{"id":68883,"date":"2026-04-07T09:06:13","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T02:06:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/australian-dollar-price-forecast-extra-losses-likely-below-0-6830\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T09:20:57","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T02:20:57","slug":"du-bao-gia-do-la-uc-co-kha-nang-giam-them-duoi-muc-0-6830","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/du-bao-gia-do-la-uc-co-kha-nang-giam-them-duoi-muc-0-6830\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac: C\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u1ea3m th\u00eam d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 0.6830"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng theo s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ee7a t\u00e2m l\u00fd ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1ee7i ro, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb Trung \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea7y bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao v\u00e0 l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a AUD trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng AUD m\u1edf \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n giao d\u1ecbch m\u1edbi kh\u00e1 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c, th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y AUD\/USD ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i v\u00e0 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i tr\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng quan tr\u1ecdng 0.6900.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e0 t\u0103ng m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng USD, khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u00e0o kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t xung \u0111\u1ed9t gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran, d\u00f9 c\u00e1c tin t\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y cho th\u1ea5y Iran \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n do Donald Trump \u0111\u1eb7t ra v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba.<\/p>\n

\u00dac: v\u1eabn m\u1ea1nh nh\u01b0ng \u0111ang m\u1ea5t d\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c<\/strong><\/h3>\n

N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u00dac nh\u00ecn chung v\u1eabn kh\u00e1 v\u1eefng, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111ang d\u1ea7n m\u1ea5t \u0111i s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n ch\u01b0a thay \u0111\u1ed5i nhi\u1ec1u: n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u1eabn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1eabn cao v\u00e0 RBA v\u1eabn h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. Nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1ea1o n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho AUD.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u suy y\u1ebfu \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 PMI th\u00e1ng 3 c\u1ee7a S&P Global \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 50, \u1edf m\u1ee9c 49.8, cho th\u1ea5y n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf quay l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng thu h\u1eb9p. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 \u1edf m\u1ee9c 46.6 cho th\u1ea5y ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111ang ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1eabn t\u00edch c\u1ef1c v\u1edbi th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 5.686 t\u1ef7 AUD trong th\u00e1ng 2, m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 7\/2025.<\/p>\n

T\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u1eabn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed1t. GDP t\u0103ng 0.8% trong qu\u00fd IV v\u00e0 t\u0103ng 2.6% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n ch\u1eadm, v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4.3% v\u00e0 s\u1ed1 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m m\u1edbi trong th\u00e1ng 2 \u0111\u1ea1t 48.9 ngh\u00ecn.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1eabn l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t. CPI t\u0103ng 3.7% trong n\u0103m qua, Trimmed Mean t\u0103ng 3.3% v\u00e0 Weighted Median t\u0103ng 3.5%. L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7 nhanh.<\/p>\n

RBA cho r\u1eb1ng nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1eabn c\u00f2n d\u00e0i, v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t ch\u1ec9 quay v\u1ec1 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau v\u00e0o kho\u1ea3ng gi\u1eefa n\u0103m 2028, ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1ea1o \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.<\/p>\n

Trung Qu\u1ed1c: \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n d\u1eabn d\u1eaft<\/strong><\/h3>\n

\u1ede th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD m\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

D\u1eef li\u1ec7u GDP g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t cho th\u1ea5y n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng 4.5% trong qu\u00fd IV\/2025. Doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb t\u0103ng 2.8% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 trong hai th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m, v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i nh\u00ecn chung v\u1eabn t\u00edch c\u1ef1c. Tuy nhi\u00ean, b\u1ee9c tranh b\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi kh\u00f4ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n

C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u PMI ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c do National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u1eabn cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 thu h\u1eb9p, trong khi c\u00e1c kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n nh\u01b0 RatingDog v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m trong v\u00f9ng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng, d\u00f9 s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u th\u00e1ng 3 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m so v\u1edbi th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i trung t\u00ednh n\u00e0y. CPI t\u0103ng 1.2% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3, trong khi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t (PPI) v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t -0.9%. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho ph\u00e9p People\u2019s Bank of China (PBoC) duy tr\u00ec ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cho vay c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n (LPR) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 3.00% cho k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 1 n\u0103m v\u00e0 3.50% cho k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 5 n\u0103m.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi AUD, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 l\u1ef1c c\u1ea3n, nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n

