C\u1eb7p USD\/CHF thu h\u00fat l\u1ef1c mua m\u1edbi sau nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh nh\u1eb9 trong phi\u00ean ch\u00e2u \u00c1 xu\u1ed1ng v\u00f9ng 0,7970 v\u00e0 ch\u1ea1m m\u1ee9c cao m\u1edbi k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 19\/1 khi b\u01b0\u1edbc sang tu\u1ea7n giao d\u1ecbch m\u1edbi. Tuy v\u1eady, gi\u00e1 giao ngay v\u1eabn g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 trong vi\u1ec7c t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u00e0 m\u1ea1nh n\u00e0y v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n dao \u0111\u1ed9ng ngay d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ed1c t\u00e2m l\u00fd 0,8000, g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 \u0111i ngang trong ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n
\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng leo thang, qua \u0111\u00f3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 then ch\u1ed1t cho c\u1eb7p USD\/CHF. Chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 M\u1ef9-Iran \u0111ang cho th\u1ea5y d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n m\u1edbi v\u00e0 nguy hi\u1ec3m h\u01a1n, khi c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o cho th\u1ea5y L\u1ea7u N\u0103m G\u00f3c \u0111ang chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho nhi\u1ec1u tu\u1ea7n t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn tr\u00ean b\u1ed9 t\u1ea1i Iran. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Houthi t\u1ea1i Yemen do Iran h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn tham chi\u1ebfn c\u0169ng l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng nguy c\u01a1 xung \u0111\u1ed9t leo thang th\u00eam n\u1eefa, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 vai tr\u00f2 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a USD.<\/p>\n
Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Houthi th\u00e2n Iran tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00f3ng hai \u0111\u1ee3t t\u00ean l\u1eeda v\u00e0o Israel trong v\u00f2ng 24 gi\u1edd v\u00e0 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o s\u1ebd c\u00f2n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng trong nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y t\u1edbi. Ngo\u00e0i ra, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u0169ng lo ng\u1ea1i r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i bi\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a phi\u1ebfn qu\u00e2n Houthi t\u1ea1i eo bi\u1ec3n Bab el-Mandeb c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 b\u1ecb phong t\u1ecfa tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111i l\u00ean, l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean lo ng\u1ea1i l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng \u201cdi\u1ec1u h\u00e2u\u201d \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed). Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng \u0111\u00f3 mang l\u1ea1i th\u00eam \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c cho USD v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1eb7p USD\/CHF.<\/p>\n
B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n n\u00f3i tr\u00ean r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u1eabn \u0111ang nghi\u00eang m\u1ea1nh v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda phe mua USD v\u00e0 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn cho kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, vi\u1ec7c thi\u1ebfu l\u1ef1c mua n\u1ed1i ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi s\u1ef1 th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh, do \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd h\u1ee3p l\u00fd h\u01a1n n\u1ebfu ch\u1edd m\u1ed9t nh\u1ecbp b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng l\u00ean tr\u00ean m\u1ed1c 0,8000 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng theo th\u00e1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n
C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed3ng Franc Th\u1ee5y S\u0129<\/strong><\/p>\n Franc Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 (CHF) l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a Th\u1ee5y S\u0129. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong m\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, v\u1edbi kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch v\u01b0\u1ee3t xa quy m\u00f4 c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Th\u1ee5y S\u0129. Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u1edfi t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00f3i chung, s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf trong n\u01b0\u1edbc ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 (SNB), c\u00f9ng nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c. Trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2011\u20132015, Franc Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 t\u1eebng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c neo v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro (EUR). C\u01a1 ch\u1ebf neo n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb g\u1ee1 b\u1ecf \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t, khi\u1ebfn CHF t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 h\u01a1n 20% v\u00e0 g\u00e2y ra bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. D\u00f9 hi\u1ec7n nay c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf neo kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i, v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a CHF v\u1eabn c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan r\u1ea5t cao v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro do n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c l\u1edbn v\u00e0o khu v\u1ef1c Eurozone l\u00e2n c\u1eadn.<\/p>\n Franc Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 (CHF) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n, hay n\u00f3i c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n m\u00e0 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng mua v\u00e0o trong nh\u1eefng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t t\u1eeb v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi: m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, khu v\u1ef1c xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u m\u1ea1nh, d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef l\u1edbn t\u1ea1i ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng trung l\u1eadp l\u00e2u d\u00e0i trong c\u00e1c xung \u0111\u1ed9t to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Trong nh\u1eefng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, CHF th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n b\u1ecb xem l\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 (SNB) h\u1ecdp b\u1ed1n l\u1ea7n m\u1ed7i n\u0103m \u2014 t\u1ee9c m\u1ed7i qu\u00fd m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n, \u00edt h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c \u2014 \u0111\u1ec3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7. C\u01a1 quan n\u00e0y h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t h\u1eb1ng n\u0103m d\u01b0\u1edbi 2%. Khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai g\u1ea7n, SNB s\u1ebd t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch n\u00e2ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh. L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n nh\u00ecn chung l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi CHF v\u00ec n\u00f3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t, khi\u1ebfn Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn h\u01a1n v\u1edbi nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m l\u00ean CHF.<\/p>\n C\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 t\u1ea1i Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 c\u00f3 vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a Franc Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 (CHF). N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 nh\u00ecn chung kh\u00e1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, nh\u01b0ng b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd n\u00e0o v\u1ec1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, c\u00e1n c\u00e2n v\u00e3ng lai ho\u1eb7c d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a CHF. Th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf cao, th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 ni\u1ec1m tin m\u1ea1nh l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c cho CHF. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng suy y\u1ebfu, CHF nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n L\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf nh\u1ecf v\u00e0 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 m\u1edf cao, Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c l\u1edbn v\u00e0o s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Eurozone l\u00e2n c\u1eadn. Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u n\u00f3i chung l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng minh ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Th\u1ee5y S\u0129, v\u00ec v\u1eady s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 t\u1ea1i Eurozone l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 thi\u1ebft y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Th\u1ee5y S\u0129, v\u00e0 theo \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng Franc Th\u1ee5y S\u0129 (CHF). V\u1edbi m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh cho r\u1eb1ng m\u1ee9c t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan gi\u1eefa v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro (EUR) v\u00e0 CHF v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 90%, t\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 ho\u00e0n h\u1ea3o.<\/p>",
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