{"id":70863,"date":"2026-04-13T09:12:56","date_gmt":"2026-04-13T02:12:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi-sao-can-sua-doi-nghi-dinh-168\/"},"modified":"2026-04-13T09:52:58","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T02:52:58","slug":"dung-de-thien-kien-ke-song-sot-che-mo-chan-tuong-thi-truong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/dung-de-thien-kien-ke-song-sot-che-mo-chan-tuong-thi-truong\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0110\u1eebng \u0111\u1ec3 \u201cthi\u00ean ki\u1ebfn k\u1ebb s\u1ed1ng s\u00f3t\u201d che m\u1edd ch\u00e2n t\u01b0\u1edbng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u01b0\u1eddng nghe r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi khoe \u0111\u00e3 \u201cb\u1eaft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1y\u201d c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu A v\u00e0 B, nh\u01b0ng hi\u1ebfm khi nghe h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u00e1c k\u1ec3 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 \u201cb\u1eaft dao r\u01a1i\u201d v\u00e0 \u0111ang ph\u1ea3i \u00e2m th\u1ea7m \u201cg\u1ed3ng l\u1ed7\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ef1 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch trong c\u00e1ch c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ec3 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t sai l\u1ec7ch nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn: thi\u00ean ki\u1ebfn k\u1ebb s\u1ed1ng s\u00f3t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u00e0o quang t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng ngo\u1ea1i l\u1ec7<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 trong \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u1edf nhi\u1ec1u l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c. Ch\u00fang ta th\u01b0\u1eddng nghe v\u1ec1 Bill Gates, Steve Jobs hay Mark Zuckerberg – nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u1ecf h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ebfn t\u1ea1o n\u00ean c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ebf ch\u1ebf h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n t\u1ef7 USD. T\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3, m\u1ed9t ni\u1ec1m tin ng\u00e2y th\u01a1 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh: \u201cB\u1ecf h\u1ecdc kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec \u0111\u00e1ng s\u1ee3, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed l\u00e0 con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eaft d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ef1 th\u1eadt n\u1eb1m \u1edf ph\u1ea7n ch\u00ecm c\u1ee7a t\u1ea3ng b\u0103ng: Ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u1ecf h\u1ecdc kh\u00e1c \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i trong th\u1ea7m l\u1eb7ng. H\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 micro \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 b\u00e1o ch\u00ed \u0111\u01b0a tin. Trong th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201ckhuynh h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn\u201d. Ch\u00fang ta ch\u1ec9 nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y ph\u1ea7n n\u1ed5i c\u1ee7a d\u1eef li\u1ec7u, b\u1ecf qua ph\u1ea7n ch\u00ecm, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eefng k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn sai l\u1ec7ch v\u1ec1 to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 b\u1ee9c tranh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n, thi\u00ean ki\u1ebfn n\u00e0y c\u00e0ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean nguy hi\u1ec3m. \u1ede c\u00e1c di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n, kh\u00f4ng kh\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y nh\u1eefng b\u00e0i \u0111\u0103ng khoe l\u00e3i, \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u00fang \u0111\u00e1y m\u00e3 X, l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 20% sau khi gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n. Nh\u1eefng \u201ck\u1ebb s\u1ed1ng s\u00f3t\u201d th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng chia s\u1ebb chi\u1ebfn t\u00edch c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f4ng th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i – nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u201cb\u1eaft dao r\u01a1i\u201d – l\u1ea1i ch\u1ecdn c\u00e1ch im l\u1eb7ng v\u00ec m\u1eb7c c\u1ea3m ho\u1eb7c h\u1ed1i h\u1eadn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ch\u00ednh s\u1ef1 l\u1ec7ch l\u1ea1c th\u00f4ng tin n\u00e0y v\u00f4 t\u00ecnh t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t \u1ea3o t\u01b0\u1edfng nguy hi\u1ec3m cho nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 m\u1edbi r\u1eb1ng b\u1eaft \u0111\u00e1y l\u00e0 k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 thi, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng, v\u00e0 ai c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Khi c\u00e0ng ch\u0103m ch\u00fa quan s\u00e1t nh\u1eefng \u201canh h\u00f9ng\u201d tr\u00ean m\u1ea1ng, nh\u00ecn v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng hi\u1ebfm hoi c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00e0ng d\u1ec5 r\u1eddi xa b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Ngh\u1ecbch l\u00fd c\u1ee7a v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e1y: Khi h\u00f4m nay l\u00e0 \u201c\u0111\u1ec9nh\u201d c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0y mai<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m (downtrend), kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m \u201cr\u1ebb\u201d ch\u1ec9 mang t\u00ednh t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i. M\u1ed9t c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu gi\u1ea3m s\u00e0n phi\u00ean h\u00f4m nay c\u00f3 v\u1ebb h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn, nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu n\u1ed9i t\u1ea1i doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u201cm\u1ee5c n\u00e1t\u201d ho\u1eb7c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng chung \u0111ang x\u1ea5u \u0111i, m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 t\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u01b0 h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn h\u00f4m nay ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 cao nh\u1ea5t trong nh\u1eefng phi\u00ean ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi\u1ec7c c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng b\u1eaft \u0111\u00fang con s\u1ed1 th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong m\u1ed9t chu k\u1ef3, v\u1ec1 b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t, gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng ch\u1ee5p m\u1ed9t con dao \u0111ang r\u01a1i m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ee9t tay. V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, \u0111\u00e1y ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh khi n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i qua. M\u1ecdi n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o con s\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c t\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec1u mang t\u00ednh r\u1ee7i ro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u1ec1 t\u00e2m