{"id":76080,"date":"2026-04-28T09:01:01","date_gmt":"2026-04-28T02:01:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/australian-dollar-gains-on-rba-rate-hike-likelihood\/"},"modified":"2026-04-28T09:21:32","modified_gmt":"2026-04-28T02:21:32","slug":"dong-do-la-uc-tang-khi-kha-nang-reserve-bank-of-australia-rba-nang-lai-suat-gia-tang","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/dong-do-la-uc-tang-khi-kha-nang-reserve-bank-of-australia-rba-nang-lai-suat-gia-tang\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac t\u0103ng khi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) n\u00e2ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t gia t\u0103ng."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng sang ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 ba li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, giao d\u1ecbch quanh m\u1ee9c 0.7190 trong phi\u00ean ch\u00e2u \u00c1 ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Hai. C\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng khi \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) n\u00e2ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00e1o c\u00e1o Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Gi\u00e1 Ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng (CPI) th\u00e1ng 3 c\u1ee7a \u00dac s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo d\u00f5i v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, v\u1edbi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t h\u00e0ng n\u0103m d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn t\u0103ng l\u00ean 4,7%, cao h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 2\u20133% c\u1ee7a RBA. B\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd t\u0103ng n\u00e0o c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ng\u00e0y 5\/5 c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 24\/4, h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ec1n m\u1eb7t li\u00ean ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng 30 ng\u00e0y ASX th\u00e1ng 5\/2026 \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c 95.745, h\u00e0m \u00fd x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t 74% v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t l\u00ean 4,35% trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp s\u1eafp t\u1edbi c\u1ee7a RBA.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a AUD\/USD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf khi t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn mong manh do c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh M\u1ef9\u2013Iran b\u1ecb \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7. Iran \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda Strait of Hormuz n\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 d\u1ee1 b\u1ecf phong t\u1ecfa v\u00e0 k\u1ebft th\u00fac chi\u1ebfn tranh, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ho\u00e3n c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n, theo Bloomberg. Donald Trump d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 kh\u00f3 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t n\u00e0y, v\u00e0 Ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng M\u1ef9 Marco Rubio cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn n\u00e0o n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng bao g\u1ed3m v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Iran.<\/p>\n<p>Federal Reserve (Fed) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u00e1ng 4 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, duy tr\u00ec ph\u1ea1m vi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 3,50%\u20133,75%, \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u l\u1ea7n gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean th\u1ee9 ba li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t do Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp. V\u00ec \u00dac l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia gi\u00e0u t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean, m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t \u2014 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft. S\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t, c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a \u00dac. T\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u2014 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1ee7i ro (risk-on) hay t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n an to\u00e0n (risk-off) \u2014 c\u0169ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng, trong \u0111\u00f3 risk-on th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c cho AUD.<\/p>\n<p>RBA \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn AUD b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t m\u00e0 c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u00dac cho nhau vay, qua \u0111\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a RBA l\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong kho\u1ea3ng 2\u20133% b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i cao so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD, v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i. RBA c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ho\u1eb7c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng.<\/p>\n<p>Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, v\u00ec v\u1eady s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a AUD. Khi kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed1t, nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a \u00dac t\u0103ng, qua \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng y\u1ebfu s\u1ebd g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>Qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, \u0111\u1ea1t gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb kho\u1ea3ng 118 t\u1ef7 USD m\u1ed7i n\u0103m theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u0103m 2021, v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh. Gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft do \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn AUD. Khi gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft t\u0103ng, AUD th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng theo do nhu c\u1ea7u t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y t\u0103ng. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi gi\u00e1 gi\u1ea3m, AUD c\u0169ng ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c. Gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft cao c\u0169ng l\u00e0m t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u00dac c\u00f3 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y t\u00edch c\u1ef1c cho AUD.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u2014 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u \u2014 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn AUD. N\u1ebfu \u00dac c\u00f3 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u m\u1ea1nh, \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 nh\u1edd nhu c\u1ea7u t\u1eeb n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i t\u0103ng. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i s\u1ebd g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 l\u00ean AUD.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng sang ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 ba li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, giao d\u1ecbch quanh m\u1ee9c 0.7190 trong phi\u00ean ch\u00e2u \u00c1 [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":76082,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-76080","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76080","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=76080"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76080\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":76387,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76080\/revisions\/76387"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/76082"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=76080"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=76080"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=76080"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}