{"id":82609,"date":"2026-05-27T09:41:24","date_gmt":"2026-05-27T02:41:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/aussie-dollars-romp-over-the-kiwi-meets-a-13-year-ceiling\/"},"modified":"2026-05-27T10:20:31","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T03:20:31","slug":"da-tang-manh-cua-do-la-uc-so-voi-do-la-new-zealand-dang-cham-phai-nguong-khang-cu-cao-nhat-trong-13-nam","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/da-tang-manh-cua-do-la-uc-so-voi-do-la-new-zealand-dang-cham-phai-nguong-khang-cu-cao-nhat-trong-13-nam\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0110\u00e0 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac so v\u1edbi \u0110\u00f4 la New Zealand \u0111ang ch\u1ea1m ph\u1ea3i ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 cao nh\u1ea5t trong 13 n\u0103m."},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac \u0111\u00e3 d\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn m\u1ed9t n\u0103m qua \u0111\u1ec3 \u201c\u00e1p \u0111\u1ea3o\u201d ng\u01b0\u1eddi anh em b\u00ean kia bi\u1ec3n Tasman c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, v\u00e0 b\u1ea3ng t\u1ef7 s\u1ed1 hi\u1ec7n kh\u00e1 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch. AUD\/NZD v\u1eeba ch\u1ea1m m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb kho\u1ea3ng n\u0103m 2013, t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 14% k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1y th\u00e1ng 7, \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda t\u0103ng trong 8\/10 th\u00e1ng g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0 \u0111ang tr\u00ean \u0111\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u00e1ng t\u0103ng th\u1ee9 11. \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ph\u00eda sau \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng n\u00e0y l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u hi\u1ebfm th\u1ea5y tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7: hai ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng \u0111i theo hai h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f9ng l\u00fac. V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ai v\u1eabn mu\u1ed1n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c mua AUD \u1edf v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 n\u00e0y l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e2y c\u0169ng ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00f3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ea1n nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u.<\/p>\n

Hai qu\u1ed1c gia l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng, hai chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/strong><\/h4>\n

S\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t. Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng New Zealand (RBNZ) \u0111\u00e3 c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ec1n m\u1eb7t ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c (OCR) t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ec9nh 5.5% xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 2.25% \u2014 chu k\u1ef3 n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng m\u1ea1nh tay nh\u1ea5t trong nh\u00f3m c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u2014 khi kinh t\u1ebf New Zealand ch\u00ecm trong suy tho\u00e1i. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u00dac (RBA) l\u1ea1i l\u00e0m \u0111i\u1ec1u ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ba l\u1ea7n trong n\u0103m nay l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 4.35% khi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf \u00dac v\u1eabn gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ecbu h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t. C\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t c\u00fa s\u1ed1c gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u Trung \u0110\u00f4ng g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u00ean c\u1ea3 hai qu\u1ed1c gia, nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00ean hai n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang \u1edf hai giai \u0111o\u1ea1n chu k\u1ef3 kh\u00e1c nhau, khi\u1ebfn hai ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng theo h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ed1i l\u1eadp. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh theo h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho AUD v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o n\u00ean m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 ch\u1ec9 \u0111i theo m\u1ed9t chi\u1ec1u.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng h\u1ed3 nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n<\/strong><\/h4>\n

Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1. M\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng tr\u00ean kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng s\u1ebd g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n ngay khi kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00f3 ng\u1eebng n\u1edbi r\u1ed9ng, v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 h\u1ed9i t\u1ee5 \u0111ang d\u1ea7n xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1eeb c\u1ea3 hai ph\u00eda. RBNZ \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eebng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong ba cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f4ng khai \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t do l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111ang v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ea7n m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau v\u00e0 h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 4%. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, RBA sau ba l\u1ea7n t\u0103ng li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch t\u1eebng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD su\u1ed1t m\u1ed9t n\u0103m qua \u0111ang chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb \u0111i ngang, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thu h\u1eb9p n\u1ebfu New Zealand b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong khi \u00dac \u0111\u1ee9ng y\u00ean. Ch\u00ednh c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf t\u1eebng th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0y gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y \u0111ang \u00e2m th\u1ea7m \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u.<\/p>\n

Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u00e3 k\u00e9o c\u0103ng \u1edf v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 cao nh\u1ea5t 13 n\u0103m<\/strong><\/h4>\n

Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 c\u0169ng \u0111ang ph\u00e1t \u0111i c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1. Tr\u00ean khung th\u00e1ng, Stochastic RSI \u0111ang n\u1eb1m s\u00e2u trong v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 mua quanh m\u1ee9c 80, trong khi gi\u00e1 \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng m\u00e0 c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng quay l\u1ea1i su\u1ed1t kho\u1ea3ng 157 th\u00e1ng. Vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda t\u0103ng trong 8\/10 th\u00e1ng g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i t\u0103ng c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 b\u1ec1n b\u1ec9, v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i nh\u01b0 v\u1eady th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng h\u1ed3i quy thay v\u00ec ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng m\u00e3i m\u00e3i. AUD hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang b\u00e1m quanh v\u00f9ng 1.2300, c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1 xa c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng d\u1ea7n b\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi, v\u1edbi EMA 50 ng\u00e0y n\u1eb1m quanh 1.2100 \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u01b0a ph\u1ea3i l\u1eddi k\u00eau g\u1ecdi t\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ec9nh, nh\u01b0ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u00e3 tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u00e0nh \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean trong khi \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u suy y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u1eb7t<\/strong><\/h4>\n

