{"id":64224,"date":"2026-03-20T10:35:59","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T03:35:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/australian-dollar-price-forecast-some-consolidation-likely-before-a-move-to-0-7200\/"},"modified":"2026-03-20T17:41:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T10:41:44","slug":"australian-dollar-price-forecast-some-consolidation-likely-before-a-move-to-0-7200","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/australian-dollar-price-forecast-some-consolidation-likely-before-a-move-to-0-7200\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac: Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cao s\u1ebd xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n nh\u1ecbp t\u00edch l\u0169y tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi m\u1ed1c 0,7200?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD) v\u1eabn t\u00edch c\u1ef1c, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u1ea1i Australia duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao v\u00e0 l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Australia (RBA). S\u1ef1 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p n\u00e0y nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd m\u1edf \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cho AUD\/USD ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi t\u1ea1o v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec7m h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ed7i khi c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng AUD<\/strong> l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, x\u00f3a \u0111i nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0y tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0a AUD\/USD<\/strong>b\u1ee9t l\u00ean r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng tr\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng quan tr\u1ecdng 0,7000<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ebfn trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ed3ng USD<\/strong> quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng b\u1ecb b\u00e1n m\u1ea1nh, khi gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Fed<\/strong> v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u tr\u00e1i chi\u1ec1u t\u1eeb b\u00e1o c\u00e1o vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m th\u00e1ng 2 c\u1ee7a Australia c\u0169ng g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 giao ngay \u0111i l\u00ean.<\/p>\n

Australia: \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1eabn v\u1eefng, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u00f2n dai d\u1eb3ng<\/h3>\n

B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 c\u1ee7a Australia ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1ea1o n\u1ec1n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 kh\u00e1 ch\u1eafc cho \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD, nh\u01b0ng t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7 nhanh \u0111\u1ec3 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n tr\u1ea5n an RBA<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1eabn b\u1ec1n b\u1ec9, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1eabn dai d\u1eb3ng v\u00e0 RBA ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1eef l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t. V\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, t\u1ed5 h\u1ee3p n\u00e0y v\u1eabn \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t l\u1edbp \u0111\u1ec7m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 b\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00f3. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 PMI th\u00e1ng 2<\/strong> v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m trong v\u00f9ng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng; chi ti\u00eau b\u00e1n l\u1ebb ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i ghi nh\u1eadn th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 2,631 t\u1ef7 AUD trong th\u00e1ng 1<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

\u1ede b\u1ee9c tranh r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n, \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec. GDP<\/strong> t\u0103ng 0,8% theo qu\u00fd (QoQ)<\/strong> trong qu\u00fd IV v\u00e0 t\u0103ng 2,6% theo n\u0103m (YoY)<\/strong>, trong khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1ec9 h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t t\u1eeb t\u1eeb, v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4,3%<\/strong> v\u00e0 s\u1ed1 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m t\u0103ng th\u00eam l\u00ean t\u1edbi 48,9 ngh\u00ecn<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i v\u1eabn l\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t<\/strong>. CPI<\/strong> hi\u1ec7n t\u0103ng 3,8% YoY<\/strong>, trong khi Trimmed Mean CPI<\/strong> \u1edf m\u1ee9c 3,4%<\/strong>, cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn qu\u00e1 ch\u1eadm \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 y\u00ean t\u00e2m.<\/p>\n

T\u1eeb g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn c\u1ee7a RBA<\/strong>, nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t. L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd ch\u01b0a quay v\u1ec1 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau tr\u01b0\u1edbc gi\u1eefa n\u0103m 2028<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Trung Qu\u1ed1c: y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ee9 ch\u01b0a ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1<\/h3>\n

Vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c<\/strong> trong tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Australia \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng sang m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y b\u1ee9c tranh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, d\u00f9 kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt. Trong qu\u00fd cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2025, kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng 4,5%<\/strong>, doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb t\u0103ng 2,8% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc<\/strong>, c\u00f2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i nh\u00ecn chung duy tr\u00ec \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh doanh l\u1ea1i cho th\u1ea5y b\u1ee9c tranh ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p h\u01a1n. PMI ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c<\/strong> v\u1eabn ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thu h\u1eb9p, d\u00f9 c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 khu v\u1ef1c t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n l\u1ea1i cho th\u1ea5y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng.<\/p>\n

L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p. CPI<\/strong> g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 \u0111i ngang, trong khi PPI<\/strong> ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c trong tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t, cho ph\u00e9p Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c (PBoC)<\/strong> gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean LPR<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi AUD, th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p kh\u00e1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng: Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 l\u1ef1c c\u1ea3n, nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng ch\u01b0a ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

