{"id":57674,"date":"2025-12-24T09:26:40","date_gmt":"2025-12-24T02:26:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/co-hoi-tu-dan-so-vang-yeu-to-then-chot-cho-tang-truong-kinh-te\/"},"modified":"2025-12-24T09:26:40","modified_gmt":"2025-12-24T02:26:40","slug":"co-hoi-tu-dan-so-vang-yeu-to-then-chot-cho-tang-truong-kinh-te","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/co-hoi-tu-dan-so-vang-yeu-to-then-chot-cho-tang-truong-kinh-te\/","title":{"rendered":"C\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u1eeb d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 v\u00e0ng: Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t cho t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

T\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 c\u00e1c nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u chuy\u00ean s\u00e2u, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng t\u1eeb \u0111i\u1ec1u tra d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 \u1edf gi\u1eefa k\u1ef3 c\u00f9ng cu\u1ed9c \u0111i\u1ec1u tra th\u1ef1c tr\u1ea1ng kinh t\u1ebf – x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a 53 d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c thi\u1ec3u s\u1ed1, di\u1ec5n ra ng\u00e0y 23\/12, C\u1ee5c Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea (B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh) \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 3 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt.<\/p>\n

Trong \u0111\u00f3, \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd l\u00e0 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u201cD\u1ef1 b\u00e1o d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 Vi\u1ec7t Nam giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2024-2074\u201d cung c\u1ea5p b\u1ee9c tranh to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n v\u1ec1 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i quy m\u00f4, c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 theo tu\u1ed5i v\u00e0 gi\u1edbi t\u00ednh, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n b\u1ed1 d\u00e2n c\u01b0 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong n\u1eeda th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o cho th\u1ea5y, d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 Vi\u1ec7t Nam ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng trong c\u00e1c th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 t\u1edbi nh\u01b0ng t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh v\u00e0o kho\u1ea3ng n\u0103m 2059 theo ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u00e1n trung b\u00ecnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi chuy\u1ec3n sang giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng ch\u1eadm ho\u1eb7c \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2024-2074, d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 Vi\u1ec7t Nam theo ba k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c sinh th\u1ea5p (1,45 con\/ph\u1ee5 n\u1eef), m\u1ee9c sinh trung b\u00ecnh (1,85 con\/ph\u1ee5 n\u1eef) v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c sinh cao (2,01 con\/ph\u1ee5 n\u1eef) s\u1ebd t\u0103ng th\u00eam t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng l\u00e0 2,5%, 12,7% v\u00e0 17%, \u0111\u1ea1t quy m\u00f4 l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00e0 103,9; 114,2 v\u00e0 118,5 tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 v\u00e0ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd kh\u00e9p l\u1ea1i v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2036, nh\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ed7 cho th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 gi\u00e0 v\u00e0 si\u00eau gi\u00e0, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n qua s\u1ef1 thu h\u1eb9p c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m tu\u1ed5i tr\u1ebb v\u00e0 trung ni\u00ean, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng nhanh c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 cao tu\u1ed5i.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\"W-cuc<\/picture>
To\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh h\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o. \u1ea2nh: Nguy\u1ec5n L\u00ea<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng m\u1ea5t c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng gi\u1edbi t\u00ednh khi sinh k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u1eefa th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 XXI ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u gi\u1edbi t\u00ednh c\u1ee7a d\u00e2n s\u1ed1, trong khi qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u00f4 th\u1ecb h\u00f3a v\u1eabn di\u1ec5n ra nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 th\u00e0nh th\u1ecb ti\u1ec7m c\u1eadn ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 50%.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Di c\u01b0 n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i ph\u00e2n b\u1ed1 d\u00e2n c\u01b0 gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng, ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t v\u1ec1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kinh t\u1ebf – x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng thu h\u00fat, s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng.<\/p>\n

B\u00e0 \u0110\u1ed7 Th\u1ecb Ng\u1ecdc, Ph\u00f3 C\u1ee5c tr\u01b0\u1edfng C\u1ee5c Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh vi\u1ec7c t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf<\/a> v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ea1nh tranh qu\u1ed1c gia.<\/p>\n

