{"id":76315,"date":"2026-04-28T09:03:13","date_gmt":"2026-04-28T02:03:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/us-growth-normalizes-as-iran-shock-fades-td-securities\/"},"modified":"2026-04-28T09:25:29","modified_gmt":"2026-04-28T02:25:29","slug":"my-tang-truong-tro-lai-binh-thuong-khi-cu-soc-iran-suy-yeu-td-securities","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/my-tang-truong-tro-lai-binh-thuong-khi-cu-soc-iran-suy-yeu-td-securities\/","title":{"rendered":"M\u1ef9: T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng khi c\u00fa s\u1ed1c Iran suy y\u1ebfu \u2013 TD Securities"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c gia c\u1ee7a TD Securities l\u00e0 Oscar Munoz v\u00e0 Eli Nir d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1ebd d\u1ea7n ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2026 khi r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u00ecnh l\u1ea1m li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn Iran khi\u1ebfn Federal Reserve (Fed) th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng. GDP \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng quay v\u1ec1 g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng 1,9% (Q4\/Q4) trong n\u0103m 2026, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p quanh 4,3%, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u00f5i CPI \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh kho\u1ea3ng 3,0% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 trong qu\u00fd 2\/2026 v\u00e0 qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh gi\u1ea3m l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t s\u1ebd quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i trong n\u1eeda cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2026.<\/p>\n

T\u1eeb r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u00ecnh l\u1ea1m \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u1ea3m l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t<\/strong><\/h3>\n

\u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1ebd d\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m nay, ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a xung \u0111\u1ed9t t\u1ea1i Iran. Xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u00e0y t\u1ea1o ra r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u00ecnh l\u1ea1m, khi\u1ebfn Fed c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn th\u1eddi gian c\u1ee7a n\u0103m. C\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n ho\u00e0n thu\u1ebf l\u1edbn h\u01a1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb gi\u00e1 x\u0103ng t\u0103ng.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cT\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng quay v\u1ec1 g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng trong n\u0103m 2026, k\u1ebft th\u00fac \u1edf m\u1ee9c 1,9% (Q4\/Q4). T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ed3n v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m do s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a chi ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 sau th\u1eddi gian gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n. S\u1ef1 b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00f3a t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng s\u1ebd \u0111i k\u00e8m v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p v\u1eabn th\u1ea5p \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4,3% v\u00e0o qu\u00fd 4\/2026.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cGi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao h\u01a1n c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi thu\u1ebf quan v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao s\u1ebd l\u00e0m t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n. Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u00f5i CPI \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh kho\u1ea3ng 3,0% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 trong qu\u00fd 2\/2026. C\u00e1c con s\u1ed1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 PCE l\u00f5i.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cPh\u1ea7n l\u1edbn t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u cao s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh v\u00e0o l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3. Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh gi\u1ea3m l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t s\u1ebd quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i trong n\u1eeda cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2026.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t M\u1ef9 r\u01a1i v\u00e0o suy tho\u00e1i trong n\u0103m t\u1edbi l\u00e0 30%.\u201d<\/p>\n

(B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u00ean t\u1eadp vi\u00ean r\u00e0 so\u00e1t.)<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c gia c\u1ee7a TD Securities l\u00e0 Oscar Munoz v\u00e0 Eli Nir d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1ebd […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":76316,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-76315","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76315","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=76315"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76315\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":76399,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76315\/revisions\/76399"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/76316"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=76315"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=76315"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=76315"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}