RBA: \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, nh\u01b0ng th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u01b0a ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn<\/strong><\/h3>\n

\u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cho th\u1ea5y r\u00f5 l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch. Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t OCR l\u00ean 4.10% v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 s\u00edt sao 5\u20134 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ef1 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng mong manh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

Th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i v\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i: c\u00e1c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf v\u1ec1 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c v\u1eabn t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i, v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n. Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c Michele Bullock nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng nhu c\u1ea7u v\u01b0\u1ee3t cung v\u1eabn l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 trung t\u00e2m.<\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, tranh lu\u1eadn t\u1eadp trung nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i.<\/p>\n

Bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp c\u0169ng c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn n\u00e0y. Sau hai l\u1ea7n t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong n\u0103m, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t khi b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p.<\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t, v\u1edbi kho\u1ea3ng 59 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 cho \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m.<\/p>\n

V\u1ecb th\u1ebf AUD: phe mua \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gia t\u0103ng, nh\u01b0ng\u2026<\/strong><\/h3>\n

V\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m phi th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i (c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1) \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi AUD ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda mua, v\u1edbi l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1ecb th\u1ebf mua r\u00f2ng t\u0103ng tu\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 ba li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp l\u00ean kho\u1ea3ng 81.5 ngh\u00ecn h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch gi\u1eefa v\u1ecb th\u1ebf v\u00e0 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng. C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, gi\u00e1 giao ngay l\u1ea1i c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong c\u00f9ng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n, t\u1eeb tr\u00ean 0.7100 xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi 0.6900, cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn t\u00edch c\u1ef1c trong trung h\u1ea1n, nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n

Open interest \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng tu\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 ba li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c v\u1ecb th\u1ebf m\u1edbi v\u1eabn \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edf, c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 ni\u1ec1m tin v\u00e0o xu h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0y, d\u00f9 gi\u00e1 ch\u01b0a th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3: khi AUD \u0111ang tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t v\u1ecb th\u1ebf mua \u201c\u0111\u00f4ng \u0111\u00fac\u201d trong m\u1ed9t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 quan \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00f3, r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u nhanh s\u1ebd gia t\u0103ng n\u1ebfu \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng x\u1ea5u \u0111i.<\/p>\n

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C\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng<\/strong><\/p>\n

K\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n c\u01a1 s\u1edf:<\/strong>
\n\u0110\u00e0 t\u0103ng b\u1ecb gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n quanh v\u00f9ng 0.7050 do \u0111\u1ed3ng USD m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean v\u00e0 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb gia t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n

K\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u0103ng (Bull):<\/strong>
\nS\u1ef1 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng c\u1ee7a t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng r\u1ee7i ro ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 suy y\u1ebfu c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n quay l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng 0.7100 v\u00e0 cao h\u01a1n, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

K\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n gi\u1ea3m (Bear):<\/strong>
\n\u0110\u00e0 t\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u y\u1ebfu t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c ho\u1eb7c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e9 r\u1ee7i ro gia t\u0103ng, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 quay l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng 0.6800.<\/p>\n

Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ti\u1ebfp theo cho AUD\/USD<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n: th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed3ng USD, t\u00e2m l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb. V\u1ec1 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 PMI D\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 S&P Global v\u00e0 chi ti\u00eau h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh s\u1ebd l\u00e0 tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m trong n\u01b0\u1edbc. \u1ede b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i, bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n FOMC v\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t M\u1ef9, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 CPI, s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t sao.<\/p>\n

R\u1ee7i ro: s\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m kinh t\u1ebf k\u00e9o d\u00e0i t\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c, thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a Federal Reserve (Fed), ho\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u1eeb Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean AUD v\u00e0 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

