“T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u00e2n b\u00e0i kh\u00f3 \u0111o\u00e1n, m\u1ed9t qu\u1ea3 t\u00ean l\u1eeda kh\u00f4ng b\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn d\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng. \u00d4ng \u1ea5y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn v\u1edbi Iran v\u00e0 ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda n\u00e9m bom, ho\u1eb7c \u00f4ng \u1ea5y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e9m bom tr\u01b0\u1edbc r\u1ed3i m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n. <\/p>\n

Chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c, chi ph\u00ed th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u1ed9t gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p ngo\u1ea1i giao n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3” – \u00f4ng Sina Azodi, Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Trung \u0110\u00f4ng t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc George Washington, nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

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Ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9<\/h3>\n

Theo c\u01a1 s\u1edf d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Trading Economics, c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Iran l\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3, C\u00e1c Ti\u1ec3u v\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c \u1ea2 R\u1eadp th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0 Iraq. Ng\u00e0y 13-1, sau khi \u00f4ng Trump c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f2n thu\u1ebf, Trung Qu\u1ed1c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 s\u1ebd b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 c\u00e1c quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. <\/p>\n

“Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i lu\u00f4n tin r\u1eb1ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1eddi th\u1eafng cu\u1ed9c trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn thu\u1ebf quan, v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd ki\u00ean quy\u1ebft b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 c\u00e1c quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i \u00edch h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh”, H\u00e3ng tin AFP d\u1eabn l\u1eddi ng\u01b0\u1eddi ph\u00e1t ng\u00f4n Mao Ninh c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 Ngo\u1ea1i giao Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, c\u1ea3 B\u1eafc Kinh v\u00e0 Nga \u0111\u1ec1u l\u00ean ti\u1ebfng ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i vi\u1ec7c “can thi\u1ec7p n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9” v\u00e0o Iran.<\/p>\n

Trong n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 M\u1ef9, c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c v\u00e0 Ph\u00f3 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng JD Vance khuy\u00ean \u00f4ng Trump kh\u00f4ng t\u1eeb b\u1ecf ngo\u1ea1i giao tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi kh\u00f4ng k\u00edch Iran. <\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u0169ng c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng quan ch\u1ee9c “di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u” nh\u01b0 th\u01b0\u1ee3ng ngh\u1ecb s\u0129 Lindsey Graham c\u1ed5 v\u0169 \u00f4ng Trump r\u1eb1ng Iran s\u1ebd l\u00e0 “ph\u1ea7n th\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t” gi\u00fap nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o M\u1ef9 ghi t\u00ean m\u00ecnh v\u00e0o s\u00e1ch s\u1eed.<\/p>\n

\u1ede ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, nh\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao EU Kaja Kallas tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 kh\u1ed1i n\u00e0y s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Iran. <\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng \u0110\u1ee9c Friedrich Merz cho r\u1eb1ng Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Iran \u0111ang trong “nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 tu\u1ea7n cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng” nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn “c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u00e0y m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh”.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/pattern> <\/defs> <\/svg> \u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp <\/a> <\/pattern> <\/defs> <\/svg> V\u1ec1 trang Ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 <\/a> <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi tu\u1ea7n h\u00e0nh \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 t\u1ea1i th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 Tehran c\u1ee7a Iran v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 12-1 – \u1ea2nh: REUTERS […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":59367,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[95],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-59364","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-tuc-the-gioi-vi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59364","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59364"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59364\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59367"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59364"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59364"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59364"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}