RBA: thi\u00ean h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t, tranh lu\u1eadn ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n l\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m<\/h3>\n

RBA<\/strong> \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e2ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ec1n m\u1eb7t ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c (OCR)<\/strong> l\u00ean 4,10%<\/strong> v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 bi\u1ec3u quy\u1ebft s\u00edt sao 5\u20134<\/strong>, cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1n c\u00e2n ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7n r\u1ea5t nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

Th\u00f4ng c\u00e1o sau cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf v\u1ec1 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c cung \u1ee9ng<\/strong> v\u1eabn k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u cao h\u01a1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c Michele Bullock<\/strong> c\u0169ng c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p n\u00e0y. Nhu c\u1ea7u v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cung \u1ee9ng v\u1eabn l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i, trong khi c\u00fa s\u1ed1c n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ea1o th\u00eam m\u1ed9t l\u1edbp r\u1ee7i ro l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t theo h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, tranh lu\u1eadn tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 c\u00f3 t\u0103ng n\u1eefa hay kh\u00f4ng<\/strong>, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 t\u0103ng v\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0o<\/strong>. Nh\u00f3m \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng mu\u1ed1n c\u00f3 th\u00eam th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 lan t\u1ecfa c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng RBA t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng trong th\u00e1ng 5<\/strong>, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kho\u1ea3ng 43 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n<\/strong> th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t b\u1ed5 sung t\u1eeb nay \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng: V\u1ecb th\u1ebf mua gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a r\u00fat lui<\/h3>\n

D\u1eef li\u1ec7u m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb \u1ee6y ban Giao d\u1ecbch H\u00e0ng h\u00f3a T\u01b0\u01a1ng lai M\u1ef9 (CFTC)<\/strong> cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t.<\/p>\n

V\u1ecb th\u1ebf mua r\u00f2ng<\/strong> gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n kho\u1ea3ng 54.200 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng<\/strong>, trong khi kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng m\u1edf (open interest)<\/strong> t\u0103ng l\u00ean g\u1ea7n 316.000<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 v\u1ebb ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u01b0u ti\u00ean h\u01a1n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng r\u00fat lui di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng. M\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 ti\u1ebfp x\u00fac v\u1edbi AUD \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt, nh\u01b0ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn c\u00f2n duy tr\u00ec s\u1ef1 quan t\u00e2m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/p>\n

Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng AUD\/USD th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi<\/h3>\n

Trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed3ng USD<\/strong> v\u00e0 kh\u1ea9u v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u<\/strong>. T\u00e2m \u0111i\u1ec3m s\u1eafp t\u1edbi s\u1ebd chuy\u1ec3n sang d\u1eef li\u1ec7u PMI s\u01a1 b\u1ed9 th\u00e1ng 3<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

R\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi AUD bao g\u1ed3m s\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m kh\u1ea9u v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro, c\u00e1c d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c mong manh h\u01a1n, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng USD m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c m\u1ed1c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/h3>\n

Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y<\/strong>, AUD\/USD<\/strong> hi\u1ec7n giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ea1i 0,7039<\/strong>. Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u1eabn nghi\u00eang nh\u1eb9 v\u1ec1 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1<\/strong> khi t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 duy tr\u00ec r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t ph\u00eda tr\u00ean c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 55 ng\u00e0y, 100 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 200 ng\u00e0y<\/strong> \u0111ang d\u1ed1c l\u00ean, qua \u0111\u00f3 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng \u0111\u00e3 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh c\u1ee7a tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c Fibonacci tho\u00e1i lui 23,6% t\u1ea1i 0,6976<\/strong>, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111o t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1y 0,6421<\/strong> l\u00ean \u0111\u1ec9nh 0,7147<\/strong>, cho th\u1ea5y nh\u1ecbp gi\u1ea3m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y m\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh n\u00f4ng trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n. RSI<\/strong> dao \u0111\u1ed9ng ngay d\u01b0\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 50<\/strong>sau khi r\u00fat lui kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 mua, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a nghi\u00eang h\u1eb3n v\u1ec1 phe b\u00e1n. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, ADX<\/strong> suy gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 quanh 21<\/strong> cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u00e3 y\u1ebfu \u0111i, \u0111\u01b0a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u00edch l\u0169y nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean<\/strong> n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i m\u1ed1c ngang 0,6897<\/strong>, b\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c tho\u00e1i lui 38,2% t\u1ea1i 0,6870<\/strong>. N\u1ebfu v\u00f9ng n\u00e0y b\u1ecb xuy\u00ean th\u1ee7ng, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00f9i s\u00e2u h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 0,6660<\/strong> v\u00e0 0,6593<\/strong>, tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi khu v\u1ef1c c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n \u0111ang \u0111i l\u00ean.<\/p>\n

