{"id":78726,"date":"2026-05-08T09:07:25","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T02:07:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/usd-jpy-rebounds-from-lows-as-iran-ceasefire-optimism-wavers-ahead-of-nfp\/"},"modified":"2026-05-08T09:22:29","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T02:22:29","slug":"usd-jpy-rebounds-from-lows-as-iran-ceasefire-optimism-wavers-ahead-of-nfp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/usd-jpy-rebounds-from-lows-as-iran-ceasefire-optimism-wavers-ahead-of-nfp\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e1y khi s\u1ef1 l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn Iran suy y\u1ebfu tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ec1m d\u1eef li\u1ec7u NFP."},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

USD\/JPY ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i l\u00ean g\u1ea7n 156.90 trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 0,4% so v\u1edbi \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 xu\u1ed1ng 155.04 \u2014 m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 2. \u0110\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 xuy\u00ean th\u1ee7ng \u0111\u1ec9nh cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 4 quanh v\u00f9ng 160.70 c\u00f9ng v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y sau \u0111\u00f3, \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t n\u1ebfn bearish th\u00e2n d\u00e0i tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i trong v\u00f9ng 156 \u0111\u1ebfn 157.50 \u1edf c\u00e1c phi\u00ean g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh v\u0129 m\u00f4 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea1o t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng USD hi\u1ec7n v\u1eabn xoay quanh l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran c\u00f9ng t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh t\u1ea1i eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz. \u0110\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n sau khi Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng ph\u00e1t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea1t ti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi m\u1ed9t bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n ghi nh\u1edb v\u1edbi Tehran, trong khi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng c\u00e1c n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u00e0u thuy\u1ec1n m\u1eafc k\u1eb9t r\u1eddi kh\u1ecfi eo bi\u1ec3n nh\u1eb1m t\u1ea1o th\u00eam th\u1eddi gian cho c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

C\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 k\u00e9o gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng v\u00e0 khi\u1ebfn Dollar Index gi\u1ea3m tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n m\u1ed1c 98, d\u00f9 nh\u1ecbp ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u1eb9 c\u1ee7a USD trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 N\u0103m cho th\u1ea5y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang tr\u1edf n\u00ean th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n khi giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean s\u1ef1 l\u1ea1c quan b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t.<\/p>\n

D\u1eef li\u1ec7u Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u s\u1ebd l\u00e0 catalyst quan tr\u1ecdng ti\u1ebfp theo, v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng quanh m\u1ee9c 62K so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 178K.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt (JPY), trader v\u1eabn \u0111ang \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb quanh kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n (BoJ) can thi\u1ec7p th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, khi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o cho r\u1eb1ng B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n can thi\u1ec7p trong tu\u1ea7n qua sau khi USD v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1ed1c 160.00.<\/p>\n

Quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a Tokyo nh\u00ecn chung \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 nh\u1eb1m ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n c\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c thay v\u00ec b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 m\u1ed9t m\u1ee9c t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3. Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ef1 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p gi\u1eefa r\u1ee7i ro can thi\u1ec7p, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 premium \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u00e3 k\u00e9o USD\/JPY tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi xung \u0111\u1ed9t b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t.<\/p>\n

\n

Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 H4 USD\/JPY<\/h2>\n
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\"Chart<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/h3>\n

Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 H4, USD\/JPY \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ea1i 156.93. C\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n v\u1eabn ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c bearish r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n khi duy tr\u00ec b\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng EMA 200 k\u1ef3 t\u1ea1i 158.35, cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c nh\u1ecbp ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i v\u1eabn \u0111ang b\u1ecb gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n b\u1edfi v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng trung h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o Stochastic RSI \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i quanh v\u00f9ng gi\u1eefa 50, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u1ea3m \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu d\u1ea7n nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t pha \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u bullish r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng khi gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng EMA quan tr\u1ecdng n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ea1i EMA 200 k\u1ef3 \u1edf 158.35. M\u1ed9t c\u00fa breakout b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng l\u00ean tr\u00ean v\u00f9ng n\u00e0y s\u1ebd c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu bias bearish hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00e0 m\u1edf ra kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, do ch\u01b0a xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd t\u1eeb MA hay oscillator tr\u00ean khung th\u1eddi gian n\u00e0y, trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o c\u00e1c swing low g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f9ng ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng gi\u00e1 intraday \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng c\u1ea7u t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u01b0u ti\u00ean chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c sell khi gi\u00e1 h\u1ed3i l\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi v\u00f9ng 158.35.<\/p>\n

(Ph\u1ea7n ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 AI.)<\/p>\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt<\/h3>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt (JPY) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a JPY ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u1edfi hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, nh\u01b0ng c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 h\u01a1n l\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n (BoJ), ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu gi\u1eefa Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 M\u1ef9, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 t\u00e2m l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a trader, c\u00f9ng nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a BoJ l\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1, v\u00ec v\u1eady c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean. BoJ \u0111\u00f4i khi can thi\u1ec7p tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu nh\u1eb1m l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean, d\u00f9 h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n do lo ng\u1ea1i y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb t\u1eeb c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n

Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 si\u00eau n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng c\u1ee7a BoJ trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2013\u20132024 \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c do s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng l\u1edbn gi\u1eefa BoJ v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c. G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh d\u1ea7n r\u00fat l\u1ea1i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch si\u00eau n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o cho \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean.<\/p>\n

Trong su\u1ed1t th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua, l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng duy tr\u00ec ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch si\u00eau n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng c\u1ee7a BoJ \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng kh\u00e1c \u2014 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 Fed \u2014 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Nh\u1eadt k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 10 n\u0103m, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 USD t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 so v\u1edbi JPY. Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a BoJ trong n\u0103m 2024 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1eeb b\u1ecf ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch si\u00eau n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, \u0111ang d\u1ea7n thu h\u1eb9p kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng chuy\u1ec3n d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n sang JPY nh\u1edd t\u00ednh \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y. C\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n th\u01b0\u1eddng khi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n b\u1ecb xem l\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i l\u00ean g\u1ea7n 156.90 trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 0,4% so v\u1edbi \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":78728,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-78726","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78726","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=78726"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78726\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":78785,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78726\/revisions\/78785"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/78728"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=78726"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=78726"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=78726"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}