{ "id": 62326, "date": "2026-03-03T10:30:40", "date_gmt": "2026-03-03T03:30:40", "guid": { "rendered": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/chien-su-tai-trung-dong-kinh-te-toan-cau-rung-chuyen\/" }, "modified": "2026-03-03T10:30:40", "modified_gmt": "2026-03-03T03:30:40", "slug": "chien-su-tai-trung-dong-kinh-te-toan-cau-rung-chuyen", "status": "publish", "type": "post", "link": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/chien-su-tai-trung-dong-kinh-te-toan-cau-rung-chuyen\/", "title": { "rendered": "Chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng: Kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u rung chuy\u1ec3n" }, "content": { "rendered": "
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\"Trung<\/p>

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Gi\u1edbi quan s\u00e1t lo ng\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 g\u00e2y ra s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n l\u1edbn v\u1ec1 ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ea7u \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, m\u00e0 trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p x\u1ea5u nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t 100 USD\/th\u00f9ng<\/h2>\n

Ng\u00e0y 2-3, d\u1ea7u Brent t\u0103ng 10% l\u00ean 80 USD\/th\u00f9ng trong khi d\u1ea7u West Texas Intermediate tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng M\u1ef9 t\u0103ng 9% l\u00ean 73 USD\/th\u00f9ng, c\u00f2n v\u00e0ng t\u0103ng 3,4% l\u00ean 5.426 USD\/ounce khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 r\u00fat v\u1ec1 n\u01a1i tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n.<\/p>\n

“V\u00e0ng c\u00f3 l\u1ebd l\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0, n\u00f3i m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch v\u00ed von, nhi\u1ec7t k\u1ebf \u0111ang d\u00e2ng cao. Ch\u00fang ta n\u00ean s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng cho vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng cao h\u01a1n, l\u1eadp k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c m\u1edbi khi b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t k\u1ef7 nguy\u00ean ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb”, nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp Ross Norman n\u00f3i tr\u00ean \u0110\u00e0i CNBC.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng kh\u1eafp khu v\u1ef1c, bao g\u1ed3m tr\u00ean eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng lo ng\u1ea1i r\u1eb1ng cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn s\u1ebd l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ea7u \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 n\u1ebfu k\u00e9o d\u00e0i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u kh\u00e1c v\u00e0 x\u0103ng t\u0103ng cao, g\u00e2y ra hi\u1ec7u \u1ee9ng domino trong to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, l\u00e0m t\u0103ng chi ph\u00ed s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t n\u00f3i chung.<\/p>\n

“D\u1ea7u m\u1ecf l\u00e0 k\u00eanh quan tr\u1ecdng” – Neil Shearing, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i Capital Economics, n\u00f3i tr\u00ean t\u1edd Financial Times<\/i>. <\/p>\n

“Kho\u1ea3ng 1\/5 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 kh\u00ed t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean h\u00f3a l\u1ecfng (LNG) to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ch\u1ea3y qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz. N\u00f3 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1ch ch\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u”, H\u00e3ng tin AP d\u1eabn l\u1eddi chuy\u00ean gia Stephen Innes c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c SPI Asset Management b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn.<\/p>\n

Kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi l\u1ea7n leo thang xung \u0111\u1ed9t tr\u01b0\u1edbc, l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y c\u1ea3 M\u1ef9, Israel v\u00e0 Iran \u0111\u1ec1u s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c leo thang, l\u00e0m t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7n lo\u1ea1n s\u1ebd k\u00e9o d\u00e0i. V\u1edbi k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n \u0111\u00f3, gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng cao h\u01a1n n\u1eefa, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t 100 USD\/th\u00f9ng.<\/p>\n

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\"Trung<\/p>

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Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Nikkei th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n tr\u00ean b\u1ea3ng \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed \u1edf S\u1edf Giao d\u1ecbch ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n Tokyo ng\u00e0y 2-3 – \u1ea2nh: AFP<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh nhi\u1ec1u m\u1ed1i lo ng\u1ea1i kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0 m\u1ee9c n\u1ee3 cao, lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed), s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 l\u00e0m b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i \u1edf c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn, l\u00e0m ch\u1ec7ch h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u00e1c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi l\u00e0m lung lay ni\u1ec1m tin kinh doanh. <\/p>\n

Theo t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Capital Economics, m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u 100 USD\/th\u00f9ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u t\u1eeb 0,6 \u0111\u1ebfn 0,7%.<\/p>\n

“Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p M\u1ef9” – \u00f4ng James Knightley, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf h\u1ecdc M\u1ef9, cho bi\u1ebft. <\/p>\n

Chuy\u00ean gia Ajay Rajadhyaksha, tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n h\u00f3a t\u1ea1i Barclays, c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 ngh\u1ecbch v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u. <\/p>\n

“N\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 120 USD\/th\u00f9ng v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00f3, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 (v\u00e0 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi) s\u1ebd ch\u1ecbu m\u1ed9t c\u00fa s\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3”, \u00f4ng n\u00f3i.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch kh\u00e1c v\u1eabn l\u1ea1c quan h\u01a1n, x\u00e9t \u0111\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong n\u0103m qua b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng c\u00fa s\u1ed1c \u0111\u00f3. <\/p>\n

“B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u1eabn v\u00f4 c\u00f9ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd” – Innes McFee, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i Oxford Economics, cho bi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n