Do v\u1eady, c\u1ea7n \u01b0u ti\u00ean \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng cho l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng s\u1ed1, k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng ngh\u1ec1 v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c th\u00edch \u1ee9ng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, c\u1ea7n c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m, ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng an to\u00e0n, linh ho\u1ea1t gi\u00fap gi\u1eef ch\u00e2n v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t huy t\u1ed1i \u0111a l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ebb, t\u0103ng s\u1ee9c ch\u1ed1ng ch\u1ecbu c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u201cNh\u1eefng kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1eb7c tr\u01b0ng kinh t\u1ebf x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i v\u00e0 ngh\u00e8o \u0111a chi\u1ec1u tr\u1ebb em trong c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng c\u00e1c d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c Vi\u1ec7t Nam\u201d cung c\u1ea5p ph\u00e2n t\u00edch to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n v\u1ec1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n s\u1ed1ng, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00e1c d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n trong c\u00e1c c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c thi\u1ec3u s\u1ed1 v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 ngh\u00e8o \u0111a chi\u1ec1u c\u1ee7a tr\u1ebb em d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c thi\u1ec3u s\u1ed1.<\/p>\n

Hay b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u201cDi c\u01b0 n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba Vi\u1ec7t Nam giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2009-2024\u201d t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch xu h\u01b0\u1edbng, quy m\u00f4, c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a di c\u01b0 n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba trong 15 n\u0103m qua, l\u00e0m r\u00f5 m\u1ed1i li\u00ean h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa di c\u01b0 v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng, qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u00f4 th\u1ecb h\u00f3a v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n b\u1ed1 d\u00e2n c\u01b0.<\/p>\n

K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 cho th\u1ea5y, quy m\u00f4 di c\u01b0 n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c cao kho\u1ea3ng 6,4 tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2014-2019 xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n kho\u1ea3ng 3,8 tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2019-2024.<\/p>\n

Trong \u0111\u00f3, di c\u01b0 th\u00e0nh th\u1ecb – th\u00e0nh th\u1ecb chi\u1ebfm t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t (tr\u00ean 70%), cho th\u1ea5y ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn ng\u01b0\u1eddi xu\u1ea5t c\u01b0 t\u1eeb khu v\u1ef1c th\u00e0nh th\u1ecb l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh th\u1ecb kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 sinh s\u1ed1ng. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng di chuy\u1ec3n \u1edf kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch ng\u1eafn ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng r\u00f5 n\u00e9t, ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh nhu c\u1ea7u \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u01a1i c\u01b0 tr\u00fa v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m chi ph\u00ed di chuy\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi di c\u01b0. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 quy m\u00f4 di c\u01b0 n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh, s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi di c\u01b0 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u00e0o d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c thi\u1ec3u s\u1ed1 ch\u1ec9 gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9, l\u00e0m cho t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng nh\u00f3m n\u00e0y t\u0103ng l\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kinh t\u1ebf – x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c n\u00f4ng th\u00f4n, ven \u0111\u00f4 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 v\u1ec7 tinh b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea7u ph\u00e1t huy hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 trong vi\u1ec7c t\u1ea1o vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1eabn c\u1ea7n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch theo h\u01b0\u1edbng linh ho\u1ea1t v\u00e0 bao tr\u00f9m h\u01a1n, ch\u00fa tr\u1ecdng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i t\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 di c\u01b0 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 li\u00ean v\u00f9ng, t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e1c can thi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1eb7c th\u00f9 nh\u1eb1m b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u00e0o d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c thi\u1ec3u s\u1ed1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1eb3ng c\u00e1c d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh di c\u01b0 v\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh cu\u1ed9c s\u1ed1ng.<\/p>\n

<\/picture><\/a> <\/p>\n

Kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam 2025 b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 ngo\u1ea1n m\u1ee5c, t\u1ea1o \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng hai con s\u1ed1<\/a>Nh\u1edd c\u00e1c gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t, s\u1ef1 ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ea1o s\u00e1t sao c\u1ee7a Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, n\u0103m 2025 \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u b\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam khi kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, GDP \u01b0\u1edbc t\u0103ng 8%, quy m\u00f4 \u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea1t 510 t\u1ef7 USD.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 c\u00e1c nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u chuy\u00ean s\u00e2u, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng t\u1eeb \u0111i\u1ec1u tra d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":57675,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[219],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-57674","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vang"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57674","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57674"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57674\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/57675"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57674"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57674"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57674"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}