{"id":69199,"date":"2026-04-08T09:08:31","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T02:08:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/rbnz-set-to-remain-on-hold-as-markets-look-for-hints-of-possible-interest-rate-hikes\/"},"modified":"2026-04-08T09:22:33","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T02:22:33","slug":"rbnz-du-kien-giu-nguyen-chinh-sach-khi-thi-truong-tim-kiem-tin-hieu-ve-kha-nang-tang-lai-suat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/rbnz-du-kien-giu-nguyen-chinh-sach-khi-thi-truong-tim-kiem-tin-hieu-ve-kha-nang-tang-lai-suat\/","title":{"rendered":"RBNZ d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"post-content-section\">\n<p>Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef New Zealand (RBNZ) \u0111\u00e3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ec1n m\u1eb7t ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c (OCR) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 2.25% sau khi k\u1ebft th\u00fac cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 th\u00e1ng 4 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0.<\/p>\n<p>Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>T\u00f3m t\u1eaft B\u00e1o c\u00e1o Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 (MPR) c\u1ee7a RBNZ<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\u1ee6y ban ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 h\u00f4m nay \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean OCR \u1edf m\u1ee9c 2.25%.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng v\u00e0 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<p>Trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd t\u0103ng trong khi \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf suy y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n<p>\u1ee6y ban t\u1eadp trung \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau trung h\u1ea1n 2%.<\/p>\n<p>\u1ee6y ban lu\u00f4n theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t c\u00e1c \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u00f5i v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u1ec1n l\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n duy tr\u00ec quanh m\u1ee9c 2%.<\/p>\n<p>N\u1ebfu c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng, vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng OCR m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t v\u00e0 k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi s\u1ebd l\u00e0 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 gia t\u0103ng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn xung \u0111\u1ed9t t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 v\u00e0 th\u1eddi gian gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi n\u0103m 2022 khi \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch COVID-19 v\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t Nga \u2013 Ukraine l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng. Khi \u0111\u00f3, nhu c\u1ea7u t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00e3 g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<p>Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean OCR c\u1ee7a \u1ee7y ban nh\u1eb1m c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng gi\u1eefa l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng s\u1edbm tr\u01b0\u1edbc nguy c\u01a1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t trung h\u1ea1n t\u0103ng cao v\u00e0 chi ph\u00ed c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c k\u00ecm h\u00e3m kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a RBNZ<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Xung \u0111\u1ed9t t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111ang g\u00e2y ra nh\u1eefng gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda ngu\u1ed3n cung.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, ng\u00e0y 8 th\u00e1ng 4, \u1ee7y ban \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed3ng thu\u1eadn gi\u1eef OCR \u1edf m\u1ee9c 2.25%.<\/p>\n<p>Gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u1ea1i New Zealand t\u0103ng trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n<p>T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a NZD\/USD tr\u01b0\u1edbc quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a RBNZ<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la New Zealand thu h\u00fat l\u1ef1c mua ngay sau khi c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a RBNZ. C\u1eb7p NZD\/USD hi\u1ec7n giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c 0.5808, t\u0103ng 1.33% trong ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Gi\u00e1 \u0110\u00f4 la New Zealand h\u00f4m nay<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>B\u1ea3ng d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ee9c thay \u0111\u1ed5i ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m c\u1ee7a \u0110\u00f4 la New Zealand (NZD) so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh kh\u00e1c trong ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m nay. \u0110\u00f4 la New Zealand l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t so v\u1edbi \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n<div id=\"content-module-currencyprices-NZD-266\" data-type=\"currencyprices\" data-module=\"currencyprices\" data-config-topic=\"NZD\" data-config-asset=\"NZD\" data-config-criteria=\"Strongest\" data-config-period=\"Today\" data-config-currencies=\"USD,EUR,GBP,JPY,CAD,AUD,NZD,CHF\" data-config-quotes=\"1.159455:1.167905,1.3293:1.34083,1.146345:1.148065,0.006265:0.006316,0.005403:0.005408,0.004713:0.004711,0.72018:0.7225,0.6211:0.6187,0.54181:0.5389,114.9555:114.4155,0.697385:0.706425,0.6015:0.6048,0.5248:0.5268,111.3475:111.8485,0.968605:0.97756,0.5732:0.58062,0.4942:0.4971,0.431235:0.433,91.504:91.93,0.79605:0.80349,0.82173:0.821925,1.253548:1.265727,1.080993:1.083764,0.94297:0.94399,200.101:200.4035,1.74059:1.75164,1.796881:1.791762,2.186715:2.179905\" data-version=\"v1\" data-content-module-translate=\"0\">\n<div>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th><\/th>\n<th>USD<\/th>\n<th>EUR<\/th>\n<th>GBP<\/th>\n<th>JPY<\/th>\n<th>CAD<\/th>\n<th>AUD<\/th>\n<th>NZD<\/th>\n<th>CHF<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th>USD<\/th>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>-0.72%<\/td>\n<td>-0.86%<\/td>\n<td>-0.81%<\/td>\n<td>-0.32%<\/td>\n<td>-1.28%<\/td>\n<td>-1.28%<\/td>\n<td>-0.96%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th>EUR<\/th>\n<td>0.72%<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>-0.15%<\/td>\n<td>-0.09%<\/td>\n<td>0.39%<\/td>\n<td>-0.55%<\/td>\n<td>-0.58%<\/td>\n<td>-0.26%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th>GBP<\/th>\n<td>0.86%<\/td>\n<td>0.15%<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>0.04%<\/td>\n<td>0.54%<\/td>\n<td>-0.38%<\/td>\n<td>-0.41%<\/td>\n<td>-0.11%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th>JPY<\/th>\n<td>0.81%<\/td>\n<td>0.09%<\/td>\n<td>-0.04%<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>0.47%<\/td>\n<td>-0.45%<\/td>\n<td>-0.46%<\/td>\n<td>-0.15%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th>CAD<\/th>\n<td>0.32%<\/td>\n<td>-0.39%<\/td>\n<td>-0.54%<\/td>\n<td>-0.47%<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>-0.92%<\/td>\n<td>-0.93%<\/td>\n<td>-0.63%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th>AUD<\/th>\n<td>1.28%<\/td>\n<td>0.55%<\/td>\n<td>0.38%<\/td>\n<td>0.45%<\/td>\n<td>0.92%<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>-0.02%<\/td>\n<td>0.29%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th>NZD<\/th>\n<td>1.28%<\/td>\n<td>0.58%<\/td>\n<td>0.41%<\/td>\n<td>0.46%<\/td>\n<td>0.93%<\/td>\n<td>0.02%<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>0.31%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th>CHF<\/th>\n<td>0.96%<\/td>\n<td>0.26%<\/td>\n<td>0.11%<\/td>\n<td>0.15%<\/td>\n<td>0.63%<\/td>\n<td>-0.29%<\/td>\n<td>-0.31%<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>B\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed3 nhi\u1ec7t cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ee9c thay \u0111\u1ed5i ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh so v\u1edbi nhau. \u0110\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n c\u01a1 s\u1edf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ecdn t\u1eeb c\u1ed9t b\u00ean tr\u00e1i, trong khi \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ecdn t\u1eeb h\u00e0ng tr\u00ean c\u00f9ng. