{ "id": 65454, "date": "2026-03-26T08:56:37", "date_gmt": "2026-03-26T01:56:37", "guid": { "rendered": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/australian-dollar-price-forecast-the-0-6900-region-holds-the-downside-for-now\/" }, "modified": "2026-03-26T11:52:02", "modified_gmt": "2026-03-26T04:52:02", "slug": "australian-dollar-price-forecast-the-0-6900-region-holds-the-downside-for-now", "status": "publish", "type": "post", "link": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/australian-dollar-price-forecast-the-0-6900-region-holds-the-downside-for-now\/", "title": { "rendered": "D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac: V\u00f9ng 0,6900 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1m gi\u1eef h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 d\u01b0\u1edbi" }, "content": { "rendered": "

\u0110\u00e0 t\u0103ng quanh \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD)<\/strong> d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 m\u1ea5t m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u1ef1c trong v\u00e0i ng\u00e0y qua<\/strong>, khi\u1ebfn AUD\/USD \u0111\u00e1nh m\u1ea5t m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y<\/strong>. Tuy nhi\u00ean, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t trong n\u01b0\u1edbc li\u00ean t\u1ee5c \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao<\/strong> c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi quan \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a RBA<\/strong> d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd gi\u1eef \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD) gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 trong ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp so v\u1edbi \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD)<\/strong>, bu\u1ed9c AUD\/USD m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa xuy\u00ean th\u1ee7ng m\u1ee9c 0,7000 quan tr\u1ecdng<\/strong> v\u00e0 th\u1eed th\u00e1ch ph\u00eda d\u01b0\u1edbi c\u1ee7a ph\u1ea1m vi h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c quanh c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y<\/strong> di\u1ec5n ra trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) gi\u1eef s\u1eafc xanh m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n<\/strong>, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi nhu c\u1ea7u tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb ch\u01b0a h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t trong xung \u0111\u1ed9t qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 M\u1ef9-Israel-Iran<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\u00dac: b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, nh\u01b0ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n nh\u1eefng d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t<\/strong><\/h2>\n

C\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a \u00dac kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i nhi\u1ec1u, v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m m\u1ea5u ch\u1ed1t.<\/strong> B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh kinh t\u1ebf v\u1eabn \u0111\u1ee7 v\u1eefng \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef \u201cs\u00e0n\u201d cho \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ec1m \u0111\u1ec3 mang l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 tho\u1ea3i m\u00e1i cho Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u00dac (RBA)<\/strong>. T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c dai d\u1eb3ng, v\u00e0 RBA v\u1eabn nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t, m\u1ed9t h\u1ed7n h\u1ee3p v\u1eabn g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n duy tr\u00ec s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, nh\u1eefng d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t ban \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n<\/strong>. Ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh doanh c\u00f3 v\u1ebb \u0111ang suy gi\u1ea3m, v\u1edbi Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd Mua h\u00e0ng (PMI)<\/strong> d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u1edf m\u1ee9c 50,1 trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t<\/strong> v\u00e0 46,6 trong d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5<\/strong> cho th\u00e1ng Ba. Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1eabn \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, v\u1edbi th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 2,631 t\u1ef7 AUD<\/strong> ghi nh\u1eadn t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m.<\/p>\n

