{"id":75624,"date":"2026-04-24T09:03:56","date_gmt":"2026-04-24T02:03:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/asean-fx-external-gaps-seen-manageable-bny\/"},"modified":"2026-04-24T09:33:45","modified_gmt":"2026-04-24T02:33:45","slug":"asean-fx-tham-hut-doi-ngoai-duoc-danh-gia-van-trong-tam-kiem-soat-bny","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/asean-fx-tham-hut-doi-ngoai-duoc-danh-gia-van-trong-tam-kiem-soat-bny\/","title":{"rendered":"ASEAN FX: Th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn trong t\u1ea7m ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u2013 BNY"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"post-content-section\">\n<p>Chuy\u00ean gia Geoff Yu c\u1ee7a BNY cho r\u1eb1ng gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng cao v\u00e0 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ea9y c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ASEAN ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng. Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Indonesia (BI) \u0111ang t\u1eadp trung b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed3ng Rupiah (IDR) v\u00e0 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n thanh to\u00e1n, trong khi to\u00e0n khu v\u1ef1c v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u1edf m\u1ee9c v\u1eeba ph\u1ea3i. Yu nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap gi\u1ea3m bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, c\u00f2n qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh s\u1ebd ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb ph\u00eda c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>R\u1ee7i ro c\u00e1n c\u00e2n thanh to\u00e1n nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn c\u00f3 \u201cv\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec7m\u201d<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\u201cQuy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Indonesia (BI) nh\u00ecn chung ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, v\u00e0 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng cam k\u1ebft duy tr\u00ec \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, coi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c \u2018to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n\u2019 \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef v\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed3ng Rupiah.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cCan thi\u1ec7p s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u00f3 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, nh\u01b0ng BI c\u0169ng nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1n c\u00e2n thanh to\u00e1n \u2018c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1\u2019 \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb xung \u0111\u1ed9t, khi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n v\u00e3ng lai \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t 0.5% GDP xu\u1ed1ng 1.3%. Theo ch\u00fang t\u00f4i, m\u1ecdi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng r\u00f2ng \u0111\u1ec1u c\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft r\u1ee7i ro c\u00e1n c\u00e2n thanh to\u00e1n trong c\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u1edbi Indonesia.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNh\u1eefng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n c\u1ee7a ASEAN trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn r\u00f5, nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t. C\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ASEAN c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i \u2013 Indonesia, Malaysia, Th\u00e1i Lan, Vi\u1ec7t Nam, Philippines v\u00e0 Singapore \u2013 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang c\u00f3 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 g\u1ed9p trong 6 th\u00e1ng kho\u1ea3ng 25 t\u1ef7 USD, trong \u0111\u00f3 60% \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb Singapore, qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111\u1eb7c th\u00f9.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cKho\u1ea3ng thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t r\u00f2ng v\u1eabn trong t\u1ea7m ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t khi so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef. M\u1ed1i lo l\u1edbn h\u01a1n n\u1eb1m \u1edf t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 suy gi\u1ea3m d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd r\u1eb1ng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i n\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng nh\u01b0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, c\u00f2n vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u00e1n c\u00e2n thanh to\u00e1n n\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb ph\u00eda c\u1ea7u. C\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a nh\u1eb1m ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi h\u1eefu \u00edch, d\u00f9 n\u1eb1m ngo\u00e0i ph\u1ea1m vi c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>(B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 AI v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u00ean t\u1eadp l\u1ea1i.)<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chuy\u00ean gia Geoff Yu c\u1ee7a BNY cho r\u1eb1ng gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng cao v\u00e0 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00ed [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":75625,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-75624","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75624","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75624"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75624\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":75901,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75624\/revisions\/75901"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/75625"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75624"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75624"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75624"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}