{
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    "date": "2026-05-05T10:10:10",
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        "rendered": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/feds-williams-inflation-likely-to-be-3-this-year\/"
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    "modified": "2026-05-05T11:07:14",
    "modified_gmt": "2026-05-05T04:07:14",
    "slug": "john-williams-fed-lam-phat-co-kha-nang-dat-khoang-3-trong-nam-nay",
    "status": "publish",
    "type": "post",
    "link": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/john-williams-fed-lam-phat-co-kha-nang-dat-khoang-3-trong-nam-nay\/",
    "title": {
        "rendered": "John Williams (Fed): L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 3% trong n\u0103m nay"
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    "content": {
        "rendered": "<div id=\"post-content-section\">\n<p>John Williams, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang New York, ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u t\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb Cynosure Group Spring Symposium \u1edf New York (M\u1ef9) r\u1eb1ng hi\u1ec7n ch\u01b0a th\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u00f5 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a xung \u0111\u1ed9t Iran \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9. \u00d4ng c\u0169ng nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Federal Reserve v\u1eabn \u0111ang \u1edf tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng kinh t\u1ebf nhi\u1ec1u b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n<p><strong>C\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u00ednh:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 M\u1ef9 \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb t\u1ed1t \u0111\u1ec3 \u1ee9ng ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n.<\/li>\n<li>Ch\u01b0a th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a xung \u0111\u1ed9t Iran \u0111\u1ebfn kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9.<\/li>\n<li>R\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u1ea3 hai m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a Fed (l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m) \u0111\u1ec1u gia t\u0103ng.<\/li>\n<li>N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi \u201cb\u1ed9 ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng\u201d.<\/li>\n<li>Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nh\u00ecn chung \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n x\u1ea5u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra.<\/li>\n<li>L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 3% trong n\u0103m nay v\u00e0 quay v\u1ec1 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 2% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2027.<\/li>\n<li>Xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd trong chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng.<\/li>\n<li>Thu\u1ebf quan v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, trong khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u1eabn t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/li>\n<li>K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u00edch c\u1ef1c.<\/li>\n<li>T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 2%\u20132,25% trong n\u0103m nay.<\/li>\n<li>N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 b\u1ec1n b\u1ec9 \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/li>\n<li>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn duy tr\u00ec quanh 4,25%\u20134,50%.<\/li>\n<li>Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh, vi\u1ec7c c\u00f3 c\u00e1c quan \u0111i\u1ec3m kh\u00e1c nhau trong FOMC l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/li>\n<li>S\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed3ng quan \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u01b0\u1eddng gia t\u0103ng trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh, cho th\u1ea5y Fed \u0111ang c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc k\u1ef9 c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1.<\/li>\n<li>M\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ed3ng thu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch l\u1edbn h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 bi\u1ec3u quy\u1ebft th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n.<\/li>\n<li>T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i l\u1edbn.<\/li>\n<li>Ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 t\u1eeb 0 \u0111\u1ebfn 50.000 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m\/th\u00e1ng.<\/li>\n<li>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng hi\u1ec7n v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/li>\n<li>K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n ch\u01b0a bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nhi\u1ec1u, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u00edch c\u1ef1c.<\/li>\n<li>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111ang g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t.