{"id":64353,"date":"2026-03-23T09:44:52","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T02:44:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/aud-usd-price-forecast-bears-have-the-upper-hand-near-0-7000-200-ema-breakdown-in-play\/"},"modified":"2026-03-23T11:31:50","modified_gmt":"2026-03-23T04:31:50","slug":"aud-usd-price-forecast-bears-have-the-upper-hand-near-0-7000-200-ema-breakdown-in-play","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/aud-usd-price-forecast-bears-have-the-upper-hand-near-0-7000-200-ema-breakdown-in-play\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 AUD\/USD: Phe b\u00e1n \u0111ang chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf quanh m\u1ed1c 0,7000; k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng EMA 200 \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn."},"content":{"rendered":"

C\u1eb7p AUD\/USD m\u1edf c\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng tr\u1ed1ng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 nh\u1eb9 trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 Hai v\u00e0 ch\u1ea1m m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong m\u1ed9t tu\u1ea7n trong phi\u00ean \u00c1, d\u00f9 \u0111\u00e0 b\u00e1n sau \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1ed1i d\u00e0i. Hi\u1ec7n gi\u00e1 giao ngay dao \u0111\u1ed9ng quanh m\u1ed1c t\u00e2m l\u00fd 0,7000, gi\u1ea3m 0,25% trong ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

Vi\u1ec7c c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c leo thang, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng thu h\u1eb9p k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed), \u0111ang t\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ee1 cho \u0111\u1ed3ng USD v\u00e0 g\u00e2y s\u1ee9c \u00e9p l\u00ean c\u1eb7p AUD\/USD. Tuy nhi\u00ean, l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng thi\u00ean v\u1ec1 th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Australia (RBA) v\u1eabn h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh cho \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD, qua \u0111\u00f3 gi\u00fap h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

X\u00e9t tr\u00ean g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n \u0111ang chuy\u1ec3n sang h\u01a1i thi\u00ean gi\u1ea3m, khi AUD\/USD quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng EMA 200 k\u1ef3 \u0111ang d\u1ed1c l\u00ean nh\u1eb9 tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 4 gi\u1edd, cho th\u1ea5y phe mua \u0111ang d\u1ea7n m\u1ea5t quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t sau khi n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i trong tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ecb ch\u1eb7n l\u1ea1i tr\u00ean v\u00f9ng 0,7100. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng MACD \u0111\u00e3 c\u1eaft xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u00e0 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 0, trong khi histogram duy tr\u00ec \u1edf v\u00f9ng \u00e2m nh\u1eb9, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 \u0111ang h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i sau m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng ng\u1eafn.<\/p>\n

B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, RSI quanh m\u1ee9c 37 v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ed1c trung t\u00ednh 50 nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a r\u01a1i v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n, qua \u0111\u00f3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 thi\u00ean h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi cho th\u1ea5y gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn c\u00f2n d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba suy y\u1ebfu th\u00eam tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i ki\u1ec7t s\u1ee9c. Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ebd v\u1eabn th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n n\u1ebfu ch\u1edd m\u1ed9t nh\u1ecbp gi\u1ea3m x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ngang 0,6960\u20130,6950 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 6\/2022, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n n\u1eb1m quanh khu v\u1ef1c 0,7030, n\u01a1i EMA 200 k\u1ef3 h\u1ed9i t\u1ee5 v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t. M\u1ed9t nh\u1ecbp ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng v\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00ean tr\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u1ea3n n\u00e0y l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00e0 m\u1edf \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cho gi\u00e1 quay l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng 0,7085, tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec9nh dao \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i 0,7115.<\/p>\n

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C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD)<\/h2>\n

M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t chi ph\u1ed1i \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD) l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t do Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Australia (RBA) thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp. Do Australia l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia gi\u00e0u t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean, m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y l\u00e0 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft. S\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Australia, c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t, b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Australia. T\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u2013 t\u1ee9c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1ee7i ro (risk-on) hay t\u00ecm \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n (risk-off) \u2013 c\u0169ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, trong \u0111\u00f3 m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng risk-on th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c cho AUD.<\/p>\n

RBA t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn AUD th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t m\u00e0 c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Australia cho nhau vay, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a RBA l\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong v\u00f9ng 2\u20133% b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng ho\u1eb7c gi\u1ea3m. M\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i cao so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD, v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i. RBA c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng (QE) ho\u1eb7c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng (QT) \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng; trong \u0111\u00f3 QE th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i cho AUD, c\u00f2n QT th\u01b0\u1eddng mang t\u00ednh h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3.<\/p>\n

Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Australia, v\u00ec v\u1eady s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a AUD. Khi kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed1t, n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y s\u1ebd nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u nhi\u1ec1u nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u th\u00f4, h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 h\u01a1n t\u1eeb Australia, qua \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi AUD v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y \u0111i l\u00ean. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, AUD th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c. Do \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u1ebfu t\u00edch c\u1ef1c hay ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn AUD v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n li\u00ean quan.<\/p>\n

Qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Australia, v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb kho\u1ea3ng 118 t\u1ef7 USD m\u1ed7i n\u0103m theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u0103m 2021, v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 ch\u00ednh. V\u00ec v\u1eady, gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn d\u1eaft AUD. Th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, khi gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft t\u0103ng, AUD c\u0169ng t\u0103ng theo do nhu c\u1ea7u t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y gia t\u0103ng. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m, AUD th\u01b0\u1eddng suy y\u1ebfu. Gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft cao h\u01a1n c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Australia ghi nh\u1eadn th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn h\u01a1n, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u0169ng mang t\u00ednh t\u00edch c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi AUD.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, t\u1ee9c ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia, c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn AUD. N\u1ebfu Australia xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng c\u00f3 nhu c\u1ea7u cao, \u0111\u1ed3ng n\u1ed9i t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 nh\u1edd nhu c\u1ea7u mua AUD t\u1eeb c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i t\u0103ng l\u00ean \u0111\u1ec3 thanh to\u00e1n cho h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u, l\u1edbn h\u01a1n s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u1ea7n chi cho nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u. V\u00ec v\u1eady, c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD, trong khi c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u00e2m s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

C\u1eb7p AUD\/USD m\u1edf c\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng tr\u1ed1ng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 nh\u1eb9 trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 Hai v\u00e0 ch\u1ea1m m\u1ee9c […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":64354,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-64353","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64353","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64353"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64353\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64557,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64353\/revisions\/64557"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/64354"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64353"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64353"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64353"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}