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, n\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n ch\u1ecdn \u0110\u00f4 la New Zealand t\u1eeb c\u1ed9t b\u00ean tr\u00e1i v\u00e0 di chuy\u1ec3n theo h\u00e0ng ngang \u0111\u1ebfn \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9, m\u1ee9c thay \u0111\u1ed5i ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m hi\u1ec3n th\u1ecb trong \u00f4 s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho NZD (c\u01a1 s\u1edf)\/USD (\u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1).<\/p>\n<p>Ph\u1ea7n d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 7 th\u00e1ng 4 l\u00fac 20:15 GMT nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t b\u1ea3n xem tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ec1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef New Zealand (RBNZ).<\/p>\n<p>Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef New Zealand d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t \u1edf m\u1ee9c 2.25% trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u1ee9 hai li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0.<br \/>\nB\u00e1o c\u00e1o Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 (MPR) v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c Breman s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t sao \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch.<br \/>\n\u0110\u00f4 la New Zealand \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh sau c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a RBNZ.<\/p>\n<p>Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef New Zealand (RBNZ) d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng chu k\u1ef3 c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u1ee9 hai li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t Ti\u1ec1n m\u1eb7t Ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c (OCR) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 2.25%, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xung \u0111\u1ed9t Iran l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<p>Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i v\u00e0 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o l\u00fac 02:00 GMT, k\u00e8m theo B\u00e1o c\u00e1o Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 (MPR) v\u00e0 bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp. Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c RBNZ, Ti\u1ebfn s\u0129 Anna Breman, s\u1ebd t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c h\u1ecdp b\u00e1o sau quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0o l\u00fac 03:00 GMT.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u00f4 la New Zealand (NZD) c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c RBNZ chuy\u1ec3n sang l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u201cdi\u1ec1u h\u00e2u\u201d hay ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1eef quan \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng g\u00ec t\u1eeb quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a RBNZ?<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>V\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh v\u00e0o gi\u00e1, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 MPR v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c Breman \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm manh m\u1ed1i v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong n\u0103m nay, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng do c\u00fa s\u1ed1c n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng.<\/p>\n<p>Trong bu\u1ed5i h\u1ecdp b\u00e1o, Breman \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd gi\u1eef quan \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u01b0 trong b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 23 th\u00e1ng 3.<\/p>\n<p>Khi \u0111\u00f3, b\u00e0 cho bi\u1ebft Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111ang \u201ct\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm c\u00e1c t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00f2ng hai\u201d v\u00e0 \u201cn\u1ebfu k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t thay \u0111\u1ed5i, (ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng) s\u1ebd h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00e0 c\u0169ng nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng \u201c[ch\u00fang t\u00f4i] kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm v\u1edbi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t\u201d, nh\u1eb1m tr\u00e1nh vi\u1ec7c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm.<\/p>\n<p>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t h\u00e0ng n\u0103m c\u1ee7a New Zealand \u0111\u1ea1t 3.1% trong qu\u00fd k\u1ebft th\u00fac v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 12 n\u0103m 2025, cao h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat so v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 1%\u20133% c\u1ee7a RBNZ.<\/p>\n<p>Bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp c\u0169ng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a quan tr\u1ecdng v\u00ec c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cung c\u1ea5p th\u00f4ng tin v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c tranh lu\u1eadn gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t k\u00e9o d\u00e0i do t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00f2ng hai, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0a ra \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cGi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd t\u00e1i kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ef1 th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng trong vi\u1ec7c ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi c\u00fa s\u1ed1c ngu\u1ed3n cung, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t khi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u01b0\u1edbi c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t,\u201d c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch t\u1ea1i TD Securities (TDS) cho bi\u1ebft. \u201c\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c vi\u1ec7c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 h\u01a1n 75 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong n\u0103m nay.