{"id":77865,"date":"2026-05-06T09:08:28","date_gmt":"2026-05-06T02:08:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/indonesia-growth-outlook-steady-with-fiscal-constraints-uob\/"},"modified":"2026-05-06T09:35:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T02:35:03","slug":"indonesia-trien-vong-tang-truong-on-dinh-trong-boi-canh-han-che-ve-tai-khoa-uob","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/indonesia-trien-vong-tang-truong-on-dinh-trong-boi-canh-han-che-ve-tai-khoa-uob\/","title":{"rendered":"Indonesia: Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf v\u1ec1 t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a \u2013 UOB"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

C\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a UOB, Enrico Tanuwidjaja v\u00e0 Vincentius Ming Shen, cho bi\u1ebft T\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i (GDP) qu\u00fd 1\/2026 c\u1ee7a Indonesia v\u01b0\u1ee3t k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, \u0111\u1ea1t 5,61% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, nh\u1edd chi ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh. H\u1ecd nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau g\u1ea7n h\u1ea1n 6% c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a, chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 v\u00e0 quan h\u1ec7 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh r\u1ee7i ro b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i gia t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n

T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o chi ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t nghi v\u1ea5n v\u1ec1 t\u00ednh b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng<\/p>\n

\u201cH\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng qu\u00fd 1\/2026, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec l\u00e2u d\u00e0i. Indonesia ghi nh\u1eadn m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP 5,61% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 trong qu\u00fd 1\/2026, v\u01b0\u1ee3t d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u1edf m\u1ee9c 5,30%.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cTri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng v\u1eabn t\u00edch c\u1ef1c, v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 6% trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7. Tuy nhi\u00ean, k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a v\u1eabn l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 s\u1ebd r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh r\u1ee7i ro b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng l\u1edbn v\u00e0 kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cM\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP m\u1ea1nh cho th\u1ea5y n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ed1ng ch\u1ecbu t\u1ed1t, nh\u01b0ng s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a khi\u1ebfn ch\u00fang t\u00f4i th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng v\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cT\u00f3m l\u1ea1i, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a kh\u00f3 duy tr\u00ec l\u00e2u d\u00e0i do h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c tr\u1ea7n th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch \u1edf m\u1ee9c 3% GDP.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cNh\u00ecn chung, d\u00f9 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o qu\u00fd 1\/2026 h\u00f4m nay m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i v\u1eabn th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n. Do \u0111\u00f3, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u0103m 2026 \u1edf m\u1ee9c 5,2%, v\u1eabn cao h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c 5,1% c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2025.\u201d<\/p>\n

(B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u00ean t\u1eadp vi\u00ean r\u00e0 so\u00e1t.)<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

C\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a UOB, Enrico Tanuwidjaja v\u00e0 Vincentius Ming Shen, cho bi\u1ebft T\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":77866,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-77865","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77865","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77865"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77865\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":77951,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77865\/revisions\/77951"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/77866"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77865"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77865"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77865"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}