Th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n. Th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 s\u1ebd ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn chu\u1ed7i s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp gi\u1eefa \u00dac v\u00e0 New Zealand: d\u1eef li\u1ec7u CPI c\u1ee7a \u00dac l\u00fac 01:30 GMT, sau \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 30 ph\u00fat l\u00e0 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a RBNZ l\u00fac 02:00 GMT v\u00e0 h\u1ecdp b\u00e1o l\u00fac 03:00 GMT. K\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 cho AUD c\u1ea7n l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u00dac n\u00f3ng \u0111\u1ec3 bu\u1ed9c RBA ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi RBNZ ph\u1ea3i gi\u1eef quan \u0111i\u1ec3m \u00f4n h\u00f2a. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u l\u1ea1i c\u1ea7n \u0111i\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i \u2014 v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed3ng thu\u1eadn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang d\u1ea7n nghi\u00eang theo h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u00f3. CPI t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 c\u1ee7a \u00dac \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 kho\u1ea3ng 4.4% t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 4.6%, \u0111i\u1ec1u s\u1ebd cho RBA l\u00fd do ch\u00ednh \u0111\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng, trong khi m\u1ed9t RBNZ \u201cdi\u1ec1u h\u00e2u\u201d n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t s\u1ebd t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1eeb ph\u00eda c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1eabn nghi\u00eang t\u0103ng mi\u1ec5n l\u00e0 c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n gi\u1eef tr\u00ean v\u00f9ng 1.2250, v\u1edbi c\u00fa breakout r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng tr\u00ean v\u00f9ng 1.2300 tr\u00ean khung th\u00e1ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1edf \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00ean v\u00f9ng 1.2400 \u2014 n\u01a1i \u0111\u1ec9nh n\u0103m 2013 n\u1eb1m. Tuy nhi\u00ean, k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n th\u00fa v\u1ecb h\u01a1n l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m. M\u1ed9t b\u00e1o c\u00e1o l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi RBNZ mang quan \u0111i\u1ec3m di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1eb7n \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, v\u00e0 n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 tr\u01b0\u1ee3t xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi v\u00f9ng 1.2200, \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 v\u1ebft n\u1ee9t th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, v\u1edbi EMA 50 ng\u00e0y quanh 1.2100 l\u00e0 ranh gi\u1edbi x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng d\u00e0i h\u01a1n. AUD \u0111\u00e3 \u201cb\u1eaft b\u00e0i\u201d NZD su\u1ed1t g\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t n\u0103m qua. Th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 l\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ki\u1ec3m tra xem kho\u1ea3ng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ee7 s\u1ee9c g\u00e1nh to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u1eefa hay kh\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 AUD\/NZD khung tu\u1ea7n<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\n

Australian Dollar FAQs<\/h2>\n
\n
One of the most significant factors for the Australian Dollar (AUD) is the level of interest rates set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Because Australia is a resource-rich country another key driver is the price of its biggest export, Iron Ore. The health of the Chinese economy, its largest trading partner, is a factor, as well as inflation in Australia, its growth rate and Trade Balance. Market sentiment \u2013 whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) \u2013 is also a factor, with risk-on positive for AUD.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) influences the Australian Dollar (AUD) by setting the level of interest rates that Australian banks can lend to each other. This influences the level of interest rates in the economy as a whole. The main goal of the RBA is to maintain a stable inflation rate of 2-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively high interest rates compared to other major central banks support the AUD, and the opposite for relatively low. The RBA can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former AUD-negative and the latter AUD-positive.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n
China is Australia\u2019s largest trading partner so the health of the Chinese economy is a major influence on the value of the Australian Dollar (AUD). When the Chinese economy is doing well it purchases more raw materials, goods and services from Australia, lifting demand for the AUD, and pushing up its value. The opposite is the case when the Chinese economy is not growing as fast as expected. Positive or negative surprises in Chinese growth data, therefore, often have a direct impact on the Australian Dollar and its pairs.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n
Iron Ore is Australia\u2019s largest export, accounting for $118 billion a year according to data from 2021, with China as its primary destination. The price of Iron Ore, therefore, can be a driver of the Australian Dollar. Generally, if the price of Iron Ore rises, AUD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Iron Ore falls. Higher Iron Ore prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance for Australia, which is also positive of the AUD.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n
The Trade Balance, which is the difference between what a country earns from its exports versus what it pays for its imports, is another factor that can influence the value of the Australian Dollar. If Australia produces highly sought after exports, then its currency will gain in value purely from the surplus demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase its exports versus what it spends to purchase imports. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens the AUD, with the opposite effect if the Trade Balance is negative.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac \u0111\u00e3 d\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn m\u1ed9t n\u0103m qua \u0111\u1ec3 \u201c\u00e1p \u0111\u1ea3o\u201d ng\u01b0\u1eddi anh em b\u00ean kia bi\u1ec3n Tasman […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":82611,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-82609","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82609","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=82609"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82609\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":82752,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82609\/revisions\/82752"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/82611"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=82609"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=82609"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=82609"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}