X\u00e9t r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n, \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c v\u1eabn c\u00f2n hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n<\/strong>: T\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i (GDP) t\u0103ng 0,8% qu\u00fd\/qu\u00fd<\/strong> trong Q4 v\u00e0 2,6% n\u0103m\/n\u0103m<\/strong>, trong khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1ec9 \u0111ang d\u1ecbu d\u1ea7n, v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p 4,3%<\/strong> v\u00e0 s\u1ed1 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m t\u0103ng 48,9 ngh\u00ecn<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1eabn l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 kh\u00f3 ch\u1ecbu<\/strong>. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y cho th\u1ea5y ti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n ch\u1ec9 khi\u00eam t\u1ed1n, v\u1edbi Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng (CPI) gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng 3,7% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3<\/strong> trong th\u00e1ng Hai (t\u1eeb 3,8%), Trimmed Mean<\/strong> \u1edf 3,3% (t\u1eeb 3,4%), v\u00e0 Weighted Median<\/strong> \u1edf 3,5% (t\u1eeb 3,6%). Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra, nh\u01b0ng t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 qu\u00e1 ch\u1eadm<\/strong>, v\u00e0 v\u1edbi RBA, v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7<\/strong>. L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n quay v\u1ec1 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau cho \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u1eefa n\u0103m 2028<\/strong>, gi\u1eef \u00e1p l\u1ef1c duy tr\u00ec tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

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\"\"<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Trung Qu\u1ed1c: \u0111i\u1ec3m \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a \u00dac r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i. Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh cho t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1eefa m\u00e0 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng \u00e2m th\u1ea7m ph\u00eda sau.<\/p>\n

Trong qu\u00fd cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2025, kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng 4,5%, trong khi doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb t\u0103ng 2,8% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i nh\u00ecn chung thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i, nh\u01b0ng t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p h\u01a1n v\u1ebb b\u1ec1 ngo\u00e0i. C\u1ee5c Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea Qu\u1ed1c gia (NBS) v\u1eabn b\u00e1o c\u00e1o ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 PMI ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m, trong khi c\u00e1c kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n, nh\u01b0 c\u1ee7a RatingDog, l\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0a ra b\u1ee9c tranh t\u00edch c\u1ef1c h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u0169ng mang \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p th\u00eam. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng (CPI) t\u0103ng 1,2% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 2, nh\u01b0ng Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Gi\u00e1 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t (PPI) v\u1eabn trong t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t, ghi nh\u1eadn -0,9% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c (PBoC) c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i duy tr\u00ec ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cho vay c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n (LPR) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 3,50% cho k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 5 n\u0103m v\u00e0 3,00% cho k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 1 n\u0103m.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng AUD, th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng: Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 l\u1ef1c c\u1ea3n, nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng t\u1ea1o ra s\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd.<\/p>\n

RBA: h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh, th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u00f2n tranh lu\u1eadn<\/h2>\n

Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u00dac (RBA) nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng tinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf. Vi\u1ec7c n\u00e2ng L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t Ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c (OCR) l\u00ean 4,10% v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 s\u00edt sao 5\u20134 cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 chia r\u1ebd n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9.<\/p>\n

Th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 v\u1eabn nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n. Gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n v\u1ec1 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u1eabn l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1, v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n. Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c Michele Bullock nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed1i quan t\u00e2m ch\u00ednh v\u1eabn l\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u d\u01b0 th\u1eeba. Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, b\u00e0 l\u01b0u \u00fd, t\u1ea1o th\u00eam c\u00e1c ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p, c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea9y n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111i sai h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/p>\n

\u1ede th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y, cu\u1ed9c tranh lu\u1eadn \u00edt t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i m\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 v\u1ec1 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/strong>. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 vi\u1ec7c t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u00e1ch c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0y, \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 5, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u1eabn k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng kho\u1ea3ng 62 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t th\u00eam trong n\u0103m nay.<\/p>\n

V\u1ecb th\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng: t\u00e2m l\u00fd c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n nh\u01b0ng ni\u1ec1m tin c\u00f2n h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf.<\/h2>\n

