{ "id": 52709, "date": "2025-10-24T09:33:56", "date_gmt": "2025-10-24T02:33:56", "guid": { "rendered": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/crypto-traders-brace-for-fridays-delayed-us-inflation-report\/" }, "modified": "2025-10-24T09:33:56", "modified_gmt": "2025-10-24T02:33:56", "slug": "crypto-traders-brace-for-fridays-delayed-us-inflation-report", "status": "publish", "type": "post", "link": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/crypto-traders-brace-for-fridays-delayed-us-inflation-report\/", "title": { "rendered": "Crypto traders brace for Friday\u2019s delayed US inflation report" }, "content": { "rendered": "
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September\u2019s inflation data, which had been delayed by the government shutdown, is expected to be high at 3.1% but it is unlikely to stop momentum for Fed rate cuts. <\/p>\n

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Crypto market observers have locked their gaze on the delayed US inflation report for September, which is expected to be published on Friday and exceed 3% for the first time in 2025, which could have a knock-on effect on crypto markets.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics is scheduled to publish<\/a> the consumer price index (CPI) for September on Friday. It has been delayed due to the ongoing government shutdown, which is now in its 24th day.<\/p>\n

Economists forecast that September inflation<\/a> rose 0.4% monthly and 3.1% annually, so it would be the first time headline CPI would exceed 3% this year, according<\/a> to Trading Economics.\u00a0<\/p>\n

CPI print could impact crypto\u00a0<\/h2>\n

The CPI report will be the first major data release since the US government shutdown at the beginning of this month.<\/p>\n

Investor Ted Pillows said<\/a> that if CPI comes in at 3.1% or more, the rate cut odds could go down, but if it comes in at 3% or lower, \u201cit\u2019ll be good for the markets.\u201d<\/p>\n

Related: <\/strong><\/em>US gov shutdown \u2018likely\u2019 to end this week: Trump adviser<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Analyst \u2018Ash Crypto\u2019 concurred<\/a>, stating that higher than 3.1% will be bearish for markets \u201cbecause it’ll mark the highest CPI print since June 2024.\u201d<\/p>\n

Around 3.1% will be in line with expectations, but below 3.1% is the \u201cperfect scenario for risk-on assets.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cRate cuts will happen, and also the MoM increase in CPI will be just 0.1% or 1.2% annualized. This will also boost chances of more rate cuts and will cause liquidity to flow into risk-on assets.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

\u201cWe realize that the Fed has said that their focus is now on the employment picture, but whether tomorrow\u2019s CPI data is a lot different than expectations or not could still have an impact on their thinking,\u201d Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak, told<\/a> Bloomberg.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cSo, it will still have a big impact on the markets if it is indeed out of line with what the consensus is thinking,\u201d\u00a0<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

But hotter-than-expected inflation figures will not likely deter the Federal Reserve from cutting rates, according<\/a> to Barron\u2019s.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The central bank is more focused on the weakening labor market, and the probability of a rate cut next Wednesday is 98.3%, according<\/a> to CME futures prediction markets.\u00a0<\/p>\n

However, the ongoing government shutdown could complicate the economic picture ahead of the Fed\u2019s December meeting, when another rate cut is expected.\u00a0<\/p>\n

US inflation is expected to tick up again. Source: Trading Economics<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Markets march marginally higher\u00a0<\/h2>\n

Crypto market capitalization has inched up 1.8% over the past 24 hours to reach $3.8 trillion.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin (BTC<\/a>) has led the move with a brief spike above $111,000 in late trading on Thursday before falling back<\/a> to the $110,500 level at the time of writing.<\/p>\n

Magazine: <\/strong><\/em>Bitcoin to suffer if it can\u2019t catch gold, XRP bulls back in the fight: Trade Secrets<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n