{"id":48087,"date":"2025-09-07T20:53:51","date_gmt":"2025-09-07T13:53:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/bitcoin-taps-111-3k-as-forecast-says-10-dip-worst-case-scenario\/"},"modified":"2025-09-07T20:53:51","modified_gmt":"2025-09-07T13:53:51","slug":"bitcoin-taps-111-3k-as-forecast-says-10-dip-worst-case-scenario","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/bitcoin-taps-111-3k-as-forecast-says-10-dip-worst-case-scenario\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin taps $111.3K as forecast says 10% dip \u2018worst case scenario\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-gtm-locator=\"articles\" data-v-43e640e6>\n<article id=\"article-214303\" data-v-43e640e6>\n<p itemprop=\"description\" data-v-43e640e6> Bitcoin retesting $100,000 would match previous BTC price dips since the end of 2024, Fibonacci\u00a0retracement analysis shows. <\/p>\n<div data-v-43e640e6><picture><source media=\"(min-width: 1200px)\" ><source media=\"(min-width: 992px)\" ><source media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" ><source media=\"(min-width: 480px)\" ><img  loading=\"eager\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.cointelegraph.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=90,width=1434\/https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-09\/01992413-cc90-7f76-9922-c6228afb9afc\" alt=\"Bitcoin taps $111.3K as forecast says 10% dip \u2018worst case scenario\u2019\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<div data-v-43e640e6>\n<div data-v-43e640e6>\n<p><strong>Key points:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">Bitcoin sees a modest rebound into the weekly candle close, but traders see key resistance overhead.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">BTC price action risks a much deeper drop if bulls fail to reclaim that resistance zone.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">Fibonacci analysis hints that such a drop may not pass more than 10%.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Bitcoin (<a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" rel=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" target=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\">BTC<\/a>) returned above $111,000 into Sunday\u2019s weekly close as analysis saw \u201cpromising\u201d recovery signs.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-09\/01992404-c6a9-7167-8d63-8cc028ecfc91\" title><figcaption><em>BTC\/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph\/TradingView<\/em><br \/><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>BTC price \u201clogical\u201d bounce zone near $100,000<\/h2>\n<p>Data from <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/subscription.cointelegraph.com\/?_gl=1*enpnlb*_ga*MTE3NDE3MjgzMC4xNzE1NjcwODE1*_ga_53R24TEEB1*MTc0NDcyNDI2NS40MS4xLjE3NDQ3MjQyNjkuNTYuMC45MTY3MzAwMzI.\" title=\"null\">Cointelegraph Markets Pro<\/a> and <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BTCUSD\/?exchange=BITSTAMP\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">TradingView<\/a> showed BTC\/USD gaining around 1% on the day to hit local highs of $111,369.<\/p>\n<p>The pair\u2019s latest dip, which <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-price-ignores-major-us-payrolls-miss-erase-113-4k-surge\" title=\"null\">followed US macroeconomic data<\/a>, saw bulls preserve $110,000 support.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis is actually promising on $BTC,\u201d crypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CryptoMichNL\/status\/1964617992605757637\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">responded<\/a> on X.<\/p>\n<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><p>\u201cIt makes a new higher low and holds the support at $110K. Would be great if we crack $112K and fire up the bull run.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-09\/019923ff-dbc6-77f2-9f2b-4c1502d38fb7\" title><figcaption><em>BTC\/USDT one-day chart with RSI data. Source: Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe\/X<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Market participants continued to hold diverging views over short-term BTC price action. Popular trader Cipher X suggested that $112,000 could spark new lows should bulls fail to reclaim it next.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<div lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> holds around $111K, but structure hints at a possible dip<\/p>\n<p>If momentum stalls below $112K, I expect a pullback toward $108K support<\/p>\n<p>Nothing major is happening across the market right now &#8211; it\u2019s the weekend so best to stay patient and relaxed. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/JP8lUHoKNz\">pic.twitter.com\/JP8lUHoKNz<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u2014 Cipher X (@Cipher2X) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Cipher2X\/status\/1964619401514336514?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 7, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u201cWe either flip $113,000 and pump to new highs, or if we reject here we drop to $100,000,\u201d fellow trader Crypto Tony <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CryptoTony__\/status\/1964585677917458465\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">added<\/a> on the day, adopting a more categorical perspective based on the weekly chart.<\/p>\n<p>Trader TurboBullCapital referenced the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) at $115,035 and $101,760, respectively, as important levels to watch going forward.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLose the $107k area &#038; the downside target becomes the $101k level which also happens to coincide with the MA200,\u201d part of an X post <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TurboBull21\/status\/1964638580598521973\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">concluded<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><p>\u201cThis is a logical area to expect a bounce.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-09\/01992402-e975-71d0-9140-a62d923e6725\" title><figcaption><em>BTC\/USD one-day chart with 50, 200SMA. Source: Cointelegraph\/TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Bitcoin\u2019s \u201cworst case scenario\u201d coincides with $100,000<\/h2>\n<p>As <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-sets-2024-style-bear-trap-major-short-squeeze-trader\" title=\"null\">Cointelegraph reported<\/a>, one theory on longer timeframes involves market makers on exchange order books.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Related: <\/strong><\/em><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-bear-market-in-october-with-50k-bottom-target-analysis\" rel=\"Bitcoin bear market due in October with $50K bottom target: Analysis\" target=\"Bitcoin bear market due in October with $50K bottom target: Analysis\" title=\"Bitcoin bear market due in October with $50K bottom target: Analysis\"><em><strong>Bitcoin bear market due in October with $50K bottom target: Analysis<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Short sellers and bears, it suggests, could be the victims of manipulation prior to a giant short squeeze event taking the market to new all-time highs. This would echo price action in late 2024.<\/p>\n<p>In the meantime, Fibonacci retracement levels imply a maximum drop of 10%, again based on historical behavior since the end of last year.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c$BTC usually bottoms at 0.382 Fibonacci level. This happened in Q3 2024, Q2 2025 and will probably happen again,\u201d popular trader ZYN <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Zynweb3\/status\/1964610365263896958\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">observed<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><p>\u201cFor anyone wondering how low we can go, 0.382 Fibonacci level is currently around $100K. So the worst case scenario is a 10% drop before a 50% rally above $150,000.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-09\/01992401-5143-7e88-9651-24151e1e5619\" title><figcaption><em>BTC\/USDT one-week chart. Source: ZYN\/X<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p type>This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.<\/p>\n<p><template data-name=\"subscription_form\" data-type=\"markets_outlook\" label=\"Subscription Form: Markets Outlook\"><\/template><\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt src=\"https:\/\/zoa.cointelegraph.com\/pixel?postId=214303&#038;regionId=1\" data-v-43e640e6><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin retesting $100,000 would match previous BTC price dips since the end of 2024, Fibonacci\u00a0retracement analysis shows. Key points: Bitcoin [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":48088,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[220],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48087","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tien-dien-tu"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48087","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48087"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48087\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/48088"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48087"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48087"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48087"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}