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a RBNZ s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ebfn \u0110\u00f4 la New Zealand?<\/h2>\n<p>C\u1eb7p NZD\/USD \u0111ang dao \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong 5 th\u00e1ng l\u00e0 0.5681 tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ec1m cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp c\u1ee7a RBNZ. Li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c RBNZ chuy\u1ec3n sang l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u201cdi\u1ec1u h\u00e2u\u201d c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ee9u phe mua Kiwi?<\/p>\n<p>N\u1ebfu RBNZ g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng chuy\u1ec3n sang t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m nay, NZD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng so v\u1edbi \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD).<\/p>\n<p>Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng b\u00e1c b\u1ecf lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 c\u00fa s\u1ed1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec quan \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i, \u0110\u00f4 la New Zealand c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n<p>Dhwani Mehta, Tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn ph\u00e2n t\u00edch phi\u00ean ch\u00e2u \u00c1 t\u1ea1i FXStreet, \u0111\u01b0a ra g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt ng\u1eafn g\u1ecdn v\u1ec1 NZD\/USD:<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u0110\u1ed3ng Kiwi v\u1eabn d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng, d\u00f9 c\u00f3 nh\u1ecbp h\u1ed3i k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt. Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o RSI 14 ng\u00e0y v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung t\u00ednh, trong khi t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u Bear Cross \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 c\u1eaft xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi SMA 100 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 1\/4, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cKh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c t\u00e2m l\u00fd 0.5750 tr\u00ean con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i. C\u00e1c m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 0.5800 v\u00e0 SMA 100 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i 0.5840. \u1ede chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ea1nh n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i m\u1ed1c 0.5600; n\u1ebfu ph\u00e1 xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi, m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1y th\u00e1ng 11\/2025 t\u1ea1i 0.5580 s\u1ebd b\u1ecb \u0111e d\u1ecda. M\u1ed1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh cho phe mua NZD l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng 0.5550,\u201d Dhwani cho bi\u1ebft th\u00eam.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 \u0110\u00f4 la New Zealand<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\u0110\u00f4 la New Zealand (NZD), c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 Kiwi, l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn. Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf New Zealand v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00f2n c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1eb7c th\u00f9 kh\u00e1c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn NZD. Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn v\u00ec Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a New Zealand. Tin x\u1ea5u t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a New Zealand gi\u1ea3m, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y. M\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 s\u1eefa, v\u00ec ng\u00e0nh s\u1eefa l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ch\u1ee7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a New Zealand. Gi\u00e1 s\u1eefa cao gi\u00fap t\u0103ng thu nh\u1eadp xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 NZD.<\/p>\n<p>Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef New Zealand (RBNZ) \u0111\u1eb7t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau duy tr\u00ec l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t trong kho\u1ea3ng 1%\u20133% trong trung h\u1ea1n, v\u1edbi tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 2%. \u0110\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y, ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p. Khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t qu\u00e1 cao, RBNZ s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi l\u00e0m t\u0103ng l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu, thu h\u00fat nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 NZD. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0m NZD suy y\u1ebfu. Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa New Zealand v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a c\u1eb7p NZD\/USD.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 t\u1ea1i New Zealand l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb NZD. M\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh, v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cao, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 ni\u1ec1m tin cao, s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 NZD. T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thu h\u00fat v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i v\u00e0 khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch RBNZ t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t khi \u0111i k\u00e8m l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t cao. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u y\u1ebfu c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn NZD gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u00f4 la New Zealand th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u201crisk-on\u201d, khi nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1ee7i ro. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i cho h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a nh\u01b0 NZD. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n ho\u1eb7c r\u1ee7i ro cao, NZD th\u01b0\u1eddng suy y\u1ebfu khi nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 chuy\u1ec3n sang c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n an to\u00e0n h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef New Zealand (RBNZ) \u0111\u00e3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ec1n m\u1eb7t ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c (OCR) \u1edf [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":69202,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69199","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69199","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69199"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69199\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":69396,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69199\/revisions\/69396"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/69202"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69199"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69199"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69199"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}