{ "id": 77512, "date": "2026-05-05T10:10:18", "date_gmt": "2026-05-05T03:10:18", "guid": { "rendered": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/aud-usd-slips-below-0-72-as-rba-decision-looms\/" }, "modified": "2026-05-05T10:24:17", "modified_gmt": "2026-05-05T03:24:17", "slug": "aud-usd-giam-xuong-duoi-moc-072-khi-quyet-dinh-cua-rba-dang-den-gan", "status": "publish", "type": "post", "link": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/aud-usd-giam-xuong-duoi-moc-072-khi-quyet-dinh-cua-rba-dang-den-gan\/", "title": { "rendered": "AUD\/USD gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ed1c 0,72 khi quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a RBA \u0111ang \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n" }, "content": { "rendered": "
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AUD\/USD gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 0,5% trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 Hai, ch\u1ed1t g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 0,7170 sau khi c\u00f3 l\u00fac ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u00e1y 0,7150 trong phi\u00ean. Nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh n\u00e0y di\u1ec5n ra sau khi gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh cao nh\u1ea5t trong b\u1ed1n n\u0103m tr\u00ean 0,7225 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng suy y\u1ebfu khi b\u01b0\u1edbc sang tu\u1ea7n m\u1edbi v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 tr\u01b0\u1ee3t xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ed1c 0,7200.<\/p>\n

\u1ede ph\u00eda \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD, Reserve Bank of Australia s\u1ebd c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba, v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kho\u1ea3ng 60% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n l\u00ean 4,35% t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i 4,10%. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng (CPI) th\u00e1ng 3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 4,6%, cao h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 2%\u20133% c\u1ee7a RBA, trong khi CPI l\u00f5i (trimmed mean) \u0111\u1ea1t 3,3%. Cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u00e1ng 3 ghi nh\u1eadn k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu s\u00e1t sao 5-4 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, v\u00e0 n\u1ebfu th\u00e1ng 5 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c chia r\u1ebd t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1, t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u201cdi\u1ec1u h\u00e2u\u201d c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt. C\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng nh\u01b0 Westpac v\u00e0 Commonwealth Bank \u0111\u1ec1u d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng n\u00e0y, trong \u0111\u00f3 Westpac k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 th\u00eam c\u00e1c l\u1ea7n t\u0103ng trong th\u00e1ng 6 v\u00e0 th\u00e1ng 8.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng USD, t\u00e2m \u0111i\u1ec3m tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y l\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Non-Farm Payrolls c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ch\u1ec9 kho\u1ea3ng 60 ngh\u00ecn vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m m\u1edbi so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 178 ngh\u00ecn tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, trong khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng gi\u1eef \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4,3%. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u nh\u01b0 ISM Services PMI, JOLTS Job Openings v\u00e0 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m khu v\u1ef1c t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n ADP v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 s\u1ebd cung c\u1ea5p t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u s\u1edbm v\u1ec1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng. N\u1ebfu s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u NFP y\u1ebfu, USD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 th\u00eam cho AUD\/USD, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t n\u1ebfu RBA ph\u00e1t \u0111i t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u201cdi\u1ec1u h\u00e2u\u201d nh\u01b0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u1ee9 Ba.<\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 AUD\/USD khung 15 ph\u00fat.<\/h3>\n
\n

