{ "id": 62181, "date": "2026-03-02T09:24:29", "date_gmt": "2026-03-02T02:24:29", "guid": { "rendered": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/what-the-iran-conflict-means-for-bitcoins-price\/" }, "modified": "2026-03-02T09:24:29", "modified_gmt": "2026-03-02T02:24:29", "slug": "what-the-iran-conflict-means-for-bitcoins-price", "status": "publish", "type": "post", "link": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/what-the-iran-conflict-means-for-bitcoins-price\/", "title": { "rendered": "What the Iran Conflict Means for Bitcoin’s Price" }, "content": { "rendered": "
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In brief<\/h4>\n
    \n
  • Bitcoin has steadied after an initial weekend selloff tied to Middle East tensions, holding up better than U.S. equity-index futures.<\/li>\n
  • Funding rates in Bitcoin futures have turned sharply negative, signaling crowded short positioning in derivatives markets.<\/li>\n
  • Oil and gold have rallied on fears of supply disruption and inflation risk, underscoring a broader risk-off tone across global markets.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n

    Bitcoin has so far absorbed the latest escalation in the Middle East, following a spike in volatility in U.S. futures on Sunday, as traders continue to parse the impact on global energy markets.<\/span><\/p>\n

    U.S.-led strikes on Iranian targets have prompted retaliatory missile and drone attacks, raising fears of a wider regional conflict after reports that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei\u2019s 36-year rule as Iran\u2019s supreme leader had ended.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    Iran has warned of further retaliation, while shipping and aviation disruptions across the Gulf have sharpened concerns that the conflict could extend beyond a limited exchange.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Bitcoin is down 0.4% on the day to $66,600 after reclaiming ground lost over the weekend, when its price fell to as low as $63,000. The asset is down roughly 2.8% on the week, according to CoinGecko data.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    The decline was relatively smaller than losses implied by equity-index futures, which were down more than 1% across the Nasdaq, Dow, and S&P 500. Losses in equity-index futures suggests investors are marking down risk broadly in response to overnight macro and geopolitical developments ahead of the U.S. open.<\/span><\/p>\n

    \u201cBitcoin’s initial sell-off was almost textbook; markets hate uncertainty more than bad news, and the moment the Iran conflict looked contained, the reflexive bid came back fast,\u201d Ryan McMillin, chief investment officer at Merkle Tree Capital, told <\/span>Decrypt<\/span><\/i>.<\/span><\/p>\n

    The expert pointed to a Fear and Greed index reading of 11, alongside Bitcoin futures funding rates swinging to -6%, indicating shorts are paying a significant premium to maintain a bearish bias in a situation not seen since Bitcoin traded at $16,000 back in 2022.<\/span><\/p>\n

    \u201cThe market is mechanically paying you to be long; it\u2019s time to get long, McMillin said.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Echoing that sentiment, Pratik Kala, head of research at Apollo Crypto, told <\/span>Decrypt<\/span><\/i> Bitcoin\u2019s price action suggested much of the initial shock had already been reflected.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    \u201cBitcoin would’ve sold off by now if it had to\u2014the tape through the event over the weekend was very positive. CME futures have also opened, and if Bitcoin were to dump or follow equities, it would have by now,\u201d Kala said.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Broader markets have focused on the potential for disruption around the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow shipping lane that carries roughly one-fifth of global oil supply.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Oil prices have surged sharply on the Iran conflict, with Brent crude jumping roughly 8\u201310% toward $80 a barrel and U.S. WTI up about 7\u20138%.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    \u201cIf oil stays elevated, there will be a risk to a higher inflation print, which is negative for risk assets\u2014and Bitcoin,\u201d Kala said. \u201cHowever, I don’t expect that to be the base case.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

    Kala cited large oil supplies from OPEC countries that could seek to \u201cplug the gap\u201d and President Donald Trump doing \u201cthings in his power\u201d to keep prices low, as \u201che knows that will turn the sentiment of Americans most.\u201d<\/span>
    <\/span><\/p>\n

    Safe-haven gold, meanwhile, has leapt more than 2% to $5,388 per troy ounce.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    “The ongoing Middle East conflict is set to further fuel gold’s tailwinds, likely triggering a knee-jerk price spike on rising safe haven demand.\u201d Han Tan, chief market analyst at Bybit Learn, told <\/span>Decrypt<\/span><\/i>.<\/span><\/p>\n

    \u201cStill, seasoned market watchers would be well aware that geopolitical risk premiums are often faded out swiftly, once market and economic risks are digested and appear to be contained,\u201d he added.<\/span><\/p>\n

    \n

    Daily Debrief Newsletter<\/h3>\n

    Start every day with the top news stories right now, plus original features, a podcast, videos and more.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>", "protected": false }, "excerpt": { "rendered": "

    In brief Bitcoin has steadied after an initial weekend selloff tied to Middle East tensions, holding up better than U.S. […]<\/p>", "protected": false }, "author": 5, "featured_media": 62182, "comment_status": "open", "ping_status": "open", "sticky": false, "template": "", "format": "standard", "meta": { "_acf_changed": false, "footnotes": "" }, "categories": [ 220 ], "tags": [], "class_list": [ "post-62181", "post", "type-post", "status-publish", "format-standard", "has-post-thumbnail", "hentry", "category-tien-dien-tu" ], "acf": [], "_links": { "self": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62181", "targetHints": { "allow": [ "GET" ] } } ], "collection": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts" } ], "about": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post" } ], "author": [ { "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5" } ], "replies": [ { "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=62181" } ], "version-history": [ { "count": 0, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62181\/revisions" } ], "wp:featuredmedia": [ { "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62182" } ], "wp:attachment": [ { "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=62181" } ], "wp:term": [ { "taxonomy": "category", "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=62181" }, { "taxonomy": "post_tag", "embeddable": true, "href": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=62181" } ], "curies": [ { "name": "wp", "href": "https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}", "templated": true } ] } }