D\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u1ecb th\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng cho th\u1ea5y t\u00e2m l\u00fd \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD) \u0111ang tr\u1edf n\u00ean t\u00edch c\u1ef1c h\u01a1n. Theo s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb \u1ee6y ban Giao d\u1ecbch H\u00e0ng h\u00f3a T\u01b0\u01a1ng lai M\u1ef9 (CFTC), c\u00e1c v\u1ecb th\u1ebf mua r\u00f2ng \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9, v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1ee9c 69 ngh\u00ecn h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, open interest<\/strong> (t\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng m\u1edf) l\u1ea1i gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, hi\u1ec7n ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n kho\u1ea3ng 265 ngh\u00ecn h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 do bao ph\u1ee7 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf b\u00e1n (short covering)<\/strong> thay v\u00ec h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c v\u1ecb th\u1ebf m\u1edbi. Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y, khi c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n AUD\/USD \u0111ang h\u1ed3i v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c 0,7100.<\/p>\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0ng ni\u1ec1m tin t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 v\u1eabn c\u00f2n kh\u00e1 mong manh.<\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i n\u00e0y tr\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m \u0111ang d\u1ecbu b\u1edbt<\/strong> h\u01a1n l\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u mua m\u1ea1nh th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh FX:<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng AUD b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0ng n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7 v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc. Trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y v\u1eabn r\u1ea5t nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m v\u1edbi t\u00e2m l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 c\u00e1c di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c. M\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd c\u1ea7n d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1<\/strong> ch\u1ea3y v\u00e0o thay v\u00ec ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 t\u00e1i c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng v\u1ecb th\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

C\u1eb7p AUD\/USD s\u1ebd di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn ra sao.<\/h2>\n

Trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n: AUD\/USD nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n

R\u1ee7i ro: s\u1ef1 gi\u1ea3m s\u00fat trong kh\u1ea9u v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n, ho\u1eb7c (m\u1ed9t kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u00edt x\u1ea3y ra) thay \u0111\u1ed5i quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a RBA c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nhanh ch\u00f3ng l\u00e0m m\u1ea5t c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea9y c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

B\u1ee9c tranh k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/h2>\n

Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p AUD\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch quanh m\u1ee9c 0,6964.<\/p>\n

Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 sau khi c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u00ean d\u1ea3i Fibonacci tr\u00ean, v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 t\u1ee5t xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c tho\u00e1i lui 23,6% t\u1ea1i 0,6976, t\u00ednh t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1y 0,6421 l\u00ean \u0111\u1ec9nh 0,7147. C\u00e1c \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec tr\u00ean c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 55, 100 v\u00e0 200 ng\u00e0y \u0111ang t\u0103ng, gi\u1eef v\u1eefng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng, nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i \u0111i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu khi Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI) lui v\u1ec1 g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 40. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 H\u01b0\u1edbng Trung b\u00ecnh (ADX) \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c cao xu\u1ed1ng v\u00f9ng 20 th\u1ea5p, cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 \u0111ang chuy\u1ec3n sang giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c tho\u00e1i lui 38,2% \u1edf 0,6870, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 b\u1edfi m\u1ee9c ngang 0,6897, v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng gi\u1ea3m ti\u1ebfp theo c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng xu\u1ed1ng 0,6660 v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 0,6593 n\u1ebfu phe b\u00e1n chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf. V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda t\u0103ng, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ban \u0111\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c tho\u00e1i lui 23,6% \u1edf 0,6976, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y t\u1ea1i 0,7147 v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c ngang 0,7158. M\u1ed9t \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y tr\u00ean khu v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 n\u00e0y s\u1ebd trung h\u00f2a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 cao h\u01a1n t\u1ea1i 0,7283.<\/p>\n

\n

\"Chart<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

(Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 tr\u1ee3 gi\u00fap c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 Tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 Nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o.)<\/h3>\n

K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn: \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n.<\/h2>\n

Kinh t\u1ebf Australia v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec s\u1ee9c b\u1ec1n, v\u00e0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng kh\u00f4ng cho th\u1ea5y d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u mu\u1ed1n n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1ed9t chi\u1ec1u.<\/p>\n

Khi t\u00e2m l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, AUD th\u01b0\u1eddng di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn t\u1ed1t. Khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng USD l\u1ea1i chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf. \u0110\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1eabn h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 AUD, nh\u01b0ng \u0111i k\u00e8m nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n