<\/li>\n<li>Nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a Fed l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1eef \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/li>\n<li>L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t do thu\u1ebf quan d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n.<\/li>\n<li>L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trung t\u00ednh (R-star) c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cao h\u01a1n c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/li>\n<li>M\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t Fed funds d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n kho\u1ea3ng 3%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><strong>Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn USD h\u00f4m nay<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>B\u1ea3ng d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ee9c thay \u0111\u1ed5i ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh. \u0110\u1ed3ng USD m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t so v\u1edbi \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD).<\/p>\n<div id=\"content-module-currencyprices-USD-405\" data-type=\"currencyprices\" data-module=\"currencyprices\" data-config-topic=\"USD\" data-config-asset=\"USD\" data-config-criteria=\"Strongest\" data-config-period=\"Today\" data-config-currencies=\"USD,EUR,GBP,JPY,CAD,AUD,NZD,CHF\" data-config-quotes=\"1.172025:1.16908,1.35783:1.35299,1.15807:1.157285,0.006367:0.006361,0.005432:0.005441,0.00469:0.004702,0.73585:0.734875,0.627845:0.628595,0.54217:0.5432,115.553:115.5515,0.720185:0.71674,0.6145:0.61309,0.5306:0.52975,113.0415:112.6825,0.978425:0.97527,0.5899:0.58711,0.5033:0.5021,0.4345:0.4339,92.6075:92.3135,0.8014:0.798895,0.81884:0.819145,1.27916:1.275897,1.091202:1.091365,0.94237:0.94305,200.8245:200.641,1.738145:1.736215,1.775885:1.780151,2.168591:2.17322\" data-version=\"v1\" data-content-module-translate=\"0\">\n<div>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th><\/th>\n<th>USD<\/th>\n<th>EUR<\/th>\n<th>GBP<\/th>\n<th>JPY<\/th>\n<th>CAD<\/th>\n<th>AUD<\/th>\n<th>NZD<\/th>\n<th>CHF<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th>USD<\/th>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>0.25%<\/td>\n<td>0.36%<\/td>\n<td>0.09%<\/td>\n<td>0.13%<\/td>\n<td>0.48%<\/td>\n<td>0.48%<\/td>\n<td>0.26%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th>EUR<\/th>\n<td>-0.25%<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>0.07%<\/td>\n<td>-0.17%<\/td>\n<td>-0.12%<\/td>\n<td>0.23%<\/td>\n<td>0.24%<\/td>\n<td>-0.01%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th>GBP<\/th>\n<td>-0.36%<\/td>\n<td>-0.07%<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>-0.26%<\/td>\n<td>-0.19%<\/td>\n<td>0.16%<\/td>\n<td>0.14%<\/td>\n<td>-0.07%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th>JPY<\/th>\n<td>-0.09%<\/td>\n<td>0.17%<\/td>\n<td>0.26%<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>0.00%<\/td>\n<td>0.32%<\/td>\n<td>0.32%<\/td>\n<td>0.09%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th>CAD<\/th>\n<td>-0.13%<\/td>\n<td>0.12%<\/td>\n<td>0.19%<\/td>\n<td>-0.00%<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>0.32%<\/td>\n<td>0.31%<\/td>\n<td>0.11%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th>AUD<\/th>\n<td>-0.48%<\/td>\n<td>-0.23%<\/td>\n<td>-0.16%<\/td>\n<td>-0.32%<\/td>\n<td>-0.32%<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>-0.04%<\/td>\n<td>-0.24%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th>NZD<\/th>\n<td>-0.48%<\/td>\n<td>-0.24%<\/td>\n<td>-0.14%<\/td>\n<td>-0.32%<\/td>\n<td>-0.31%<\/td>\n<td>0.04%<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>-0.21%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th>CHF<\/th>\n<td>-0.26%<\/td>\n<td>0.01%<\/td>\n<td>0.07%<\/td>\n<td>-0.09%<\/td>\n<td>-0.11%<\/td>\n<td>0.24%<\/td>\n<td>0.21%<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>B\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed3 nhi\u1ec7t th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n m\u1ee9c thay \u0111\u1ed5i ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh v\u1edbi nhau. \u0110\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n c\u01a1 s\u1edf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ecdn t\u1eeb c\u1ed9t b\u00ean tr\u00e1i, trong khi \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ecdn t\u1eeb h\u00e0ng tr\u00ean c\u00f9ng. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, n\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n ch\u1ecdn \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 \u1edf c\u1ed9t b\u00ean tr\u00e1i v\u00e0 di chuy\u1ec3n theo h\u00e0ng ngang \u0111\u1ebfn Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt, m\u1ee9c ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m hi\u1ec3n th\u1ecb trong \u00f4 s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho USD (\u0111\u1ed3ng c\u01a1 s\u1edf)\/JPY (\u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>",
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