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C\u00f3 qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u c\u00fa s\u1ed1c x\u1ea3y ra c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t l\u00fac. Ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 Venezuela, Greenland, thu\u1ebf quan v\u00e0 gi\u1edd l\u00e0 Iran, t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 ch\u1ec9 trong v\u00f2ng hai th\u00e1ng.<\/p>\n

Nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf TOMASZ WIELADEK nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n chao \u0111\u1ea3o, Bitcoin h\u1ee5t h\u01a1i<\/h2>\n

C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9, Israel v\u00e0 Iran c\u0169ng \u0111ang ph\u1ee7 b\u00f3ng l\u00ean c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

\u00c1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng cao ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh l\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n. T\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c1, c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 l\u1edbn nh\u01b0 Nikkei 225 c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 Hang Seng c\u1ee7a Hong Kong \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng, ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh t\u00e2m l\u00fd lo ng\u1ea1i r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. T\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 STOXX 600 m\u1ea5t g\u1ea7n 2%, c\u00f2n h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai S&P 500 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 gi\u1ea3m 1,5%.<\/p>\n

D\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n v\u00ec th\u1ebf r\u00fat m\u1ea1nh kh\u1ecfi c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng. C\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u 3,6% do lo ng\u1ea1i xung \u0111\u1ed9t k\u00e9o d\u00e0i s\u1ebd l\u00e0m ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf. <\/p>\n

Nh\u00f3m h\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng – v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m v\u1edbi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u – m\u1ea5t t\u1edbi 5% khi chi ph\u00ed d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt v\u00e0 h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda c\u00e1c chuy\u1ebfn bay \u0111\u1ebfn Trung \u0110\u00f4ng b\u1ecb h\u1ee7y. C\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 t\u1ea1i c\u1ea3 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c1 c\u0169ng suy y\u1ebfu khi nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 b\u00e1n b\u1edbt c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro.<\/p>\n

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\"Trung<\/p>

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C\u1ed9t kh\u00f3i b\u1ed1c l\u00ean sau m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp k\u00edch c\u1ee7a Israel t\u1ea1i th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 Tehran (Iran) ng\u00e0y 2-3 – \u1ea2nh: AP<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m s\u00e1ng hi\u1ebfm hoi gi\u1eefa b\u1ee9c tranh \u1ea3m \u0111\u1ea1m. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ng\u00e0nh n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u t\u0103ng 4%, l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c m\u1edbi, v\u1edbi hai “\u00f4ng l\u1edbn” d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed BP v\u00e0 Shell c\u00f9ng b\u1eadt t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n 6% nh\u1edd k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao. C\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u0169ng nh\u00edch th\u00eam 1,3% khi nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c chi ti\u00eau qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 s\u1ebd gia t\u0103ng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng leo thang.<\/p>\n

Trong b\u1ee9c tranh \u0111\u00f3, Bitcoin <\/a>c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n. Do th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed giao d\u1ecbch 24\/7, gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m ngay t\u1eeb cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n sau khi M\u1ef9 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch kh\u00f4ng k\u00edch Iran. <\/p>\n

Sau c\u00fa s\u1ee5t ban \u0111\u1ea7u, Bitcoin ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u1eb9 v\u00e0 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng quanh 66.000 USD v\u00e0o s\u00e1ng 2-3 (theo gi\u1edd M\u1ef9), t\u0103ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn 1% so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh kho\u1ea3ng 126.000 USD h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 10.<\/p>\n

Theo \u00f4ng Charlie Sherry, Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh t\u1ea1i BTC Markets, k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng v\u1edbi Iran leo thang, crypto \u0111\u00e3 “nh\u01b0\u1eddng s\u00e2n” cho c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n ph\u00f2ng v\u1ec7 truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng. <\/p>\n

\u00d4ng cho r\u1eb1ng trong nh\u1eefng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n th\u01b0\u1eddng chuy\u1ec3n sang c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u1ee9ng nh\u01b0 v\u00e0ng, thay v\u00ec c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng cao.<\/p>\n

<\/pattern> <\/defs> <\/svg> \u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp <\/a> <\/pattern> <\/defs> <\/svg> V\u1ec1 trang Ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 <\/a> <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>", "protected": false }, "excerpt": { "rendered": "

Gi\u1edbi quan s\u00e1t lo ng\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 g\u00e2y ra s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n l\u1edbn v\u1ec1 […]<\/p>", "protected": false }, "author": 5, "featured_media": 62327, "comment_status": "open", "ping_status": "open", "sticky": false, "template": "", "format": "standard", "meta": { "_acf_changed": false, "footnotes": "" }, "categories": [ 219 ], "tags": [], "class_list": [ "post-62326", "post", "type-post", "status-publish", "format-standard", "has-post-thumbnail", "hentry", "category-vang" ], "acf": [], "_links": { "self": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62326", "targetHints": { "allow": [ "GET" ] } } ], "collection": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts" } ], "about": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post" } ], "author": [ { "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5" } ], "replies": [ { "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=62326" } ], "version-history": [ { "count": 0, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62326\/revisions" } ], "wp:featuredmedia": [ { "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62327" } ], "wp:attachment": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=62326" } ], "wp:term": [ { "taxonomy": "category", "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=62326" }, { "taxonomy": "post_tag", "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=62326" } ], "curies": [ { "name": "wp", "href": "https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}", "templated": true } ] } }