{ "id": 51018, "date": "2025-10-09T11:28:18", "date_gmt": "2025-10-09T04:28:18", "guid": { "rendered": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/bitcoin-set-for-dramatic-surge-if-it-doesnt-top-soon-peter-brandt\/" }, "modified": "2025-10-09T11:28:18", "modified_gmt": "2025-10-09T04:28:18", "slug": "bitcoin-set-for-dramatic-surge-if-it-doesnt-top-soon-peter-brandt", "status": "publish", "type": "post", "link": "https:\/\/hbbgroup.net\/en_us\/bitcoin-set-for-dramatic-surge-if-it-doesnt-top-soon-peter-brandt\/", "title": { "rendered": "Bitcoin set for \u2018dramatic\u2019 surge if it doesn\u2019t top soon: Peter Brandt" }, "content": { "rendered": "
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Bitcoin is poised for unprecedented price discovery as long as it doesn\u2019t peak within the next few days, according to veteran trader Peter Brandt.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt is reasonable to expect a bull market high any day now,\u201d Brandt told Cointelegraph on Wednesday, citing Bitcoin\u2019s (BTC<\/a>) historical cycle pattern, which has played out in the three previous cycles.<\/p>\n

\u201cThese cycles from low-to-halving-to-high have not always been the same length, but the post-halving distance of each has always been equal to the pre-halving distance,\u201d Brandt said.<\/p>\n

Sunday marked the crucial day for Bitcoin\u2019s cycle<\/h2>\n

Brandt explained that Bitcoin hit its current cycle low on Nov. 9, 2022, which was 533 days before the Bitcoin halving on April 20, 2024.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cAdd 533 days to April 20, 2024, and bingo, it is this week,\u201d he said. That date fell on Sunday, just one day before Bitcoin set a new all-time high above $126,100 on Monday.<\/p>\n

\"Cryptocurrencies\"
Bitcoin is trading at $122,070 at the time of publication, up 9.74% over the past 30 days. Source: <\/em>CoinMarketCap<\/em><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

However, Brandt emphasized, \u201cthere is always an \u2018except,\u2019\u201d which could be significant for how Bitcoin\u2019s price plays out. \u201cTrends that violate the prevailing cyclic or seasonal nature of markets are typically the most dramatic,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

Brandt noted that while market cycles don\u2019t always repeat in the same way, Bitcoin has followed them consistently so far.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cSooner or later, cycles change. But betting against a cycle that has a perfect three-for-three record should not be done with reckless abandon,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

Brandt said he is 50\/50 on the outcome. \u201cI will remain bullish, hopeful for counter-cyclicality. In this case, a move well beyond $150,000 would be my expectation, perhaps as high as $185,000,\u201d Brandt said.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin four-year cycle debate continues<\/h2>\n

It comes as the debate continues over whether crypto\u2019s four-year cycle remains relevant, given the onset of institutional adoption, ETF products and corporate digital asset treasuries.<\/p>\n

In July, crypto analyst Rekt Capital similarly said that if the Bitcoin cycle follows the 2020<\/a> pattern, the market will likely peak in October. <\/p>\n

\u201cWe have a very small sliver of time and price expansion left,\u201d Rekt said on July 3.<\/p>\n