{ "id": 70722, "date": "2026-04-13T09:02:14", "date_gmt": "2026-04-13T02:02:14", "guid": { "rendered": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/aud-usd-price-forecast-defends-200-hour-ema-38-2-fibo-confluence-below-0-7000\/" }, "modified": "2026-04-13T09:20:24", "modified_gmt": "2026-04-13T02:20:24", "slug": "du-bao-aud-usd-giu-vung-ema-200-gio-vung-hop-luu-fibonacci-38-2-duoi-moc-0-7000", "status": "publish", "type": "post", "link": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/du-bao-aud-usd-giu-vung-ema-200-gio-vung-hop-luu-fibonacci-38-2-duoi-moc-0-7000\/", "title": { "rendered": "D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o AUD\/USD: Gi\u1eef v\u1eefng EMA 200 gi\u1edd \/ v\u00f9ng h\u1ee3p l\u01b0u Fibonacci 38.2% d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ed1c 0.7000" }, "content": { "rendered": "
\n

C\u1eb7p AUD\/USD m\u1edf c\u1eeda v\u1edbi kho\u1ea3ng gap gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n m\u1edbi, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kho\u1ea3ng 40 pip t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p trong phi\u00ean ch\u00e2u \u00c1 d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ed1c t\u00e2m l\u00fd 0.7000. Gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n giao d\u1ecbch quanh v\u00f9ng 0.7030, v\u1eabn gi\u1ea3m 0.50% trong ng\u00e0y, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng n\u00e9 tr\u00e1nh r\u1ee7i ro to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u gia t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n c\u1ea5p cao gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran k\u1ebft th\u00fac m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed9t ph\u00e1, d\u00f9 \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1ea3i qua g\u1ea7n 21 gi\u1edd th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n, l\u00e0m lung lay th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn mong manh k\u00e9o d\u00e0i hai tu\u1ea7n. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump cho bi\u1ebft H\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u phong t\u1ecfa eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng nguy c\u01a1 leo thang c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m kh\u1ea9u v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, qua \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n v\u00e0 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean c\u1eb7p AUD\/USD.<\/p>\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra, \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh trong ng\u00e0y c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng Fed s\u1ebd duy tr\u00ec l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u h\u01a1n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea9y l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i. \u0110\u00e2y c\u0169ng l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 USD. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia trong khu v\u1ef1c \u0111ang n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u01b0a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran quay l\u1ea1i b\u00e0n \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n trong v\u00e0i ng\u00e0y t\u1edbi, gi\u00fap h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a USD. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng thi\u00ean v\u1ec1 th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u00dac (RBA) c\u0169ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho AUD\/USD.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, gi\u00e1 b\u1eadt l\u00ean t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 h\u1ee3p l\u01b0u bao g\u1ed3m \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng EMA 200 gi\u1edd v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c Fibonacci tho\u00e1i lui 38.2% c\u1ee7a nh\u1ecbp t\u0103ng t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1y cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 3. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c mua \u0111ang b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 khu v\u1ef1c 0.7000. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o RSI \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n l\u00ean g\u1ea7n v\u00f9ng 30 cao, c\u00f2n MACD v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m trong v\u00f9ng \u00e2m v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i ngang. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng, n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 duy tr\u00ec tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c Fibonacci 23.6% t\u1ea1i 0.7032, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ti\u1ebfp theo s\u1ebd l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng 0.7093. \u1ede chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t n\u1eb1m quanh EMA 200 k\u1ef3 t\u1ea1i 0.6996 v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c Fibonacci 38.2% t\u1ea1i 0.6995. N\u1ebfu ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 d\u1ee9t kho\u00e1t v\u00f9ng n\u00e0y, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c 0.6964 v\u00e0 0.6934, xa h\u01a1n l\u00e0 0.6891 v\u00e0 0.6835 n\u1ebfu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

(Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt trong b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 AI.)<\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 AUD\/USD khung 1 gi\u1edd<\/h3>\n
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\"Chart<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 t\u00e2m l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro<\/strong><\/h4>\n

Trong th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, hai thu\u1eadt ng\u1eef \u201crisk-on\u201d v\u00e0 \u201crisk-off\u201d \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trong m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh. Trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u201crisk-on\u201d, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai v\u00e0 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng mua c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro h\u01a1n. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u201crisk-off\u201d, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u201cch\u01a1i an to\u00e0n\u201d v\u00ec lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, do \u0111\u00f3 chuy\u1ec3n sang c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n \u00edt r\u1ee7i ro h\u01a1n v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh d\u00f9 kh\u00f4ng cao.<\/p>\n

Th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u201crisk-on\u201d, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n s\u1ebd t\u0103ng, h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a \u2013 ngo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb v\u00e0ng \u2013 c\u0169ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 do \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c. \u0110\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a l\u1edbn s\u1ebd m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean nh\u1edd nhu c\u1ea7u t\u0103ng, v\u00e0 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed c\u0169ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u201crisk-off\u201d, tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu \u2013 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 l\u1edbn \u2013 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1, v\u00e0ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n nh\u01b0 Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt, Franc Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 v\u00e0 \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD), \u0110\u00f4 la Canada (CAD), \u0110\u00f4 la New Zealand (NZD), c\u00f9ng c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n nh\u1ecf h\u01a1n nh\u01b0 Ruble Nga (RUB) v\u00e0 Rand Nam Phi (ZAR), th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng trong m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u201crisk-on\u201d. Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n l\u00e0 do n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0o xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a, v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u201crisk-on\u201d, khi nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng nhu c\u1ea7u nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u th\u00f4 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng nh\u1edd ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf s\u00f4i \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u201crisk-off\u201d bao g\u1ed3m \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD), Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt (JPY) v\u00e0 Franc Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 (CHF). \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean v\u00ec \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u01b0\u1eddng mua tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 M\u1ef9 \u2013 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 an to\u00e0n v\u00ec n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng v\u1ee1 n\u1ee3. Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt t\u0103ng nh\u1edd nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, khi ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1eafm gi\u1eef b\u1edfi nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc \u2013 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u00edt c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u00e1n th\u00e1o ngay c\u1ea3 khi x\u1ea3y ra kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng. Franc Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean nh\u1edd h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t, mang l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 v\u1ed1n cao cho nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

<\/p>", "protected": false }, "excerpt": { "rendered": "

C\u1eb7p AUD\/USD m\u1edf c\u1eeda v\u1edbi kho\u1ea3ng gap gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n m\u1edbi, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 […]<\/p>", "protected": false }, "author": 5, "featured_media": 70725, "comment_status": "open", "ping_status": "open", "sticky": false, "template": "", "format": "standard", "meta": { "_acf_changed": false, "footnotes": "" }, "categories": [ 222 ], "tags": [], "class_list": [ "post-70722", "post", "type-post", "status-publish", "format-standard", "has-post-thumbnail", "hentry", "category-ngoai-hoi" ], "acf": [], "_links": { "self": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70722", "targetHints": { "allow": [ "GET" ] } } ], "collection": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts" } ], "about": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post" } ], "author": [ { "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5" } ], "replies": [ { "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70722" } ], "version-history": [ { "count": 1, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70722\/revisions" } ], "predecessor-version": [ { "id": 70899, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70722\/revisions\/70899" } ], "wp:featuredmedia": [ { "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/70725" } ], "wp:attachment": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70722" } ], "wp:term": [ { "taxonomy": "category", "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70722" }, { "taxonomy": "post_tag", "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70722" } ], "curies": [ { "name": "wp", "href": "https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}", "templated": true } ] } }