C\u1eb7p AUD\/USD g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n trong vi\u1ec7c duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kh\u00e1 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a phi\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1eeb khu v\u1ef1c d\u01b0\u1edbi 0,7100, m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong m\u1ed9t tu\u1ea7n, v\u00e0 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng trong bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 h\u1eb9p trong phi\u00ean ch\u00e2u \u00c1 ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u. Tuy nhi\u00ean, gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn gi\u1eef tr\u00ean m\u1ed1c 0,7150 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 v\u1ebb \u0111ang h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi tu\u1ea7n t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean trong ba tu\u1ea7n g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n
C\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o cho th\u1ea5y M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 th\u1ea3o th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn gia h\u1ea1n l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i th\u00eam 60 ng\u00e0y, l\u00e0m suy gi\u1ea3m nhu c\u1ea7u tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD), t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho c\u1eb7p AUD\/USD. Tuy nhi\u00ean, gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u1eabn ho\u00e0i nghi v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran do nh\u1eefng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed3ng l\u1edbn li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Tehran v\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz.<\/p>\n
Ngo\u00e0i ra, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 t\u0103ng v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 nhanh nh\u1ea5t trong ba n\u0103m v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4 \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng r\u1eb1ng C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) s\u1ebd t\u0103ng chi ph\u00ed vay v\u1ed1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m nay, qua \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u00dac (RBA) s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong th\u00e1ng 6 c\u0169ng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a AUD\/USD.<\/p>\n
V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn b\u1ecb m\u1eafc k\u1eb9t trong v\u00f9ng giao d\u1ecbch quen thu\u1ed9c k\u00e9o d\u00e0i kho\u1ea3ng hai tu\u1ea7n qua. C\u1ea1nh tr\u00ean c\u1ee7a v\u00f9ng n\u00e0y tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng Trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 100 k\u1ef3 tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 4 gi\u1edd v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c tho\u00e1i lui Fibonacci 23,6% c\u1ee7a nh\u1ecbp t\u0103ng AUD\/USD t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 3 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 5. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng v\u1eabn \u0111ang b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf d\u00f9 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nh\u00ecn chung v\u1eabn t\u00edch c\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n
Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o RSI \u0111ang \u1edf g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 56 v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o MACD v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u d\u01b0\u01a1ng nh\u1eb9, cho th\u1ea5y phe b\u00e1n ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, gi\u00e1 c\u1ea7n b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng l\u00ean tr\u00ean v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 h\u1ee3p l\u01b0u quanh 0,7180 \u2013 0,7185 \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ec9nh cao nh\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m \u0111\u00e3 k\u1ebft th\u00fac v\u00e0 m\u1edf \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cho \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/p>\n
N\u1ebfu v\u01b0\u1ee3t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 n\u00e0y, AUD\/USD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec9nh dao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1i 0,7279.<\/p>\n
\u1ede chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m, v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c Fibonacci 38,2% quanh 0,7109, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c tho\u00e1i lui 50% t\u1ea1i 0,7056. N\u1ebfu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n gia t\u0103ng, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 0,7003 v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 0,6928 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n t\u1ea1i 0,6833.<\/p>\n
M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn AUD l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t do Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u00dac (RBA) thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp. V\u00ec \u00dac l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia gi\u00e0u t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean, gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft \u2013 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u2013 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi AUD. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a \u00dac c\u0169ng c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. T\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng; khi nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1ee7i ro (risk-on), AUD th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i, c\u00f2n khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n an to\u00e0n (risk-off), AUD th\u01b0\u1eddng suy y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n
Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u00dac (RBA) t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn AUD th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a RBA l\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong kho\u1ea3ng 2\u20133%. L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD, trong khi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y. Ngo\u00e0i ra, RBA c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ho\u1eb7c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n
Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, v\u00ec v\u1eady s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn AUD. Khi kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh, nhu c\u1ea7u nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u th\u00f4, h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 t\u1eeb \u00dac s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c suy y\u1ebfu, AUD th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n
Qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb kho\u1ea3ng 118 t\u1ef7 USD m\u1ed7i n\u0103m theo s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u n\u0103m 2021, trong \u0111\u00f3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 ch\u00ednh. V\u00ec v\u1eady, gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 m\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd v\u1edbi AUD. Khi gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft t\u0103ng, AUD th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng theo do nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y gia t\u0103ng. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m l\u00ean AUD.<\/p>\n
C\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, t\u1ee9c ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia, c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi AUD. N\u1ebfu \u00dac c\u00f3 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 nh\u1edd nhu c\u1ea7u mua h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
C\u1eb7p AUD\/USD g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n trong vi\u1ec7c duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kh\u00e1 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a phi\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1eeb khu […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":83072,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-83070","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83070","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=83070"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83070\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":83379,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83070\/revisions\/83379"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/83072"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=83070"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=83070"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=83070"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}