D\u00f9 c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf nh\u01b0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (WB) v\u00e0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u \u00c1 (ADB) d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u0103m nay ch\u1ec9 quanh m\u1ee9c h\u01a1n 7%, TS C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c cho r\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c \u201cd\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng\u201d \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam. <\/p>\n
T\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o \u201cTh\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n 2026 \u2013 Chu k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1edbi \u2013 C\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u1eeb ph\u00e2n h\u00f3a v\u00e0 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng\u201d do Ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n Nh\u1ea5t Vi\u1ec7t (VFS) t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y, TS C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c \u2013 Chuy\u00ean gia Kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Vi\u1ec7n \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o, Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u BIDV cho r\u1eb1ng b\u1ee9c tranh kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u0103m 2026 d\u00f9 c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 t\u1eeb b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i, song c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i hi\u1ec7n l\u1edbn h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c. <\/p>\n
Theo \u00f4ng L\u1ef1c, c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf hi\u1ec7n v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y h\u1ebft ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam. \u00d4ng d\u1eabn ch\u1ee9ng, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (WB) hi\u1ec7n d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u0103m nay kho\u1ea3ng 7,6%, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u \u00c1 (ADB) c\u0169ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng quanh m\u1ee9c h\u01a1n 7%. <\/p>\n
\u201c T\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng tin ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n nh\u1eefng con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y, b\u1edfi c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf hi\u1ec7n v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y h\u1ebft ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng v\u00e0 “b\u1ea3o b\u1ed1i” c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam” <\/i> , \u00f4ng n\u00f3i. <\/p>\n
Theo chuy\u00ean gia, \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam hi\u1ec7n nay kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng m\u00e0 c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf, th\u00e1o g\u1ee1 \u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3i ph\u00f3ng ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. <\/p>\n
M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c th\u00e1o g\u1ee1 c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n t\u1ed3n \u0111\u1ecdng trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ea5t \u0111ai v\u00e0 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n. Theo \u00f4ng L\u1ef1c, hi\u1ec7n to\u00e0n n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f2n kho\u1ea3ng 3.328 d\u1ef1 \u00e1n t\u1ed3n \u0111\u1ecdng l\u00e2u nay trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ea5t \u0111ai, b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n v\u1edbi quy m\u00f4 v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u00ean t\u1edbi 3,35 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng kho\u1ea3ng 200.000 ha \u0111\u1ea5t. N\u1ebfu kh\u01a1i th\u00f4ng v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3i t\u1ecfa \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kho\u1ea3ng 20% s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1ed1n n\u00e0y n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf s\u1ebd c\u00f3 th\u00eam d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP. <\/p>\n
Ch\u00ednh t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng con s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf n\u00e0y, TS C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c cho bi\u1ebft t\u1ef1 tin GDP \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c 9 – 9,2% trong k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n c\u01a1 s\u1edf, v\u1eabn theo s\u00e1t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2026-2030 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c 10%\/n\u0103m nh\u1edd chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n t\u1eeb chi\u1ec1u r\u1ed9ng sang chi\u1ec1u s\u00e2u d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t c\u00e1c nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p (TFP). <\/p>\n
TS C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c cho r\u1eb1ng c\u00f3 5 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n TFP g\u1ed3m c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i s\u1ed1, gi\u00e1o d\u1ee5c v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o, hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng v\u00e0 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf. Trong \u0111\u00f3, c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n c\u1ea7n nh\u01b0ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111i c\u00f9ng ngu\u1ed3n nh\u00e2n l\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao, h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ed9 v\u00e0 c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00e1o g\u1ee1 c\u00e1c \u201c\u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn\u201d c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. <\/p>\n
B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh vi\u1ec7c th\u00e1o g\u1ee1 c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n t\u1ed3n \u0111\u1ecdng, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng then ch\u1ed1t. H\u1ebft 4 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m, gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 187.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, t\u0103ng h\u01a1n 10% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3. Tuy nhi\u00ean, theo \u00f4ng L\u1ef1c, \u0111i\u1ec1u quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n l\u00e0 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng n\u0103m nay l\u00ean t\u1edbi kho\u1ea3ng 1,1 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, t\u0103ng 31% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i. <\/p>\n
