{"id":71817,"date":"2026-04-15T09:12:59","date_gmt":"2026-04-15T02:12:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/usd-krw-two-way-trade-with-geopolitical-risk-ocbc\/"},"modified":"2026-04-15T10:34:07","modified_gmt":"2026-04-15T03:34:07","slug":"usd-krw-giao-dich-hai-chieu-trong-boi-canh-rui-ro-dia-chinh-tri-ocbc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/usd-krw-giao-dich-hai-chieu-trong-boi-canh-rui-ro-dia-chinh-tri-ocbc\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/KRW: Giao d\u1ecbch hai chi\u1ec1u trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u2013 OCBC"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"post-content-section\">\n<p>C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c gia Sim Moh Siong v\u00e0 Christopher Wong c\u1ee7a OCBC cho bi\u1ebft USD\/KRW \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng do c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng Trung \u0110\u00f4ng gia t\u0103ng v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng, g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng Won H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c \u2013 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro (beta cao) v\u00e0 l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u r\u00f2ng d\u1ea7u. C\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c (BoK) cho r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 suy y\u1ebfu g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a KRW ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i v\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u00e1i c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u danh m\u1ee5c. C\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n hi\u1ec7n giao d\u1ecbch quanh 1488, v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u1ea3m tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu, v\u00e0 OCBC k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng hai chi\u1ec1u trong v\u00f9ng 1470\u20131500 khi t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n<h4>C\u00fa s\u1ed1c b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i chi ph\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ed3ng Won v\u00e0 bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 giao d\u1ecbch<\/h4>\n<p>\u201cUSD\/KRW t\u0103ng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb gia t\u0103ng. Vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i phong t\u1ecfa eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz c\u1ee7a Trump \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng l\u00ean gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u. C\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u00e2u \u00c1, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed3ng c\u00f3 beta cao v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u r\u00f2ng d\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 KRW, giao d\u1ecbch y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u1ede di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn kh\u00e1c, \u1ee9ng vi\u00ean Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c BoK Shin cho bi\u1ebft nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n khi\u1ebfn KRW suy y\u1ebfu l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i. \u0110\u1ee3t suy y\u1ebfu n\u00e0y ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu do y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i, bao g\u1ed3m gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng v\u00e0 t\u00e2m l\u00fd n\u00e9 tr\u00e1nh r\u1ee7i ro gia t\u0103ng, trong khi vi\u1ec7c t\u00e1i c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u danh m\u1ee5c sau \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean KRW.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cS\u1ef1 suy y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a KRW v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc, bao g\u1ed3m d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ra n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u00d4ng c\u0169ng nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng r\u1ee7i ro l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng c\u00f3 v\u1ebb l\u1edbn h\u01a1n r\u1ee7i ro suy gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, x\u00e9t theo m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u1ec7ch kh\u1ecfi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 c\u1ee7a Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c BoK Rhee r\u1eb1ng c\u00f2n qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch do s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh xung quanh cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn Iran. N\u1ebfu c\u00fa s\u1ed1c ch\u1ec9 mang t\u00ednh t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi, h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cUSD\/KRW hi\u1ec7n quanh m\u1ee9c 1488. \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u1ea3m tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nh\u01b0ng RSI cho th\u1ea5y d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n. Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng hai chi\u1ec1u c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra khi t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u00f2n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng. H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1ea1i 1475 (SMA 50 ng\u00e0y), 1469 (SMA 100 ng\u00e0y). Kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 t\u1ea1i 1492 (m\u1ee9c Fibonacci 38,2% t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1y \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec9nh th\u00e1ng 3), v\u00e0 1500 (SMA 21 ng\u00e0y).\u201d<\/p>\n<p>(B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 Tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 Nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u00ean t\u1eadp vi\u00ean ki\u1ec3m duy\u1ec7t.)<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c gia Sim Moh Siong v\u00e0 Christopher Wong c\u1ee7a OCBC cho bi\u1ebft USD\/KRW \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng do c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":71818,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-71817","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71817","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=71817"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71817\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":72049,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71817\/revisions\/72049"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/71818"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=71817"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=71817"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=71817"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}