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C\u00e1c c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p v\u1ec1 thu\u1ebf quan.<\/h2>\n
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<\/section>\n
\n

Thu\u1ebf quan l\u00e0 c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n thu\u1ebf h\u1ea3i quan \u0111\u00e1nh l\u00ean m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u ho\u1eb7c m\u1ed9t nh\u00f3m s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh. Thu\u1ebf quan \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 doanh nghi\u1ec7p trong n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ea1nh tranh t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u1ea1o l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u. Thu\u1ebf quan th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 b\u1ea3o h\u1ed9, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ng\u1ea1ch nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u.<\/p>\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u1ea3 thu\u1ebf quan v\u00e0 thu\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec1u t\u1ea1o ra ngu\u1ed3n thu cho ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 cho c\u00e1c d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 v\u00e0 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a c\u00f4ng c\u1ed9ng, nh\u01b0ng ch\u00fang c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t. Thu\u1ebf quan \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thanh to\u00e1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1ea1i c\u1ea3ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u, trong khi thu\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u1ea3 v\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m mua h\u00e0ng. Thu\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng cho c\u00e1c c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 doanh nghi\u1ec7p, trong khi thu\u1ebf quan do c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u ch\u1ecbu tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m.<\/p>\n

Trong gi\u1edbi kinh t\u1ebf, c\u00f3 hai quan \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u00ednh v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng thu\u1ebf quan. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 cho r\u1eb1ng thu\u1ebf quan l\u00e0 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, trong khi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u00e1c xem ch\u00fang l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 g\u00e2y h\u1ea1i, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 t\u0103ng l\u00e2u d\u00e0i v\u00e0 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a l\u1eabn nhau.<\/p>\n

Trong th\u1eddi gian chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 11 n\u0103m 2024, Donald Trump \u0111\u00e3 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng \u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng thu\u1ebf quan \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t trong n\u01b0\u1edbc. N\u0103m 2024, Mexico, Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Canada chi\u1ebfm 42% t\u1ed5ng kim ng\u1ea1ch nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9. Trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u00e0y, Mexico n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t v\u1edbi 466,6 t\u1ef7 USD, theo C\u1ee5c \u0110i\u1ec1u tra D\u00e2n s\u1ed1 M\u1ef9. Do \u0111\u00f3, Trump mu\u1ed1n t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o ba qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y khi \u00e1p thu\u1ebf quan. \u00d4ng c\u0169ng d\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ngu\u1ed3n thu t\u1eeb thu\u1ebf quan \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf thu nh\u1eadp c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>", "protected": false }, "excerpt": { "rendered": "

\u0110\u00e0 t\u0103ng quanh \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la \u00dac (AUD) d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 m\u1ea5t m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u1ef1c trong v\u00e0i ng\u00e0y qua, khi\u1ebfn […]<\/p>", "protected": false }, "author": 5, "featured_media": 65455, "comment_status": "open", "ping_status": "open", "sticky": false, "template": "", "format": "standard", "meta": { "_acf_changed": false, "footnotes": "" }, "categories": [ 222 ], "tags": [], "class_list": [ "post-65454", "post", "type-post", "status-publish", "format-standard", "has-post-thumbnail", "hentry", "category-ngoai-hoi" ], "acf": [], "_links": { "self": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65454", "targetHints": { "allow": [ "GET" ] } } ], "collection": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts" } ], "about": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post" } ], "author": [ { "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5" } ], "replies": [ { "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65454" } ], "version-history": [ { "count": 1, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65454\/revisions" } ], "predecessor-version": [ { "id": 65769, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65454\/revisions\/65769" } ], "wp:featuredmedia": [ { "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/65455" } ], "wp:attachment": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65454" } ], "wp:term": [ { "taxonomy": "category", "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65454" }, { "taxonomy": "post_tag", "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65454" } ], "curies": [ { "name": "wp", "href": "https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}", "templated": true } ] } }