N\u1ebfu th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n 100% theo y\u00eau c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ed9ng th\u00eam kho\u1ea3ng 1,8 \u0111i\u1ec3m % t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 d\u1eebng \u1edf m\u1ee9c 7% m\u00e0 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfn l\u00ean kho\u1ea3ng 9%. <\/p>\n
\u201cT\u00f4i cho r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u01b0a t\u00ednh h\u1ebft d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba n\u00e0y. Th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ecd v\u1eabn \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 Vi\u1ec7t Nam theo xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, trong khi ch\u00fang ta c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng <\/i> \u201d, \u00f4ng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh. <\/p>\n
Ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 th\u00e1o g\u1ee1 d\u1ef1 \u00e1n v\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1eafc, TS C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c cho r\u1eb1ng c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf s\u1ebd l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c quan tr\u1ecdng ti\u1ebfp theo. Hi\u1ec7n nay, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u0111\u1eb7t ra l\u00e0 c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m 30% \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n kinh doanh kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft, gi\u1ea3m 50% th\u1eddi gian x\u1eed l\u00fd h\u1ed3 s\u01a1 v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m 50% chi ph\u00ed tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7. <\/p>\n
Theo t\u00ednh to\u00e1n, c\u00e1c c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u0103ng th\u00eam kho\u1ea3ng 0,5-0,7 \u0111i\u1ec3m % t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf m\u1ed7i n\u0103m. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i s\u1ed1 n\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tri\u1ec3n khai hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p th\u00eam kho\u1ea3ng 1-1,2 \u0111i\u1ec3m % t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng. <\/p>\n
\u201c T\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1edbi, m\u1ed7i n\u0103m n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ed5 sung th\u00eam kho\u1ea3ng 3-3,5 \u0111i\u1ec3m % t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng. T\u1ee9c l\u00e0 t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 6% l\u00ean 9% l\u00e0 c\u00f3 c\u01a1 s\u1edf, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng vi\u1ec3n v\u00f4ng\u201d <\/i> , \u00f4ng n\u00f3i. <\/p>\n
Li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh v\u0129 m\u00f4 n\u0103m 2026, TS C\u1ea5n V\u0103n L\u1ef1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd dao \u0111\u1ed9ng kho\u1ea3ng 4,2-4,7%. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m ch\u1eadm do l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u1eabn neo cao, khi\u1ebfn m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u1ea3i duy tr\u00ec \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. <\/p>\n
\u0110\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c h\u00f3a c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng, Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 hi\u1ec7n t\u1eadp trung tri\u1ec3n khai \u201cb\u1ed9 t\u1ee9 tr\u1ee5 c\u1ed9t\u201d c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch g\u1ed3m \u0111\u1ed9t ph\u00e1 khoa h\u1ecdc c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7, h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch ph\u00e1p lu\u1eadt v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kinh t\u1ebf t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng \u0111ang th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh kinh t\u1ebf s\u1ed1 v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p 30% GDP v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2030, song song v\u1edbi b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m an ninh n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. <\/p>\n
V\u1ec1 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, \u00f4ng Nguy\u1ec5n Minh Ho\u00e0ng – Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch Ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n VFS \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh tri\u1ec3n khai c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u0129 m\u00f4, trong \u0111\u00f3 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng 15%, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng kho\u1ea3ng 2,76 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t. D\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n n\u00e0y d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u01b0u ti\u00ean ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 v\u00e0o c\u00e1c t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u00e0u, l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eb1m t\u1ea1o hi\u1ec7u \u1ee9ng lan t\u1ecfa cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. <\/p>\n
B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng h\u01a1n 1 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng thu h\u00fat kho\u1ea3ng 5-6 t\u1ef7 USD t\u1eeb l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh n\u00e2ng h\u1ea1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng, g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y VN-Index t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng theo h\u01b0\u1edbng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi. <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
D\u00f9 c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf nh\u01b0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (WB) v\u00e0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u \u00c1 (ADB) […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":83292,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[221],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-83291","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-chung-khoan"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83291","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=83291"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83291\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/83292"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=83291"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=83291"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=83291"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}