G\u00f3c nh\u00ecn k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/p>\n

Trong bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y, AUD\/USD giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c 0.6915. Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n \u1edf tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i trung t\u00ednh v\u1edbi thi\u00ean h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 khi gi\u00e1 r\u1eddi kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng 0.7150 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng. Gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec tr\u00ean c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n 100 v\u00e0 200 ng\u00e0y, gi\u1eef v\u1eefng b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, tuy nhi\u00ean ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o RSI quanh m\u1ee9c 44 cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n gia t\u0103ng. Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o ADX quanh m\u1ee9c 25 cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc, ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u00edch l\u0169y h\u01a1n l\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n

H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i 0.6833, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 b\u1edfi m\u1ee9c Fibonacci 50% t\u1ea1i 0.6784 (t\u00ednh t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1y 0.6421 \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec9nh 0.7147). \u1ede chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng 0.6976 (m\u1ee9c Fibonacci 23.6%), ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng c\u1ea3n ngang t\u1ea1i 0.7158. \u0110\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn l\u1ea1i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, gi\u00e1 c\u1ea7n \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda tr\u00ean 0.7158, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 m\u1edf ra kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi v\u00f9ng 0.7283.<\/p>\n

\n

\"Chart<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

(Ph\u1ea7n ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt trong b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 AI.)<\/em><\/p>\n

T\u00f3m l\u1ea1i<\/strong><\/p>\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng v\u0129 m\u00f4 c\u1ee7a AUD v\u1eabn t\u00edch c\u1ef1c v\u00e0 l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u201cdi\u1ec1u h\u00e2u\u201d t\u1eeb Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a cao.<\/p>\n

C\u1ea7n l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng t\u00e2m l\u00fd \u201crisk-on\u201d th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac, nh\u01b0ng khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ho\u1eb7c b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n gia t\u0103ng, d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng chuy\u1ec3n sang t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n, trong \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD v\u1eabn chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Nh\u00ecn chung, chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u00e0 xung \u0111\u1ed9t kinh t\u1ebf gi\u1eefa hai ho\u1eb7c nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia do ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a b\u1ea3o h\u1ed9 c\u1ef1c \u0111oan t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t ph\u00eda. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e1c r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i nh\u01b0 thu\u1ebf quan, k\u00e9o theo c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3, l\u00e0m t\u0103ng chi ph\u00ed nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ea9y chi ph\u00ed sinh ho\u1ea1t l\u00ean cao.<\/p>\n

Xung \u0111\u1ed9t kinh t\u1ebf gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2018, khi Donald Trump \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e1c r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u00ean Trung Qu\u1ed1c, c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh vi th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh c\u1eafp s\u1edf h\u1eefu tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7. Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u00e1p thu\u1ebf l\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 nh\u01b0 \u00f4 t\u00f4 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eadu n\u00e0nh. C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng leo thang cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi hai b\u00ean k\u00fd k\u1ebft th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n M\u1ed9t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 1\/2020, nh\u1eb1m th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac v\u00e0 kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c ni\u1ec1m tin gi\u1eefa hai n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch COVID-19 \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd r\u1eddi kh\u1ecfi xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u00e0y. Sau \u0111\u00f3, Joe Biden v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf v\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed b\u1ed5 sung th\u00eam m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

Vi\u1ec7c Donald Trump quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng v\u1edbi t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng th\u1ee9 47 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng m\u1edbi gi\u1eefa hai qu\u1ed1c gia. Trong chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch tranh c\u1eed n\u0103m 2024, \u00f4ng cam k\u1ebft \u00e1p thu\u1ebf 60% l\u00ean h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 20\/01\/2025. V\u1edbi s\u1ef1 tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trump, chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 – Trung \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u201c\u0103n mi\u1ebfng tr\u1ea3 mi\u1ebfng\u201d \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng, gi\u1ea3m chi ti\u00eau (\u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0) v\u00e0 g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea9y l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t (CPI) t\u0103ng cao.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng theo s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ee7a t\u00e2m l\u00fd ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1ee7i ro, trong […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":68884,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68883","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68883","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=68883"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68883\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":68967,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68883\/revisions\/68967"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/68884"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=68883"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=68883"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=68883"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}