B\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi n\u1eefa, v\u00f9ng 0,6414\u20130,6373<\/strong> t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng c\u1ea7u s\u00e2u h\u01a1n; n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 r\u01a1i v\u1ec1 khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd cho th\u1ea5y c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e3 suy y\u1ebfu \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u \u0111i l\u00ean, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t<\/strong> n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec9nh dao \u0111\u1ed9ng Fibonacci g\u1ea7n 0,7147<\/strong>, ngay d\u01b0\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u1ea3n ngang 0,7158<\/strong>. N\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda ng\u00e0y v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua c\u1ee5m kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 n\u00e0y, AUD\/USD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 0,7283<\/strong> v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 0,7661<\/strong>. Ch\u1eebng n\u00e0o t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 c\u00f2n gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00eda tr\u00ean 0,6897<\/strong>, b\u1ee9c tranh k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt v\u1eabn \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c mua khi \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m<\/strong>h\u01a1n l\u00e0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng.<\/p>\n

\"Chart<\/p>\n

(Ph\u1ea7n ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt trong b\u1ea3n tin n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 AI.)<\/em><\/p>\n

\n

T\u00f3m l\u1ea1i: \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, nh\u01b0ng c\u00f2n ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

N\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng kinh t\u1ebf v\u1eefng v\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a Australia c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u1eabn mang t\u00ednh th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t c\u1ee7a RBA<\/strong> ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ee1 cho \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 theo \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eb3ng m\u1ed9t chi\u1ec1u. \u0110\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y v\u1eabn r\u1ea5t nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

Khi kh\u1ea9u v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro<\/strong> \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec t\u00edch c\u1ef1c, AUD th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/strong> gia t\u0103ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng USD<\/strong> th\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u00e0nh l\u1ea1i \u01b0u th\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

Do \u0111\u00f3, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi AUD v\u1eabn nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 v\u00f4 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Gi\u1ea3i \u0111\u00e1p nhanh v\u1ec1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/strong> l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 v\u00ec v\u1eady c\u0169ng l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c then ch\u1ed1t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7. M\u1ee9c vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m cao, ho\u1eb7c t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p th\u1ea5p, th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn chi ti\u00eau ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 qua \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 n\u00e2ng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng n\u1ed9i t\u1ec7. Ngo\u00e0i ra, m\u1ed9t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e1 th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t \u2014 t\u1ee9c t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu lao \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ea7y c\u00e1c v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u00f2n tr\u1ed1ng \u2014 c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, b\u1edfi ngu\u1ed3n cung lao \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ea5p trong khi nhu c\u1ea7u tuy\u1ec3n d\u1ee5ng cao th\u01b0\u1eddng k\u00e9o ti\u1ec1n l\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111i l\u00ean.<\/p>\n

T\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng trong m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch. T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u1ec1n l\u01b0\u01a1ng cao \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u ti\u1ec1n h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 chi ti\u00eau, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng t\u0103ng l\u00ean. Kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ngu\u1ed3n g\u00e2y l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh nh\u01b0 gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u1ec1n l\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u00e0 dai d\u1eb3ng<\/strong>, b\u1edfi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f3 b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c. V\u00ec v\u1eady, c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi theo d\u00f5i r\u1ea5t s\u00e1t d\u1eef li\u1ec7u ti\u1ec1n l\u01b0\u01a1ng khi \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.<\/p>\n

M\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 m\u00e0 m\u1ed7i ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng coi tr\u1ecdng c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 li\u00ean quan tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t. Ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed)<\/strong> c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 k\u00e9p<\/strong> l\u00e0 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m t\u1ed1i \u0111a<\/strong> v\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3<\/strong>. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (ECB)<\/strong> ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau duy nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t<\/strong>. D\u00f9 v\u1eady, b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ra sao, \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eabn lu\u00f4n l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch, b\u1edfi n\u00f3 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 c\u00f3 m\u1ed1i li\u00ean h\u1ec7 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u1edbi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD) v\u1eabn t\u00edch c\u1ef1c, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u1ea1i […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":64225,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-64224","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ngoai-hoi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64224","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64224"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64224\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64339,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64224\/revisions\/64339"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/64225"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64224"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64224"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64224"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}