\"Chart<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 15 ph\u00fat, AUD\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch quanh m\u1ee9c 0,7168. C\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u00e0y khi v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c m\u1edf c\u1eeda t\u1ea1i 0,7211, cho th\u1ea5y phe b\u00e1n v\u1eabn ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t sau nh\u1ecbp gi\u1ea3m tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o Stochastic RSI \u0111\u00e3 l\u00f9i v\u1ec1 v\u00f9ng trung t\u00ednh quanh 45, h\u00e0m \u00fd \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m \u0111ang ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho m\u1ed9t c\u00fa \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c m\u1edf c\u1eeda ng\u00e0y quanh 0,7211, n\u01a1i \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c. C\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t c\u00fa v\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00ean b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng tr\u00ean v\u00f9ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00e0 m\u1edf ra kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c s\u00e2u h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y, AUD\/USD v\u1eabn giao d\u1ecbch quanh 0,7168 v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n khi gi\u00e1 n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean c\u1ea3 EMA 50 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i 0,7061 v\u00e0 EMA 200 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i 0,6816, cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 d\u00f9 \u0111ang t\u00edch l\u0169y. Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o Stochastic RSI l\u00f9i v\u1ec1 quanh m\u1ee9c 54, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u, v\u1eabn \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u1ecf kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp khi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1eef v\u1eefng.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i EMA 50 ng\u00e0y quanh 0,7061; n\u1ebfu ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1i EMA 200 ng\u00e0y quanh 0,6816. Do ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng ph\u00eda tr\u00ean trong d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y, d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft v\u1eabn kh\u00e1 \u201cm\u1edf\u201d, v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n ho\u1eb7c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac intraday \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00f9ng c\u1ea3n ti\u1ebfp theo mi\u1ec5n l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u00f2n gi\u1eef tr\u00ean khu v\u1ef1c 0,7060.<\/p>\n

(Ph\u1ea7n ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt trong b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 AI.)<\/p>\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac<\/strong><\/h4>\n

M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD) l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t do Reserve Bank of Australia thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp. Ngo\u00e0i ra, do \u00dac l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia gi\u00e0u t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean, gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t. T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u2013 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac \u2013 c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a \u00dac c\u0169ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ebfn AUD. T\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng (risk-on\/risk-off) c\u0169ng \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng, trong \u0111\u00f3 m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u01b0a r\u1ee7i ro th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho AUD.<\/p>\n

Reserve Bank of Australia t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn AUD th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t li\u00ean ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t to\u00e0n n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a RBA l\u00e0 gi\u1eef l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong kho\u1ea3ng 2\u20133%. L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD, v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, v\u00ec v\u1eady s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn AUD. Khi kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed1t, nhu c\u1ea7u nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u t\u1eeb \u00dac t\u0103ng, qua \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb AUD l\u00ean. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, AUD th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

Qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u00dac, \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 AUD. Khi gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft t\u0103ng, nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi AUD c\u0169ng t\u0103ng theo, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, gi\u00e1 qu\u1eb7ng s\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m s\u1ebd g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean AUD.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u2013 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u \u2013 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng. Th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD, trong khi th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t s\u1ebd g\u00e2y t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n<\/div>", "protected": false }, "excerpt": { "rendered": "

AUD\/USD gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 0,5% trong phi\u00ean th\u1ee9 Hai, ch\u1ed1t g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 0,7170 sau khi c\u00f3 l\u00fac ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u00e1y 0,7150 trong […]<\/p>", "protected": false }, "author": 5, "featured_media": 77513, "comment_status": "open", "ping_status": "open", "sticky": false, "template": "", "format": "standard", "meta": { "_acf_changed": false, "footnotes": "" }, "categories": [ 222 ], "tags": [], "class_list": [ "post-77512", "post", "type-post", "status-publish", "format-standard", "has-post-thumbnail", "hentry", "category-ngoai-hoi" ], "acf": [], "_links": { "self": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77512", "targetHints": { "allow": [ "GET" ] } } ], "collection": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts" } ], "about": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post" } ], "author": [ { "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5" } ], "replies": [ { "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77512" } ], "version-history": [ { "count": 1, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77512\/revisions" } ], "predecessor-version": [ { "id": 77549, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77512\/revisions\/77549" } ], "wp:featuredmedia": [ { "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/77513" } ], "wp:attachment": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77512" } ], "wp:term": [ { "taxonomy": "category", "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77512" }, { "taxonomy": "post_tag", "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77512" } ], "curies": [ { "name": "wp", "href": "https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}", "templated": true } ] } }