{"id":76331,"date":"2026-04-28T09:03:12","date_gmt":"2026-04-28T02:03:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/india-igb-view-stays-neutral-standard-chartered\/"},"modified":"2026-04-28T09:24:28","modified_gmt":"2026-04-28T02:24:28","slug":"an-do-quan-diem-ve-igb-duy-tri-trung-lap-standard-chartered","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/an-do-quan-diem-ve-igb-duy-tri-trung-lap-standard-chartered\/","title":{"rendered":"\u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9: Quan \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u1ec1 IGB duy tr\u00ec trung l\u1eadp \u2013 Standard Chartered"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"post-content-section\">\n<p>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Standard Chartered g\u1ed3m Anubhuti Sahay, Saurav Anand v\u00e0 Nagaraj Kulkarni \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u00e1c bang c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p n\u0103m t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a 2027 \u1edf m\u1ee9c 2,9% GDP, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng n\u0103m 2026. H\u1ecd nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh ngu\u1ed3n thu t\u0103ng ch\u1eadm, chi ti\u00eau th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean v\u1eabn cao v\u00e0 chi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 (capex) \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh quanh m\u1ee9c 1,9% GDP. Th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t l\u1edbn h\u01a1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n bang, trong khi nh\u00f3m gi\u1eef quan \u0111i\u1ec3m Trung l\u1eadp \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 (IGB).<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c bang, ngu\u1ed3n cung SDL v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng IGB<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a 27 bang \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 cho n\u0103m t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a 2026 (k\u1ebft th\u00fac th\u00e1ng 3\/2026) v\u00e0 n\u0103m t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a 2027 (k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch), v\u00e0 tr\u00ecnh b\u00e0y c\u00e1c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 ch\u00ednh d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cC\u00e1c bang c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ghi nh\u1eadn th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p 2,9% GDP trong n\u0103m t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a 2027, ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1eeb n\u0103m t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a 2025.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a n\u0103m t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a 2027 s\u1ebd duy tr\u00ec g\u1ea7n v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng hai n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro n\u1edbi r\u1ed9ng n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao trong th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng chi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u0103m t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a 2027 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c 1,9% GDP (2,3% n\u1ebfu bao g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n vay cho capex t\u1eeb ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 trung \u01b0\u01a1ng).\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cGi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh 86\u201390% \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 th\u00f4ng qua vay th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh r\u00f2ng SDL c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u1eb1m trong kho\u1ea3ng 9,6\u201310,0 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 INR, cao h\u01a1n kho\u1ea3ng 4\u20139% so v\u1edbi \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 9,2 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 INR.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>(B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u00ean t\u1eadp vi\u00ean r\u00e0 so\u00e1t.)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Standard Chartered g\u1ed3m Anubhuti Sahay, Saurav Anand v\u00e0 Nagaraj Kulkarni \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u00e1c [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":76333,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-76331","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76331","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=76331"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76331\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":76394,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76331\/revisions\/76394"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/76333"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=76331"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=76331"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=76331"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}