l\u00fd, t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e1y th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1, n\u1ed7i s\u1ee3 h\u00e3i v\u00e0 tuy\u1ec7t v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd bao tr\u00f9m. V\u00ec v\u1eady, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi v\u00f4 t\u00ecnh mua \u0111\u00fang \u0111\u00e1y th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n t\u1eebng ph\u1ea7n, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i do h\u1ecd s\u1edf h\u1eefu m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c ti\u00ean tri n\u00e0o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1edfng cho s\u1ef1 ho\u00e0n h\u1ea3o<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng sai l\u1ea7m ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u00e0 \u00e1m \u1ea3nh v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c t\u00ecm ra m\u1ed9t con s\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c – m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u201canh h\u00f9ng b\u1eaft \u0111\u00e1y\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thay v\u00ec c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m mua ho\u00e0n h\u1ea3o, nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 l\u1edbn th\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn theo c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c. H\u1ecd ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng ho\u00e0n h\u1ea3o v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro theo t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u1ecd t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 h\u1ee3p l\u00fd so v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n t\u1eebng ph\u1ea7n theo k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch, ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn l\u1ed7 th\u00eam m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3n nh\u1ecf trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n ho\u1eb7c mua cao h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1y m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed5i l\u1ea5y x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cao h\u01a1n trong d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00ec v\u1eady, \u0111i\u1ec1u quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 \u0111\u00fang bao nhi\u00eau l\u1ea7n, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 khi sai, ta m\u1ea5t bao nhi\u00eau. Ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng m\u00ecnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 sai, \u0111\u1eb7t ra k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt c\u1eaft l\u1ed7 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 gi\u1eef v\u1eefng ni\u1ec1m tin d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean ph\u00e2n t\u00edch doanh nghi\u1ec7p l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng gi\u00fap nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i l\u00e2u d\u00e0i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e2u n\u00f3i n\u1ed5i ti\u1ebfng c\u1ee7a Warren Buffett – \u201cH\u00e3y tham lam khi ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u00e1c s\u1ee3 h\u00e3i, v\u00e0 s\u1ee3 h\u00e3i khi ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u00e1c tham lam\u201d – nghe c\u00f3 v\u1ebb \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n, nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 kh\u00f3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n. B\u1edfi l\u1ebd, khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u, c\u1ea3m x\u00fac chi ph\u1ed1i kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 l\u00fd tr\u00ed, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 n\u1ed7i s\u1ee3. Nh\u1eefng phi\u00ean gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f4i khi l\u00e0 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i, nh\u01b0ng ch\u1ec9 d\u00e0nh cho nh\u1eefng ai \u0111\u00e3 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ee7 ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c, k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 b\u00ecnh t\u0129nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Suy cho c\u00f9ng, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea5u tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ee9ng minh ai th\u00f4ng minh h\u01a1n trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 n\u01a1i th\u1eed th\u00e1ch kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb sai l\u1ea7m c\u1ee7a m\u1ed7i c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n. Vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng m\u00ecnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 sai v\u00e0 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb s\u1eb5n c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u00e1n ph\u00f2ng v\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 ch\u00eca kh\u00f3a \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i l\u00e2u d\u00e0i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Khi n\u1ed7i s\u1ee3 bao tr\u00f9m v\u00e0 m\u1ecdi ng\u01b0\u1eddi r\u1eddi b\u1ecf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, \u0111\u00f3 m\u1edbi l\u00e0 l\u00fac nh\u1eefng t\u01b0 duy logic b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u00ecm th\u1ea5y c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i trong \u0111\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed5 n\u00e1t. M\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n \u201cb\u1eaft dao r\u01a1i\u201d c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1eaft gi\u00e1 v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch s\u00e2u s\u1eafc, \u0111\u00f3 l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 trui r\u00e8n c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u00e0nh, gi\u00fap h\u1ecd tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi h\u00e0o quang \u1ea3o m\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng \u201ck\u1ebb s\u1ed1ng s\u00f3t\u201d \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ea1m tay v\u00e0o ch\u00e2n t\u01b0\u1edbng th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 th\u1ecbnh v\u01b0\u1ee3ng.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00a0 Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u01b0\u1eddng nghe r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi khoe \u0111\u00e3 \u201cb\u1eaft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1y\u201d c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu A v\u00e0 B, nh\u01b0ng […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":70979,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[221],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-70863","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-chung-khoan"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70863","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70863"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70863\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":70980,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70863\/revisions\/70980"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/70979"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70863"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70863"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70863"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}